Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Liga de Expansión MX
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Leones Negros UDG and Alebrijes de Oaxaca meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Leones Negros UDG have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Leones Negros UDG and 1.43 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. The models give Leones Negros UDG a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Alebrijes de Oaxaca win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Leones Negros UDG—
Alebrijes de Oaxaca5º
Position
12º
2.00
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
0.67
1.67
Conceded / game
1.67
67%
BTTS %
38%
22%
Clean sheet %
38%
78%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leones Negros UDG
Home (1)
—
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
3.00
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
25%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leones Negros | Home | Away | Alebrijes de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 80% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 40% | 100% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Leones Negros | Home | Away | Alebrijes de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 60% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 40% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 20% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leones Negros | Alebrijes de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS | 67% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leones Negros | Alebrijes de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 89% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 78% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Leones Negros (H)D
CA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2D
Piratas1–1
Piratas1–1W
CDS Tampico Madero4–0
CDS Tampico Madero4–0L
Correcaminos Uat1–3
Correcaminos Uat1–3L
Cancún1–2
Cancún1–2W
Monarcas2–0
Monarcas2–0Alebrijes de (A)LMonarcas1–4
Monarcas1–4LCDS Tampico Madero1–2
CDS Tampico Madero1–2W
Tlaxcala2–0
Tlaxcala2–0L
Venados FC0–3
Venados FC0–3WCorrecaminos Uat3–1
Correcaminos Uat3–1L
Tepatitlán0–2
Tepatitlán0–2Head to Head · 22 matches
5
Leones Negros
23%
13
Draws
59%
4
Alebrijes de
18%
77%
Over 1.5
17/22
36%
Over 2.5
8/22
27%
Over 3.5
6/22
64%
BTTS
14/22
28/03/26Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1Leones Negros UDG18/10/25Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
0–1Alebrijes de Oaxaca16/03/25Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
3–2Alebrijes de Oaxaca29/09/24Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–2Leones Negros UDG15/02/24Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0–3Leones Negros UDG04/08/23Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
5–0Alebrijes de Oaxaca15/03/23Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–2Leones Negros UDG26/06/22Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
0–0Alebrijes de Oaxaca20/01/22Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1Leones Negros UDG29/08/21Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
1–1Alebrijes de Oaxaca15/04/21Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
1–1Alebrijes de Oaxaca19/08/20Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–0Leones Negros UDG24/01/20Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
1–0Alebrijes de Oaxaca04/08/19Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–0Leones Negros UDG24/02/19Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1Leones Negros UDG15/09/18Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
1–1Alebrijes de Oaxaca22/04/18Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
1–1Alebrijes de Oaxaca20/04/18Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–2Leones Negros UDG04/02/18Leones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–2Leones Negros UDG26/08/17Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Leones Negros UDG
1–1Alebrijes de Oaxaca| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monarcas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | CA La Paz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Piratas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | Correcaminos Uat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Dorados | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Cancún | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | CDS Tampico Madero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Durango | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -22 | 3 |
Team Insights
Leones Negros- ●Leones Negros UDG have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●71% of Leones Negros UDG's points have been earned away.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Alebrijes de- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Alebrijes de Oaxaca's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Leones NegrosDHCA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2WATapatío3–1
Tapatío3–1DHPiratas1–1
Piratas1–1WADurango2–1
Durango2–1WHCDS Tampico Madero4–0
CDS Tampico Madero4–0LHCorrecaminos Uat1–3
Correcaminos Uat1–3–AMonarcas20/09
Monarcas20/09–ACruz Azul Hidalgo26/09
Cruz Azul Hidalgo26/09–HDorados03/10
Dorados03/10Alebrijes deWHDurango1–0
Durango1–0LAMonarcas1–4
Monarcas1–4DHTapatío1–1
Tapatío1–1LACDS Tampico Madero1–2
CDS Tampico Madero1–2WHTepatitlán1–0
Tepatitlán1–0WATlaxcala2–0
Tlaxcala2–0–ACancún20/09
Cancún20/09–HCA La Paz25/09
CA La Paz25/09–APiratas04/10
Piratas04/10Top Scorers
Leones NegrosO. Gil3 ⚽
S. A. Hernandez2 ⚽
J. Brigido2 ⚽
J. Marchand2 ⚽
K. Loera2 ⚽
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago2 ⚽
Alebrijes deJ. Bustos2 ⚽
A. Justo1 ⚽
A. Tecpanecatl1 ⚽
Andrey Marcos1 ⚽
B. Fadika1 ⚽
D. Martinez1 ⚽
Cards Given
Leones NegrosU. Torres5 🟨
J. Aguayo5 🟨
J. Escalante5 🟨
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago4 🟨
O. Gonzalez2 🟨
J. Perez2 🟨
Alebrijes deA. Justo5 🟨
A. Tecpanecatl5 🟨
L. Jeffus2 🟨
A. Arellano2 🟨
K. Alvarez2 🟨
Andrey Marcos1 🟨