Musselburgh Athletic vs Berwick Rangers — Football League - Lowland League
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Musselburgh Athletic and Berwick Rangers meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 26 December 2026. Musselburgh Athletic have recorded 6 wins from 16 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Berwick Rangers have won 19% of their 21 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Musselburgh Athletic and 1.48 for Berwick Rangers. The models give Musselburgh Athletic a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Berwick Rangers win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Musselburgh Athletic—
Berwick Rangers24º
Position
29º
0.91
PPG
0.46
18%
Win %
8%
0.91
Goals / game
0.92
1.36
Conceded / game
1.92
56%
BTTS %
57%
19%
Clean sheet %
14%
63%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Musselburgh Athletic
Home (5)
—
Berwick Rangers
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
0.33
20%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.60
Conceded / game
1.83
50%
BTTS %
70%
13%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Musselburgh Athletic | Home | Away | Berwick Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 63% | 63% | 67% | 64% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 38% | 29% | 36% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 13% | 38% | 19% | 27% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 38% | 38% | 33% | 36% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Musselburgh Athletic | Home | Away | Berwick Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 88% | 75% | 86% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 63% | 38% | 67% | 64% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 18% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 13% | 25% | 14% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Musselburgh Athletic | Berwick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS | 56% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Musselburgh Athletic | Berwick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Musselburgh Athletic (H)W
Lossiemouth2–1
Lossiemouth2–1D
Tranent Juniors1–1
Tranent Juniors1–1W
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–0
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–0D
Bo'ness United2–2
Bo'ness United2–2L
Linlithgow Rose0–2
Linlithgow Rose0–2L
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic0–3
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic0–3Berwick Rangers (A)L
Stenhousemuir1–4
Stenhousemuir1–4L
Stirling University0–1
Stirling University0–1DGala Fairydean Rovers1–1
Gala Fairydean Rovers1–1L
Cowdenbeath0–4
Cowdenbeath0–4L
Airdrie United1–7
Airdrie United1–7L
Civil Service Strollers1–2
Civil Service Strollers1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Musselburgh Athletic
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Berwick Rangers
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
19/09/26Musselburgh Athletic
Berwick Rangers
0–0Musselburgh Athletic| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kilwinning Rangers | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +24 | 30 |
| 2 | Tranent Juniors | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Largs Thistle | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 29 |
| 4 | Linlithgow Rose | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 28 |
| 5 |  Brechin | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 28 |
| 6 |  Broxburn Athletic | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 7 |  Clydebank | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +21 | 26 |
| 8 |  Pollok | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 9 |  Auchinleck Talbot | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +24 | 25 |
| 10 |  Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 25 |
| 11 |  Caledonian Braves | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 23 |
| 12 |  Lochee United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 21 |
| 13 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 20 |
| 14 |  Celtic II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 20 |
| 15 |  Cumnock Juniors | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Johnstone Burgh | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 17 | Bo'ness United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Civil Service Strollers | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 19 |  Troon FC | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 18 |
| 20 |  East Stirlingshire | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
| 21 |  Cumbernauld Colts | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 22 |  Gretna 2008 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 23 | Cowdenbeath | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 24 | Musselburgh Athletic | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 25 |  Renfrew | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 26 |  Albion Rovers | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 27 |  Beith | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 28 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 29 | Berwick Rangers | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 |
| 30 | Stirling University | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -19 | 6 |
| 31 |  Dunipace | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 |
| 32 |  Newton Stewart | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -31 | 4 |
| 33 |  Dalbeattie Star | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -39 | 1 |
Team Insights
Musselburgh Athletic- ●Musselburgh Athletic have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Musselburgh Athletic have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Musselburgh Athletic have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Musselburgh Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Berwick Rangers- ●Berwick Rangers have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Berwick Rangers have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Berwick Rangers failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Berwick Rangers failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Berwick Rangers have lost 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Berwick Rangers failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Berwick Rangers have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Berwick Rangers have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Musselburgh AthleticDABroxburn Athletic0–0
Broxburn Athletic0–0DHTranent Juniors1–1
Tranent Juniors1–1DABerwick Rangers0–0
Berwick Rangers0–0LAHill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn0–1WHGala Fairydean Rovers2–0
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–0LABrechin1–3
Brechin1–3–AEast Stirlingshire07/11
East Stirlingshire07/11–HHill Of Beath Hawthorn17/11
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn17/11–HCivil Service Strollers05/12
Civil Service Strollers05/12Berwick RangersLHEast Stirlingshire2–5
East Stirlingshire2–5LAStirling University0–1
Stirling University0–1DAGala Fairydean Rovers1–1
Gala Fairydean Rovers1–1LHLinlithgow Rose0–1
Linlithgow Rose0–1DHMusselburgh Athletic0–0
Musselburgh Athletic0–0LACivil Service Strollers1–2
Civil Service Strollers1–2–ACowdenbeath07/11
Cowdenbeath07/11–HCivil Service Strollers17/11
Civil Service Strollers17/11–HDunipace05/12
Dunipace05/12Top Scorers
Musselburgh AthleticN. Evans3 ⚽
L. Buchanan3 ⚽
C. Stevenson1 ⚽
J. Barker1 ⚽
O. Hastie1 ⚽
R. Porteous1 ⚽
Berwick RangersG. Binnie4 ⚽
D. Handling3 ⚽
K. Somers3 ⚽
B. McCrystal2 ⚽
C. MacKay2 ⚽
J. O'Connor2 ⚽
Cards Given
Musselburgh AthleticJamie Todd1 🟨
Berwick Rangers