Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Ural — First League
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Shinnik Yaroslavl and Ural meet in the First League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Shinnik Yaroslavl have recorded 8 wins from 20 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Ural have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.31 for Ural. The models give Shinnik Yaroslavl a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ural win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Shinnik Yaroslavl—
Ural8º
Position
6º
1.43
PPG
1.79
29%
Win %
50%
1.29
Goals / game
1.57
1.00
Conceded / game
0.71
40%
BTTS %
48%
45%
Clean sheet %
43%
35%
Over 2.5 %
52%
6.9
Avg corners
5.2
5.1
Avg shots
6.2
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.8%
Avg possession
53.6%
Home vs Away
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Home (8)
—
Ural
Away (7)
1.38
PPG
1.86
25%
Win %
43%
1.38
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
0.71
36%
BTTS %
63%
55%
Clean sheet %
38%
36%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.9
Avg corners
5.2
5.1
Avg shots
6.2
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.3
46.8%
Avg possession
53.6%
Goals Scored
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 82% | 67% | 83% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 64% | 33% | 54% | 60% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 9% | 11% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 18% | 33% | 17% | 20% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 45% | 67% | 58% | 53% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 27% | 22% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 22% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 55% | 33% | 42% | 47% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 15% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl (H)W
Tekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0D
Ska-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0L
KAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1DUral1–1
Ural1–1W
Torpedo Moskva2–0
Torpedo Moskva2–0D
Rotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2Ural (A)W
Chelyabinsk3–1
Chelyabinsk3–1W
Spartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1W
FK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1L
Luki-Energiya1–2
Luki-Energiya1–2D
Arsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 56% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 44% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 44% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 11% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.9 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 22% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Ural
67%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
17%
Over 2.5
1/6
0%
Over 3.5
0/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
14/09/26Ural
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1Ural04/05/26Shinnik Yaroslavl
Ural
0–1Shinnik Yaroslavl19/07/25Ural
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1Ural10/11/24Ural
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2Ural20/07/24Shinnik Yaroslavl
Ural
2–1Shinnik Yaroslavl24/06/20Ural
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2Ural| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +29 | 40 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moskva | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Enisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 10 |
Team Insights
Shinnik Yaroslavl- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Ural- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ural have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Shinnik YaroslavlDAVeles1–1
Veles1–1WHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DHSka-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0LHKAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1DHUral1–1
Ural1–1DHRotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2–HSpartak Kostroma26/10
Spartak Kostroma26/10–AChelyabinsk31/10
Chelyabinsk31/10–HFC UFA07/11
FC UFA07/11UralWAChelyabinsk3–1
Chelyabinsk3–1LHNizhny Novgorod1–2
Nizhny Novgorod1–2LHVeles1–2
Veles1–2WASpartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1WAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1–AFC Sochi31/10
FC Sochi31/10–HVolga Ulyanovsk07/11
Volga Ulyanovsk07/11–AFC UFA21/11
FC UFA21/11Top Scorers
Shinnik YaroslavlI. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
Eduard Valiakhmetov2 ⚽
D. Mironov1 ⚽
D. Martovoy1 ⚽
UralM. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
Martin Sekulic3 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Silvije Begić2 ⚽
Cards Given
Shinnik YaroslavlEduard Valiakhmetov4 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Ilya Azyavin2 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Artem Lavrenkov2 🟨
Maksim Karaev2 🟨
UralVitaliy Stezhko3 🟨
Silvije Begić3 🟨
Evgeniy Kharin3 🟨
Léo Cordeiro2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin2 🟨
Ilya Ishkov2 🟨