Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Cowdenbeath — Football League - Lowland League
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Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Cowdenbeath meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 20 February 2027. Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have recorded 9 wins from 21 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Cowdenbeath have won 22% of their 18 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.19 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.45 for Cowdenbeath. The models give Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic a 58% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Cowdenbeath win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic—
Cowdenbeath13º
Position
23º
1.67
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
30%
2.25
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
1.70
62%
BTTS %
61%
24%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Home (5)
—
Cowdenbeath
Away (4)
1.20
PPG
0.00
40%
Win %
0%
2.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
2.25
70%
BTTS %
57%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bonnyrigg Rose | Home | Away | Cowdenbeath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 90% | 82% | 72% | 82% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 50% | 55% | 44% | 55% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 18% | 17% | 27% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 18% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Bonnyrigg Rose | Home | Away | Cowdenbeath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 80% | 73% | 89% | 82% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 40% | 45% | 67% | 64% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 20% | 9% | 39% | 27% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 20% | 27% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bonnyrigg Rose | Cowdenbeath | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 22% |
| BTTS | 62% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bonnyrigg Rose | Cowdenbeath | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Bonnyrigg Rose (H)L
Dunfermline2–4
Dunfermline2–4L
Bo'ness United0–1
Bo'ness United0–1W
Motherwell U213–0
Motherwell U213–0L
Airdrie United1–6
Airdrie United1–6W
Stirling University6–1
Stirling University6–1L
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1–2Cowdenbeath (A)L
Brora Rangers1–3
Brora Rangers1–3L
Hamilton Academical0–1
Hamilton Academical0–1LHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2L
Linlithgow Rose2–3
Linlithgow Rose2–3L
Edinburgh City1–3
Edinburgh City1–3L
Civil Service Strollers2–3
Civil Service Strollers2–3Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Bonnyrigg Rose
60%
1
Draws
20%
1
Cowdenbeath
20%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
17/10/26Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Cowdenbeath
2–2Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic13/12/25Cowdenbeath
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3–2Cowdenbeath02/08/25Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Cowdenbeath
2–1Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic14/05/22Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Cowdenbeath
0–1Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic07/05/22Cowdenbeath
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3–0Cowdenbeath| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilwinning Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +24 | 30 |
| 2 |  Tranent Juniors | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Largs Thistle | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 29 |
| 4 | Linlithgow Rose | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 28 |
| 5 |  Brechin | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 28 |
| 6 |  Broxburn Athletic | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 7 |  Clydebank | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +21 | 26 |
| 8 |  Pollok | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 9 |  Auchinleck Talbot | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +24 | 25 |
| 10 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 25 |
| 11 |  Caledonian Braves | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 23 |
| 12 |  Lochee United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 21 |
| 13 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 20 |
| 14 |  Celtic II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 20 |
| 15 |  Cumnock Juniors | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Johnstone Burgh | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 17 | Bo'ness United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Civil Service Strollers | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 |  Troon FC | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 18 |
| 20 |  East Stirlingshire | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
| 21 |  Cumbernauld Colts | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 22 |  Gretna 2008 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 23 | Cowdenbeath | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 24 |  Musselburgh Athletic | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 25 |  Renfrew | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 26 |  Albion Rovers | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 27 |  Beith | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 28 |  Gala Fairydean Rovers | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 29 |  Berwick Rangers | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 |
| 30 | Stirling University | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -19 | 6 |
| 31 |  Dunipace | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
| 32 |  Newton Stewart | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -31 | 4 |
| 33 |  Dalbeattie Star | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -39 | 1 |
Team Insights
Bonnyrigg Rose- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic's points have been earned away.
- ●Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Cowdenbeath- ●Cowdenbeath have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cowdenbeath failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●73% of Cowdenbeath's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Cowdenbeath's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Bonnyrigg RoseDALochee United2–2
Lochee United2–2LHBo'ness United0–1
Bo'ness United0–1DACowdenbeath2–2
Cowdenbeath2–2WHStirling University6–1
Stirling University6–1WAGala Fairydean Rovers2–1
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–1LACivil Service Strollers0–2
Civil Service Strollers0–2–HTranent Juniors07/11
Tranent Juniors07/11–HGala Fairydean Rovers17/11
Gala Fairydean Rovers17/11–ABroxburn Athletic05/12
Broxburn Athletic05/12CowdenbeathDHBonnyrigg Rose Athletic2–2
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2–2WHLochee United3–1
Lochee United3–1WHEast Stirlingshire2–0
East Stirlingshire2–0LAHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–2LALinlithgow Rose2–3
Linlithgow Rose2–3WHStirling University4–2
Stirling University4–2–HBerwick Rangers07/11
Berwick Rangers07/11–HTranent Juniors14/11
Tranent Juniors14/11–AEast Stirlingshire18/11
East Stirlingshire18/11Top Scorers
Bonnyrigg RoseJ. Smith6 ⚽
L. Devine5 ⚽
T. Hogarth3 ⚽
L. Currie3 ⚽
R. Bryce3 ⚽
N. Martyniuk2 ⚽
CowdenbeathR. Walker4 ⚽
B. Mwangi3 ⚽
N. Wedderburn3 ⚽
M. Williamson2 ⚽
D. Mauchin2 ⚽
M. Ferrie1 ⚽
Cards Given
Bonnyrigg RoseCowdenbeathS. Cameron2 🟨
P. McLean1 🟨