Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi — First League
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Stadion Arsenal·Tula·Russia·20,074
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Arsenal Tula and FC Sochi meet in the First League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Arsenal Tula have recorded 9 wins from 28 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. FC Sochi have won 56% of their 27 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Arsenal Tula and 1.59 for FC Sochi. The models give Arsenal Tula a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an FC Sochi win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Arsenal Tula—
FC Sochi10º
Position
2º
1.27
PPG
2.13
33%
Win %
67%
1.27
Goals / game
1.73
1.93
Conceded / game
1.00
61%
BTTS %
63%
11%
Clean sheet %
19%
64%
Over 2.5 %
74%
4.0
Avg corners
4.8
5.0
Avg shots
7.5
3.4
Avg shots on target
2.7
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.2%
Avg possession
50.3%
Home vs Away
Arsenal Tula
Home (8)
—
FC Sochi
Away (8)
2.13
PPG
2.38
63%
Win %
75%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.25
71%
BTTS %
78%
7%
Clean sheet %
11%
71%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.0
Avg corners
4.8
5.0
Avg shots
7.5
3.4
Avg shots on target
2.7
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
50.2%
Avg possession
50.3%
Goals Scored
| Arsenal Tula | Home | Away | FC Sochi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 79% | 57% | 81% | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 36% | 63% | 61% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 21% | 21% | 33% | 39% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 21% | 43% | 19% | 22% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Arsenal Tula | Home | Away | FC Sochi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 93% | 86% | 81% | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 50% | 71% | 52% | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 21% | 43% | 15% | 22% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arsenal Tula | FC Sochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 26% |
| BTTS | 61% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 37% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arsenal Tula | FC Sochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 52% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Arsenal Tula (H)W
KAMAZ4–3
KAMAZ4–3W
Spartak Kostroma3–2
Spartak Kostroma3–2D
Ska-khabarovsk2–2
Ska-khabarovsk2–2D
Ural2–2
Ural2–2W
Rotor Volgograd2–1
Rotor Volgograd2–1W
Torpedo Moskva1–0
Torpedo Moskva1–0FC Sochi (A)W
Tekstilshchik3–1
Tekstilshchik3–1WRotor Volgograd1–0
Rotor Volgograd1–0W
Veles2–1
Veles2–1L
Dinamo St. Petersburg0–2
Dinamo St. Petersburg0–2WKAMAZ3–2
KAMAZ3–2W
FK Neftekhimik2–1
FK Neftekhimik2–1Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Arsenal Tula | FC Sochi | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 78% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 67% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 44% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 22% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 11% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arsenal Tula | FC Sochi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 44% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 33% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Arsenal Tula
20%
3
Draws
30%
5
FC Sochi
50%
100%
Over 1.5
10/10
70%
Over 2.5
7/10
50%
Over 3.5
5/10
70%
BTTS
7/10
26/07/26Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
5–0Arsenal Tula26/06/26Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
3–3Arsenal Tula03/05/25Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
5–1Arsenal Tula13/10/24FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
1–1FC Sochi26/02/22Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
2–0Arsenal Tula31/10/21FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
1–2FC Sochi27/02/21Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
4–0Arsenal Tula20/09/20FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
3–2FC Sochi01/03/20Arsenal Tula
FC Sochi
1–2Arsenal Tula20/10/19FC Sochi
Arsenal Tula
1–1FC Sochi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +29 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moskva | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Enisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 10 |
Team Insights
Arsenal Tula- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●84% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.
FC Sochi- ●FC Sochi have won their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC Sochi failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of FC Sochi's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of FC Sochi's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●FC Sochi have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Arsenal TulaWHKAMAZ4–3
KAMAZ4–3LAFC UFA0–2
FC UFA0–2WHSpartak Kostroma3–2
Spartak Kostroma3–2LAEnisey1–3
Enisey1–3DHSka-khabarovsk2–2
Ska-khabarovsk2–2LAVolga Ulyanovsk0–3
Volga Ulyanovsk0–3–ANizhny Novgorod31/10
Nizhny Novgorod31/10–HChelyabinsk07/11
Chelyabinsk07/11–ATekstilshchik21/11
Tekstilshchik21/11FC SochiWATekstilshchik3–1
Tekstilshchik3–1WARotor Volgograd1–0
Rotor Volgograd1–0WHFC UFA1–0
FC UFA1–0DHSka-khabarovsk1–1
Ska-khabarovsk1–1WAVeles2–1
Veles2–1LHNizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1–HUral31/10
Ural31/10–AEnisey07/11
Enisey07/11–HVeles21/11
Veles21/11Top Scorers
Arsenal TulaTimur Melekestsev3 ⚽
T. Melekestsev3 ⚽
Rashid Magomedov3 ⚽
R. Magomedov2 ⚽
E. Reyes2 ⚽
K. Bogdanets2 ⚽
FC SochiM. Ignatov7 ⚽
Zakhar Fedorov4 ⚽
Z. Fedorov4 ⚽
R. Magal2 ⚽
P. Meleshin2 ⚽
A. Osipov2 ⚽
Cards Given
Arsenal TulaNikita Karmaev4 🟨
Y. Krashevskiy3 🟨
Milos Brnovic3 🟨
D. Plotnikov3 🟨
Oleg Isaenko3 🟨
D. Shamkin2 🟨
FC SochiAleksandr Soldatenkov3 🟨
Maksim Kuzmin3 🟨
Aleksandr Metsiev3 🟨
Igor Kalinin3 🟨
A. Osipov2 🟨
Timofey Mitrov2 🟨