Ural vs Arsenal Tula — First League
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Ural and Arsenal Tula meet in the First League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Ural have recorded 12 wins from 24 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Arsenal Tula have won 32% of their 28 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Ural and 0.92 for Arsenal Tula. The models give Ural a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Arsenal Tula win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Ural—
Arsenal Tula6º
Position
10º
1.79
PPG
1.27
50%
Win %
33%
1.57
Goals / game
1.27
0.71
Conceded / game
1.93
50%
BTTS %
61%
42%
Clean sheet %
11%
54%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.2
Avg corners
4.0
6.2
Avg shots
5.0
2.9
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
53.6%
Avg possession
50.2%
Home vs Away
Ural
Home (7)
—
Arsenal Tula
Away (7)
1.71
PPG
0.29
57%
Win %
0%
1.71
Goals / game
0.43
0.71
Conceded / game
2.43
40%
BTTS %
50%
47%
Clean sheet %
14%
53%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.2
Avg corners
4.0
6.2
Avg shots
5.0
2.9
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.3
53.6%
Avg possession
50.2%
Goals Scored
| Ural | Home | Away | Arsenal Tula | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 89% | 68% | 79% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 60% | 44% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 27% | 22% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 11% | 32% | 21% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Ural | Home | Away | Arsenal Tula | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 53% | 67% | 89% | 93% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 27% | 22% | 61% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 7% | 0% | 32% | 21% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 47% | 33% | 11% | 7% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ural | Arsenal Tula | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ural | Arsenal Tula | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 52% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 59% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Ural (H)L
Nizhny Novgorod1–2
Nizhny Novgorod1–2L
Veles1–2
Veles1–2W
KAMAZ2–0
KAMAZ2–0W
Tekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0W
FC UFA3–0
FC UFA3–0W
Enisey3–0
Enisey3–0Arsenal Tula (A)LFC UFA0–2
FC UFA0–2L
CSKA Moscow1–3
CSKA Moscow1–3W
Lokomotiv2–0
Lokomotiv2–0LEnisey1–3
Enisey1–3LTekstilshchik0–1
Tekstilshchik0–1L
Volga Ulyanovsk0–3
Volga Ulyanovsk0–3Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
8.7
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Ural | Arsenal Tula | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 56% | 67% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 44% | 56% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 44% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 33% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 22% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 11% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ural | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 44% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
6
Ural
33%
8
Draws
44%
4
Arsenal Tula
22%
78%
Over 1.5
14/18
39%
Over 2.5
7/18
22%
Over 3.5
4/18
56%
BTTS
10/18
29/08/26Ural
Arsenal Tula
2–2Ural15/03/26Arsenal Tula
Ural
2–0Arsenal Tula24/10/25Ural
Arsenal Tula
1–2Ural24/03/25Arsenal Tula
Ural
0–0Arsenal Tula16/09/24Ural
Arsenal Tula
1–0Ural21/05/22Ural
Arsenal Tula
1–2Ural27/09/21Arsenal Tula
Ural
2–0Arsenal Tula04/04/21Arsenal Tula
Ural
2–0Arsenal Tula18/10/20Ural
Arsenal Tula
1–0Ural15/07/20Arsenal Tula
Ural
1–3Arsenal Tula30/10/19Arsenal Tula
Ural
4–4Arsenal Tula22/09/19Ural
Arsenal Tula
1–1Ural13/04/19Ural
Arsenal Tula
0–0Ural29/09/18Arsenal Tula
Ural
2–1Arsenal Tula08/12/17Arsenal Tula
Ural
1–1Arsenal Tula14/08/17Ural
Arsenal Tula
2–2Ural10/03/17Ural
Arsenal Tula
2–0Ural28/08/16Arsenal Tula
Ural
1–1Arsenal Tula| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +29 | 40 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 |  FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 10 |
Team Insights
Ural- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ural have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Arsenal Tula- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Arsenal Tula have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●84% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
UralWAChelyabinsk3–1
Chelyabinsk3–1LHNizhny Novgorod1–2
Nizhny Novgorod1–2LHVeles1–2
Veles1–2WASpartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1WAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1–AFC Sochi31/10
FC Sochi31/10–HVolga Ulyanovsk07/11
Volga Ulyanovsk07/11–AFC UFA21/11
FC UFA21/11Arsenal TulaWHKAMAZ4–3
KAMAZ4–3LAFC UFA0–2
FC UFA0–2WHSpartak Kostroma3–2
Spartak Kostroma3–2LAEnisey1–3
Enisey1–3DHSka-khabarovsk2–2
Ska-khabarovsk2–2LAVolga Ulyanovsk0–3
Volga Ulyanovsk0–3–ANizhny Novgorod31/10
Nizhny Novgorod31/10–HChelyabinsk07/11
Chelyabinsk07/11–ATekstilshchik21/11
Tekstilshchik21/11Top Scorers
UralM. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
Martin Sekulic3 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Silvije Begić2 ⚽
Arsenal TulaTimur Melekestsev3 ⚽
T. Melekestsev3 ⚽
Rashid Magomedov3 ⚽
R. Magomedov2 ⚽
E. Reyes2 ⚽
K. Bogdanets2 ⚽
Cards Given
UralVitaliy Stezhko3 🟨
Silvije Begić3 🟨
Evgeniy Kharin3 🟨
Léo Cordeiro2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin2 🟨
Ilya Ishkov2 🟨
Arsenal TulaNikita Karmaev4 🟨
Y. Krashevskiy3 🟨
Milos Brnovic3 🟨
D. Plotnikov3 🟨
Oleg Isaenko3 🟨
D. Shamkin2 🟨