Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat — Liga de Expansión MX
← Back
1 – 0
HT 1–0
45′
Estadio Tlahuicole·Tlaxcala·Mexico·10,000
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Tlaxcala and Correcaminos Uat meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Tlaxcala have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Correcaminos Uat have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Tlaxcala and 1.81 for Correcaminos Uat. The models give Tlaxcala a 47% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Correcaminos Uat win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Tlaxcala—
Correcaminos Uat15º
Position
1º
0.00
PPG
2.33
0%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
3.00
Conceded / game
1.67
86%
BTTS %
73%
0%
Clean sheet %
27%
79%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tlaxcala
Home (2)
—
Correcaminos Uat
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
3.00
Conceded / game
2.00
83%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tlaxcala | Home | Away | Correcaminos Uat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 83% | 88% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 83% | 38% | 47% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 22% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 17% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Tlaxcala | Home | Away | Correcaminos Uat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 73% | 56% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 75% | 53% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 22% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 44% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tlaxcala | Correcaminos Uat | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 79% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 27% |
| BTTS | 86% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tlaxcala | Correcaminos Uat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Tlaxcala (H)W
Piratas4–2
Piratas4–2W
Cancún4–1
Cancún4–1W
CDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
Venados FC3–1
Venados FC3–1L
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–2L
Leones Negros UDG2–4
Leones Negros UDG2–4Correcaminos Uat (A)LAlebrijes de Oaxaca1–2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–2L
CA La Paz1–3
CA La Paz1–3LPiratas1–4
Piratas1–4W
Monarcas3–1
Monarcas3–1WLeones Negros UDG3–1
Leones Negros UDG3–1D
Mineros de Zacatecas3–3
Mineros de Zacatecas3–3Head to Head · 12 matches
5
Tlaxcala
42%
4
Draws
33%
3
Correcaminos Uat
25%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
25%
Over 2.5
3/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
31/01/26Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
2–1Tlaxcala24/08/25Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
0–2Correcaminos Uat17/01/25Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
1–1Tlaxcala04/08/24Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
3–2Correcaminos Uat01/03/24Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
1–1Tlaxcala01/11/23Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
0–1Correcaminos Uat21/04/23Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
0–0Correcaminos Uat24/08/22Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
0–2Tlaxcala24/03/22Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
4–0Correcaminos Uat02/09/21Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
1–1Tlaxcala18/03/21Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
0–1Tlaxcala19/10/20Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
1–0Correcaminos UatEvents
43'⚽E. Robles(B. Flores)
45'🟨W. Ortega
45'🟨D. Alvarez
45'🟨A. Iniestra
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 | Cancún | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 7 |  Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 21 |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 19 |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -31 | 7 |
Team Insights
Tlaxcala- ●Tlaxcala have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●64% of Tlaxcala's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Tlaxcala's points have been earned at home.
Correcaminos Uat- ●Correcaminos Uat have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
TlaxcalaDACA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2WHPiratas4–2
Piratas4–2DAMonarcas1–1
Monarcas1–1WHCancún4–1
Cancún4–1LATapatío0–4
Tapatío0–4WHCDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1–ACruz Azul Hidalgo31/10
Cruz Azul Hidalgo31/10Correcaminos UatLHDorados1–2
Dorados1–2LAAlebrijes de Oaxaca1–2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–2DHCruz Azul Hidalgo0–0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–0WHCDS Tampico Madero1–0
CDS Tampico Madero1–0LACA La Paz1–3
CA La Paz1–3DHCancún2–2
Cancún2–2–HVenados FC31/10
Venados FC31/10Top Scorers
TlaxcalaE. Robles8 ⚽
D. Alvarez6 ⚽
Christian4 ⚽
I. Govea3 ⚽
B. Flores1 ⚽
R. E. Camacho Lastra1 ⚽
Correcaminos UatB. Mendoza4 ⚽
D. Mina3 ⚽
O. Islas3 ⚽
J. Estopier2 ⚽
O. Perez1 ⚽
R. Arce1 ⚽
Cards Given
TlaxcalaB. Flores5 🟨
C. Gonzalez5 🟨
E. Garcia5 🟨
Christian4 🟨
M. A. Trejo Castro4 🟨
B. Vazquez3 🟨
Correcaminos UatW. Ortega6 🟨
O. Perez5 🟨
E. Torres4 🟨
G. Moreno3 🟨
D. Mina3 🟨
D. Torres2 🟨