Tapatío vs Monarcas — Liga de Expansión MX
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Estadio AKRON·Zapopan·Mexico·46,609
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Tapatío and Monarcas meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Tapatío have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Monarcas have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Tapatío and 1.05 for Monarcas. The models give Tapatío a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Monarcas win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Tapatío—
Monarcas10º
Position
4º
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
2.67
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
64%
BTTS %
67%
21%
Clean sheet %
20%
71%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tapatío
Home (2)
—
Monarcas
Away (1)
2.00
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
0.50
Goals / game
0.00
0.00
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
43%
43%
Clean sheet %
29%
71%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tapatío | Home | Away | Monarcas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 86% | 71% | 87% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 57% | 43% | 40% | 63% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 14% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 14% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Tapatío | Home | Away | Monarcas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 57% | 100% | 80% | 88% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 43% | 71% | 33% | 50% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 29% | 57% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 43% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tapatío | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 71% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS | 64% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tapatío | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Tapatío (H)W
Tepatitlán4–1
Tepatitlán4–1L
CA La Paz2–4
CA La Paz2–4W
Tlaxcala4–0
Tlaxcala4–0L
Leones Negros UDG1–3
Leones Negros UDG1–3W
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2W
CDS Tampico Madero1–0
CDS Tampico Madero1–0Monarcas (A)DTepatitlán1–1
Tepatitlán1–1L
Venados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2WMineros de Zacatecas1–0
Mineros de Zacatecas1–0W
Dorados1–0
Dorados1–0W
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–1L
Piratas0–1
Piratas0–1Head to Head · 14 matches
6
Tapatío
43%
5
Draws
36%
3
Monarcas
21%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
22/03/26Monarcas
Tapatío
2–1Monarcas12/10/25Tapatío
Monarcas
0–0Tapatío18/01/25Monarcas
Tapatío
1–0Monarcas02/08/24Tapatío
Monarcas
1–4Tapatío17/02/24Monarcas
Tapatío
0–0Monarcas17/09/23Tapatío
Monarcas
0–0Tapatío21/05/23Monarcas
Tapatío
2–2Monarcas18/05/23Tapatío
Monarcas
1–2Tapatío10/02/23Tapatío
Monarcas
2–0Tapatío15/07/22Monarcas
Tapatío
2–0Monarcas04/02/22Tapatío
Monarcas
1–2Tapatío19/08/21Monarcas
Tapatío
0–3Monarcas05/04/21Tapatío
Monarcas
2–0Tapatío02/09/20Monarcas
Tapatío
3–3Monarcas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 |  Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 8 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 19 |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 7 |
Team Insights
Tapatío- ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tapatío have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Tapatío have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tapatío have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Tapatío have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Tapatío's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Tapatío's points have been earned at home.
Monarcas- ●Monarcas have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●74% of Monarcas's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Monarcas's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
TapatíoLADurango0–5
Durango0–5WHTepatitlán4–1
Tepatitlán4–1LHCA La Paz2–4
CA La Paz2–4LACancún0–1
Cancún0–1WHTlaxcala4–0
Tlaxcala4–0LADorados1–3
Dorados1–3–HMonarcas25/10
Monarcas25/10–APiratas01/11
Piratas01/11MonarcasLHCDS Tampico Madero1–2
CDS Tampico Madero1–2DATepatitlán1–1
Tepatitlán1–1DHTlaxcala1–1
Tlaxcala1–1LAVenados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2WHLeones Negros UDG2–0
Leones Negros UDG2–0WAMineros de Zacatecas1–0
Mineros de Zacatecas1–0–ATapatío25/10
Tapatío25/10–ADurango01/11
Durango01/11Top Scorers
TapatíoV. Moragrega6 ⚽
D. Villaseca5 ⚽
G. Garcia3 ⚽
J. Hernandez3 ⚽
C. Medina2 ⚽
C. Soldati1 ⚽
MonarcasR. del Campo6 ⚽
A. Flores6 ⚽
M. Rodriguez3 ⚽
R. Lopez Aburto2 ⚽
D. Zamora2 ⚽
V. Lopez1 ⚽
Cards Given
TapatíoM. Cendejas3 🟨
S. Esparza3 🟨
L. Jimenez3 🟨
C. Soldati3 🟨
R. Parra3 🟨
G. Garcia2 🟨
MonarcasD. Aguilar6 🟨
J. Martinez4 🟨
S. Hernandez4 🟨
D. Zamora3 🟨
D. De Buen3 🟨
R. del Campo3 🟨