Russia · First League · Regular Season - 17

Arsenal Tula

10º · 1.27 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 2h

–

Chelyabinsk

12º · 1.07 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 6h

Stadion Arsenal·Tula·Russia·20,074

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Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk meet in the First League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Arsenal Tula have recorded 9 wins from 28 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Chelyabinsk have won 31% of their 29 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Arsenal Tula and 1.45 for Chelyabinsk. The models give Arsenal Tula a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Chelyabinsk win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Arsenal Tula

—

Chelyabinsk

10º

Position

12º

1.27

PPG

1.07

33%

Win %

29%

1.27

Goals / game

1.29

1.93

Conceded / game

1.64

61%

BTTS %

59%

11%

Clean sheet %

21%

64%

Over 2.5 %

48%

4.0

Avg corners

5.5

5.0

Avg shots

7.4

3.4

Avg shots on target

3.4

2.3

Avg yellow cards

1.7

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

50.2%

Avg possession

50.6%

Home vs Away

Arsenal Tula

Home (8)

—

Chelyabinsk

Away (8)

2.13

PPG

1.00

63%

Win %

25%

2.00

Goals / game

1.38

1.50

Conceded / game

1.63

71%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

29%

71%

Over 2.5 %

36%

4.0

Avg corners

5.5

5.0

Avg shots

7.4

3.4

Avg shots on target

3.4

2.3

Avg yellow cards

1.7

50.2%

Avg possession

50.6%

Goals Scored

	Arsenal Tula	Home	Away	Chelyabinsk	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	68%	79%	57%	76%	73%	79%
Over 1.5 Scored	43%	50%	36%	31%	40%	21%
Over 2.5 Scored	21%	21%	21%	7%	7%	7%
Failed To Score	32%	21%	43%	24%	27%	21%

Goals Conceded

	Arsenal Tula	Home	Away	Chelyabinsk	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	89%	93%	86%	79%	87%	71%
Over 1.5 Conceded	61%	50%	71%	41%	47%	36%
Over 2.5 Conceded	32%	21%	43%	21%	27%	14%
Clean Sheets	11%	7%	14%	21%	13%	29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk
Over 0.5	96%	97%
Over 1.5	82%	76%
Over 2.5	64%	48%
Over 3.5	50%	28%
Over 4.5	25%	14%
BTTS	61%	59%
BTTS & Win	25%	14%
BTTS & Draw	21%	21%
BTTS & Over 2.5	54%	41%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	11%	7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk
Win 1st Half	15%	21%
Draw 1st Half	33%	36%
Loss 1st Half	52%	43%
Scored 1st Half	37%	39%
Conceded 1st Half	67%	54%
Win 2nd Half	33%	21%
Draw 2nd Half	22%	50%
Loss 2nd Half	44%	29%
Scored 2nd Half	44%	46%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	46%
Over 0.5 HT	78%	71%
Over 1.5 HT	41%	39%

Recent Venue Form

Arsenal Tula (H)

KAMAZ4–3

Spartak Kostroma3–2

Ska-khabarovsk2–2

Ural2–2

Rotor Volgograd2–1

Torpedo Moskva1–0

Chelyabinsk (A)

Tekstilshchik1–2

Spartak Kostroma0–1

FK Neftekhimik4–2

KAMAZ1–1

Dinamo Barnaul2–0

FC Sochi1–2

Number of Corners

8.7

Corners / Match

9 games

League Avg

9.4

70 games

10.7

Corners / Match

10 games

Match Corners	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk	League Avg
Over 6	67%	90%	77%
Over 7	56%	80%	70%
Over 8	44%	80%	61%
Over 9	33%	70%	49%
Over 10	33%	60%	37%
Over 11	22%	40%	27%
Over 12	11%	20%	17%
Over 13	11%	10%	10%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Arsenal Tula	Chelyabinsk
Corners Earned / Match	4.0	5.5
Corners Against / Match	4.7	5.2
Over 2.5 Corners For	67%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	44%	80%
Over 4.5 Corners For	44%	60%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	89%	90%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	67%	80%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	44%	60%

Head to Head · 3 matches

Arsenal Tula

Draws

100%

Chelyabinsk

33%

Over 1.5

1/3

33%

Over 2.5

1/3

33%

Over 3.5

1/3

33%

BTTS

1/3

22/04/26

Arsenal Tula

0–0

Chelyabinsk

19/10/25

Chelyabinsk

2–2

Arsenal Tula

15/02/25

Arsenal Tula

0–0

Chelyabinsk

First League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	15	13	1	1	+29	40
2	FC Sochi	15	10	2	3	+11	32
3	Torpedo Moskva	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	+7	27
5	Veles	15	8	3	4	+2	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	+12	25
7	FC UFA	15	5	6	4	+3	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	+4	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	15	5	4	6	+5	19
10	Arsenal Tula	15	5	4	6	-10	19
11	Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	-2	18
12	Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	-5	15
13	Enisey	15	3	5	7	-14	14
14	KAMAZ	15	3	4	8	-8	13
15	Leningradets	14	3	4	7	-14	13
16	FK Neftekhimik	14	4	0	10	-11	12
17	Ska-khabarovsk	15	2	4	9	-10	10
18	Tekstilshchik	15	2	4	9	-14	10

Team Insights

Arsenal Tula

●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
●Arsenal Tula have won their last 2 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 4 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
●84% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
●89% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.

Chelyabinsk

●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
●Chelyabinsk have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
●Chelyabinsk have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Chelyabinsk have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
●Chelyabinsk have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
●Chelyabinsk have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.

Arsenal Tula

WHKAMAZ14º4–3

LAFC UFA7º0–2

WHSpartak Kostroma4º3–2

LACSKA Moscow1–3

WALokomotiv2–0

LAEnisey13º1–3

DHSka-khabarovsk17º2–2

LATekstilshchik0–1

LAVolga Ulyanovsk11º0–3

DHUral6º2–2

Chelyabinsk

LHUral6º1–3

LATekstilshchik18º1–2

LASpartak Kostroma0–1

WAFK Neftekhimik16º4–2

DHEnisey13º1–1

WHFC UFA7º2–1

DAKAMAZ14º1–1

WADinamo Barnaul2–0

LHSpartak Kostroma4º0–1

LAFC Sochi2º1–2

Season Schedule

Arsenal Tula

KAMAZ4–3

FC UFA0–2

Spartak Kostroma3–2

Enisey1–3

Ska-khabarovsk2–2

Volga Ulyanovsk0–3

–A

Nizhny Novgorod31/10

–H

Chelyabinsk07/11

–A

Tekstilshchik21/11

Chelyabinsk

Ural1–3

Tekstilshchik1–2

FK Neftekhimik4–2

Enisey1–1

FC UFA2–1

KAMAZ1–1

–H

Shinnik Yaroslavl31/10

–A

Arsenal Tula07/11

–H

Leningradets21/11

Top Scorers

Arsenal Tula

Timur Melekestsev3 ⚽

T. Melekestsev3 ⚽

Rashid Magomedov3 ⚽

R. Magomedov2 ⚽

E. Reyes2 ⚽

K. Bogdanets2 ⚽

Chelyabinsk

Ramazan Gadzhimuradov5 ⚽

R. Gadzhimuradov4 ⚽

3 ⚽

M. Urvantsev3 ⚽

Matvey Urvantsev3 ⚽

I. Safronov2 ⚽

Cards Given

Arsenal Tula

Nikita Karmaev4 🟨

Y. Krashevskiy3 🟨

Milos Brnovic3 🟨

D. Plotnikov3 🟨

Oleg Isaenko3 🟨

D. Shamkin2 🟨

Chelyabinsk

7 🟨

Khetag Kochiev5 🟨

Ilya Safronov4 🟨

Konstantin Kertanov2 🟨

I. Safronov2 🟨

Denis Pokotylo2 🟨

Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk — First League

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 3 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given