Næsby vs ASA Aarhus — 3. Division
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ALPI Arena Næsby·Odense·Denmark·4,500
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Næsby and ASA Aarhus meet in the 3. Division 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Næsby have recorded 11 wins from 24 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 2.38 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. ASA Aarhus have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.95 for Næsby and 1.15 for ASA Aarhus. The models give Næsby a 56% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an ASA Aarhus win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Næsby—
ASA Aarhus6º
Position
8º
1.38
PPG
1.23
38%
Win %
38%
1.77
Goals / game
1.23
1.54
Conceded / game
1.46
54%
BTTS %
53%
29%
Clean sheet %
27%
71%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Næsby
Home (7)
—
ASA Aarhus
Away (7)
1.71
PPG
0.43
43%
Win %
14%
2.00
Goals / game
0.71
1.29
Conceded / game
2.00
62%
BTTS %
50%
31%
Clean sheet %
25%
69%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Næsby | Home | Away | ASA Aarhus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 85% | 73% | 73% | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 69% | 55% | 20% | 43% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 31% | 36% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 15% | 27% | 27% | 14% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Næsby | Home | Away | ASA Aarhus | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 69% | 73% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 46% | 36% | 40% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 31% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Næsby | ASA Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 7% |
| BTTS | 54% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Næsby | ASA Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Næsby (H)L
Holbæk B&I1–2
Holbæk B&I1–2D
Vanløse2–2
Vanløse2–2W
Holstebro4–0
Holstebro4–0D
FC Helsingor1–1
FC Helsingor1–1L
AC Horsens2–3
AC Horsens2–3W
Hørsholm-Usserød4–3
Hørsholm-Usserød4–3ASA Aarhus (A)LVanløse0–1
Vanløse0–1LFC Helsingor1–2
FC Helsingor1–2LHolbæk B&I1–2
Holbæk B&I1–2L
Brønshøj1–5
Brønshøj1–5L
Sundby0–1
Sundby0–1L
Frem1–3
Frem1–3Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Næsby
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
ASA Aarhus
100%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
13/09/26Næsby
ASA Aarhus
1–0Næsby| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 29 |
| 2 | Brønshøj | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 | Vanløse | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Helsingor | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Næsby | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Sundby | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | ASA Aarhus | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 |  Ishøj | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Frem | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Holstebro | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 13 |
| 12 |  Ringsted | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -19 | 6 |
Team Insights
Næsby- ●Næsby have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Næsby have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Næsby have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Næsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Næsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Næsby have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Næsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Næsby have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
ASA Aarhus- ●ASA Aarhus have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●ASA Aarhus have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of ASA Aarhus's goals have been scored at home.
- ●74% of ASA Aarhus's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of ASA Aarhus's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
NæsbyLHHolbæk B&I1–2
Holbæk B&I1–2DHVanløse2–2
Vanløse2–2LAFrem0–2
Frem0–2WHHolstebro4–0
Holstebro4–0WARingsted2–1
Ringsted2–1DHFC Helsingor1–1
FC Helsingor1–1–ABrønshøj31/10
Brønshøj31/10–HASA Aarhus07/11
ASA Aarhus07/11–AHørsholm-Usserød14/11
Hørsholm-Usserød14/11ASA AarhusLAVanløse0–1
Vanløse0–1LHSundby1–2
Sundby1–2LAFC Helsingor1–2
FC Helsingor1–2LAHolbæk B&I1–2
Holbæk B&I1–2WHHørsholm-Usserød2–1
Hørsholm-Usserød2–1LABrønshøj1–5
Brønshøj1–5–HFrem31/10
Frem31/10–ANæsby07/11
Næsby07/11–HHolbæk B&I14/11
Holbæk B&I14/11Top Scorers
Næsby19 ⚽
M. Schou Jorgensen9 ⚽
M. Jorgensen3 ⚽
S. Vollerup3 ⚽
K. Host2 ⚽
A. Kjaergaard2 ⚽
ASA Aarhus8 ⚽
A. Lauridsen3 ⚽
M. Nicolaisen3 ⚽
W. Saleh3 ⚽
J. Dahl2 ⚽
Cards Given
NæsbyR. Larsen2 🟨
A. Kjaergaard1 🟨
A. Molberg1 🟨
ASA AarhusF. Norgaard1 🟨
1 🟨