FC UFA vs Ural — First League
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FC UFA and Ural meet in the First League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. FC UFA have recorded 7 wins from 24 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Ural have won 50% of their 24 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for FC UFA and 1.23 for Ural. The models give FC UFA a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ural win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
FC UFA—
Ural7º
Position
6º
1.40
PPG
1.79
33%
Win %
50%
1.20
Goals / game
1.57
1.00
Conceded / game
0.71
54%
BTTS %
50%
21%
Clean sheet %
42%
50%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.1
Avg corners
5.2
5.6
Avg shots
6.2
2.8
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
14.0
Avg fouls
0.0
51.4%
Avg possession
53.6%
Home vs Away
FC UFA
Home (9)
—
Ural
Away (7)
1.78
PPG
1.86
44%
Win %
43%
1.44
Goals / game
1.43
0.67
Conceded / game
0.71
55%
BTTS %
67%
36%
Clean sheet %
33%
45%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.1
Avg corners
5.2
5.6
Avg shots
6.2
2.8
Avg shots on target
2.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
51.4%
Avg possession
53.6%
Goals Scored
| FC UFA | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 82% | 62% | 83% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 55% | 23% | 54% | 60% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 27% | 0% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 18% | 38% | 17% | 20% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| FC UFA | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 64% | 92% | 58% | 53% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 18% | 54% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 36% | 8% | 42% | 47% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC UFA | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 8% |
| BTTS | 54% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC UFA | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
FC UFA (H)L
Nizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1W
Arsenal Tula2–0
Arsenal Tula2–0D
Torpedo Moskva0–0
Torpedo Moskva0–0D
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
Veles1–1
Veles1–1W
Enisey3–1
Enisey3–1Ural (A)W
Chelyabinsk3–1
Chelyabinsk3–1W
Spartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1W
FK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0D
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1L
Luki-Energiya1–2
Luki-Energiya1–2DArsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | FC UFA | Ural | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 56% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 44% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 44% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 44% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 11% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC UFA | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 22% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
5
FC UFA
26%
5
Draws
26%
9
Ural
47%
79%
Over 1.5
15/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
21%
Over 3.5
4/19
53%
BTTS
10/19
08/08/26FC UFA
Ural
3–0FC UFA12/04/26FC UFA
Ural
0–0FC UFA15/09/25Ural
FC UFA
2–3Ural11/05/25FC UFA
Ural
2–1FC UFA12/08/24Ural
FC UFA
0–2Ural05/07/22FC UFA
Ural
1–4FC UFA23/04/22FC UFA
Ural
2–1FC UFA03/10/21Ural
FC UFA
0–1Ural07/03/21FC UFA
Ural
0–0FC UFA03/03/21Ural
FC UFA
3–0Ural01/11/20Ural
FC UFA
1–2Ural05/07/20Ural
FC UFA
1–1Ural13/07/19FC UFA
Ural
3–2FC UFA28/04/19Ural
FC UFA
4–1Ural27/10/18FC UFA
Ural
1–1FC UFA19/11/17Ural
FC UFA
2–0Ural29/07/17FC UFA
Ural
1–1FC UFA21/05/17Ural
FC UFA
1–0Ural31/07/16FC UFA
Ural
2–0FC UFA| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +29 | 40 |
| 2 |  FC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moskva | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 |  KAMAZ | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 10 |
Team Insights
FC UFA- ●FC UFA have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC UFA have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●FC UFA failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of FC UFA's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of FC UFA's points have been earned at home.
Ural- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ural have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FC UFALHNizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1WHArsenal Tula2–0
Arsenal Tula2–0LAFC Sochi0–1
FC Sochi0–1DHTorpedo Moskva0–0
Torpedo Moskva0–0LAChelyabinsk1–2
Chelyabinsk1–2DHVolga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2–ARotor Volgograd31/10
Rotor Volgograd31/10–AShinnik Yaroslavl07/11
Shinnik Yaroslavl07/11–HUral21/11
Ural21/11UralWAChelyabinsk3–1
Chelyabinsk3–1LHNizhny Novgorod1–2
Nizhny Novgorod1–2LHVeles1–2
Veles1–2WASpartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1WAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1–AFC Sochi31/10
FC Sochi31/10–HVolga Ulyanovsk07/11
Volga Ulyanovsk07/11–AFC UFA21/11
FC UFA21/11Top Scorers
FC UFAM. Yakuev3 ⚽
D. Ortiz3 ⚽
Dilan Ortíz3 ⚽
Georgiy Gongadze2 ⚽
M. Ageyan1 ⚽
S. Isaev1 ⚽
UralM. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
Martin Sekulic3 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Silvije Begić2 ⚽
Cards Given
FC UFAD. Kutin3 🟨
Zaur Tarba3 🟨
Ilya Khanenko2 🟨
I. Agapov2 🟨
Danil Lipovoy2 🟨
Ilya Agapov2 🟨
UralVitaliy Stezhko3 🟨
Silvije Begić3 🟨
Evgeniy Kharin3 🟨
Léo Cordeiro2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin2 🟨
Ilya Ishkov2 🟨