Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA — First League
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Shinnik Yaroslavl and FC UFA meet in the First League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Shinnik Yaroslavl have recorded 8 wins from 20 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. FC UFA have won 29% of their 24 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.00 for FC UFA. The models give Shinnik Yaroslavl a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC UFA win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Shinnik Yaroslavl—
FC UFA8º
Position
7º
1.43
PPG
1.40
29%
Win %
33%
1.29
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
54%
45%
Clean sheet %
21%
35%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.9
Avg corners
4.1
5.1
Avg shots
5.6
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.5
0.0
Avg fouls
14.0
46.8%
Avg possession
51.4%
Home vs Away
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Home (8)
—
FC UFA
Away (6)
1.38
PPG
0.83
25%
Win %
17%
1.38
Goals / game
0.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
36%
BTTS %
54%
55%
Clean sheet %
8%
36%
Over 2.5 %
54%
6.9
Avg corners
4.1
5.1
Avg shots
5.6
3.0
Avg shots on target
2.8
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.5
46.8%
Avg possession
51.4%
Goals Scored
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | FC UFA | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 82% | 67% | 71% | 82% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 64% | 33% | 38% | 55% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 27% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 18% | 33% | 29% | 18% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | FC UFA | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 45% | 67% | 79% | 64% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 27% | 22% | 38% | 18% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 55% | 33% | 21% | 36% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | FC UFA | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 4% |
| BTTS | 40% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | FC UFA | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 15% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl (H)W
Tekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0D
Ska-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0L
KAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1D
Ural1–1
Ural1–1W
Torpedo Moskva2–0
Torpedo Moskva2–0D
Rotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2FC UFA (A)L
FC Sochi0–1
FC Sochi0–1L
Chelyabinsk1–2
Chelyabinsk1–2L
Kaluga0–1
Kaluga0–1W
FK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0D
Spartak Kostroma1–1
Spartak Kostroma1–1LUral0–3
Ural0–3Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
9.1
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | FC UFA | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 80% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 70% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 60% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 30% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 0% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | FC UFA |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.9 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 60% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
5
Shinnik Yaroslavl
71%
0
Draws
0%
2
FC UFA
29%
43%
Over 1.5
3/7
29%
Over 2.5
2/7
0%
Over 3.5
0/7
14%
BTTS
1/7
09/03/26FC UFA
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–0FC UFA02/08/25Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC UFA
1–0Shinnik Yaroslavl27/04/25Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC UFA
1–0Shinnik Yaroslavl15/10/24Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC UFA
0–1Shinnik Yaroslavl07/09/24FC UFA
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–0FC UFA19/03/23Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC UFA
1–2Shinnik Yaroslavl27/08/22FC UFA
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3–0FC UFA| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +29 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moskva | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 | Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Enisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 10 |
Team Insights
Shinnik Yaroslavl- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
FC UFA- ●FC UFA have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC UFA have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●FC UFA failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of FC UFA's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of FC UFA's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Shinnik YaroslavlDAVeles1–1
Veles1–1WHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DHSka-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0LHKAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1DHUral1–1
Ural1–1DHRotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2–HSpartak Kostroma26/10
Spartak Kostroma26/10–AChelyabinsk31/10
Chelyabinsk31/10–HFC UFA07/11
FC UFA07/11FC UFALHNizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1WHArsenal Tula2–0
Arsenal Tula2–0LAFC Sochi0–1
FC Sochi0–1DHTorpedo Moskva0–0
Torpedo Moskva0–0LAChelyabinsk1–2
Chelyabinsk1–2DHVolga Ulyanovsk2–2
Volga Ulyanovsk2–2–ARotor Volgograd31/10
Rotor Volgograd31/10–AShinnik Yaroslavl07/11
Shinnik Yaroslavl07/11–HUral21/11
Ural21/11Top Scorers
Shinnik YaroslavlI. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
Eduard Valiakhmetov2 ⚽
D. Mironov1 ⚽
D. Martovoy1 ⚽
FC UFAM. Yakuev3 ⚽
D. Ortiz3 ⚽
Dilan Ortíz3 ⚽
Georgiy Gongadze2 ⚽
M. Ageyan1 ⚽
S. Isaev1 ⚽
Cards Given
Shinnik YaroslavlEduard Valiakhmetov4 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Ilya Azyavin2 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Artem Lavrenkov2 🟨
Maksim Karaev2 🟨
FC UFAD. Kutin3 🟨
Zaur Tarba3 🟨
Ilya Khanenko2 🟨
I. Agapov2 🟨
Danil Lipovoy2 🟨
Ilya Agapov2 🟨