Johnstone Burgh vs Largs Thistle — Football League - Lowland League
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Johnstone Burgh and Largs Thistle meet in the Football League - Lowland League 2026 season on 26 December 2026. Johnstone Burgh have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Largs Thistle have won 69% of their 16 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Johnstone Burgh and 1.35 for Largs Thistle. The models give Johnstone Burgh a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Largs Thistle win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Johnstone | Home | Away | Largs Thistle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 88% | 88% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 86% | 50% | 44% | 57% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 43% | 25% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Johnstone | Home | Away | Largs Thistle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 57% | 100% | 56% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 57% | 50% | 25% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 14% | 38% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 43% | 0% | 44% | 57% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Johnstone | Largs Thistle | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS | 73% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Johnstone | Largs Thistle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +24 | 30 | |
| 2 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 29 | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 29 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 28 | |
| 5 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 28 | |
| 6 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 28 | |
| 7 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +21 | 26 | |
| 8 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 | |
| 9 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +24 | 25 | |
| 10 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 25 | |
| 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 23 | |
| 12 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +9 | 21 | |
| 13 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 20 | |
| 14 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 20 | |
| 15 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +8 | 20 | |
| 16 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 | |
| 17 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 19 | |
| 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 | |
| 19 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 18 | |
| 20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 | |
| 21 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| 22 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | |
| 23 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 10 | |
| 24 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 | |
| 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 | |
| 26 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 | |
| 27 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 | 9 | |
| 28 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -14 | 7 | |
| 29 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 | |
| 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -19 | 6 | |
| 31 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 4 | |
| 32 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -31 | 4 | |
| 33 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -39 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ● Johnstone Burgh failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ● Johnstone Burgh have won their last 3 home matches.
- ● Johnstone Burgh have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ● Johnstone Burgh failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ● Johnstone Burgh failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ● Johnstone Burgh have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Johnstone Burgh's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Largs Thistle have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Largs Thistle have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Largs Thistle have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Largs Thistle have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Largs Thistle have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Largs Thistle have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Largs Thistle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Largs Thistle have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Largs Thistle have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Largs Thistle's goals have been scored at home.