FC Sochi vs Ural — First League
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FC Sochi and Ural meet in the First League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. FC Sochi have recorded 15 wins from 27 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Ural have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for FC Sochi and 1.31 for Ural. The models give FC Sochi a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ural win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
FC Sochi—
Ural2º
Position
6º
2.13
PPG
1.79
67%
Win %
50%
1.73
Goals / game
1.57
1.00
Conceded / game
0.71
63%
BTTS %
48%
19%
Clean sheet %
43%
74%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.8
Avg corners
5.2
7.5
Avg shots
6.2
2.7
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.3%
Avg possession
53.6%
Home vs Away
FC Sochi
Home (7)
—
Ural
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
1.86
57%
Win %
43%
1.43
Goals / game
1.43
0.71
Conceded / game
0.71
56%
BTTS %
63%
22%
Clean sheet %
38%
72%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.8
Avg corners
5.2
7.5
Avg shots
6.2
2.7
Avg shots on target
2.9
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.3
50.3%
Avg possession
53.6%
Goals Scored
| FC Sochi | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 78% | 89% | 83% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 61% | 67% | 54% | 60% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 39% | 22% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 22% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Sochi | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 78% | 89% | 58% | 53% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 56% | 44% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 22% | 0% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 22% | 11% | 42% | 47% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Sochi | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 8% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Sochi | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Sochi (H)W
FC UFA1–0
FC UFA1–0D
Ska-khabarovsk1–1
Ska-khabarovsk1–1L
Nizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1W
Chelyabinsk2–1
Chelyabinsk2–1W
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
Arsenal Tula5–0
Arsenal Tula5–0Ural (A)WChelyabinsk3–1
Chelyabinsk3–1W
Spartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1W
FK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0D
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1L
Luki-Energiya1–2
Luki-Energiya1–2DArsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
8.6
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | FC Sochi | Ural | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 56% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 44% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 44% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 44% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 11% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Sochi | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 44% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 22% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
4
FC Sochi
29%
4
Draws
29%
6
Ural
43%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
36%
Over 3.5
5/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
09/03/25Ural
FC Sochi
1–0Ural14/07/24FC Sochi
Ural
2–0FC Sochi21/04/24Ural
FC Sochi
2–2Ural22/10/23FC Sochi
Ural
1–4FC Sochi03/06/23FC Sochi
Ural
1–0FC Sochi30/10/22Ural
FC Sochi
2–2Ural20/10/22Ural
FC Sochi
2–3Ural31/08/22FC Sochi
Ural
2–0FC Sochi27/11/21FC Sochi
Ural
1–1FC Sochi09/08/21Ural
FC Sochi
2–0Ural29/11/20FC Sochi
Ural
1–0FC Sochi30/08/20Ural
FC Sochi
0–0Ural08/03/20Ural
FC Sochi
2–0Ural26/08/19FC Sochi
Ural
3–1FC Sochi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +29 | 40 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Rotor Volgograd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |  Enisey | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 14 |  KAMAZ | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 10 |
Team Insights
FC Sochi- ●FC Sochi have won their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC Sochi failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of FC Sochi's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of FC Sochi's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●FC Sochi have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Ural- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ural have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ural have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ural have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FC SochiWATekstilshchik3–1
Tekstilshchik3–1WARotor Volgograd1–0
Rotor Volgograd1–0WHFC UFA1–0
FC UFA1–0DHSka-khabarovsk1–1
Ska-khabarovsk1–1WAVeles2–1
Veles2–1LHNizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1–HUral31/10
Ural31/10–AEnisey07/11
Enisey07/11–HVeles21/11
Veles21/11UralWAChelyabinsk3–1
Chelyabinsk3–1LHNizhny Novgorod1–2
Nizhny Novgorod1–2LHVeles1–2
Veles1–2WASpartak Kostroma2–1
Spartak Kostroma2–1WAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1–AFC Sochi31/10
FC Sochi31/10–HVolga Ulyanovsk07/11
Volga Ulyanovsk07/11–AFC UFA21/11
FC UFA21/11Top Scorers
FC SochiM. Ignatov7 ⚽
Zakhar Fedorov4 ⚽
Z. Fedorov4 ⚽
R. Magal2 ⚽
P. Meleshin2 ⚽
A. Osipov2 ⚽
UralM. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
Martin Sekulic3 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Silvije Begić2 ⚽
Cards Given
FC SochiAleksandr Soldatenkov3 🟨
Maksim Kuzmin3 🟨
Aleksandr Metsiev3 🟨
Igor Kalinin3 🟨
A. Osipov2 🟨
Timofey Mitrov2 🟨
UralVitaliy Stezhko3 🟨
Silvije Begić3 🟨
Evgeniy Kharin3 🟨
Léo Cordeiro2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin2 🟨
Ilya Ishkov2 🟨