Russia · First League · Regular Season - 16

Nizhny Novgorod

1º · 2.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 5h

–

Arsenal Tula

10º · 1.27 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 2h

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Nizhny Novgorod and Arsenal Tula meet in the First League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Nizhny Novgorod have recorded 19 wins from 26 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 2.62 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 85%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Arsenal Tula have won 32% of their 28 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.80 for Nizhny Novgorod and 0.99 for Arsenal Tula. The models give Nizhny Novgorod a 73% win probability, with a draw at 17% and an Arsenal Tula win at 10%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Nizhny Novgorod

—

Arsenal Tula

1º

Position

10º

2.67

PPG

1.27

87%

Win %

33%

2.93

Goals / game

1.27

1.00

Conceded / game

1.93

69%

BTTS %

61%

27%

Clean sheet %

11%

85%

Over 2.5 %

64%

6.3

Avg corners

4.0

8.4

Avg shots

5.0

4.2

Avg shots on target

3.4

1.8

Avg yellow cards

2.3

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

52.4%

Avg possession

50.2%

Home vs Away

Nizhny Novgorod

Home (7)

—

Arsenal Tula

Away (7)

2.71

PPG

0.29

86%

Win %

4.14

Goals / game

0.43

1.00

Conceded / game

2.43

57%

BTTS %

50%

36%

Clean sheet %

14%

86%

Over 2.5 %

57%

6.3

Avg corners

4.0

8.4

Avg shots

5.0

4.2

Avg shots on target

3.4

1.8

Avg yellow cards

2.3

52.4%

Avg possession

50.2%

Goals Scored

	Nizhny Novgorod	Home	Away	Arsenal Tula	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	92%	86%	100%	68%	79%	57%
Over 1.5 Scored	81%	86%	75%	43%	50%	36%
Over 2.5 Scored	38%	57%	17%	21%	21%	21%
Failed To Score	8%	14%	0%	32%	21%	43%

Goals Conceded

	Nizhny Novgorod	Home	Away	Arsenal Tula	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	64%	83%	89%	93%	86%
Over 1.5 Conceded	27%	29%	25%	61%	50%	71%
Over 2.5 Conceded	8%	0%	17%	32%	21%	43%
Clean Sheets	27%	36%	17%	11%	7%	14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Nizhny Novgorod	Arsenal Tula
Over 0.5	96%	96%
Over 1.5	85%	82%
Over 2.5	85%	64%
Over 3.5	50%	50%
Over 4.5	31%	25%
BTTS	69%	61%
BTTS & Win	50%	25%
BTTS & Draw	8%	21%
BTTS & Over 2.5	69%	54%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	15%	11%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Nizhny Novgorod	Arsenal Tula
Win 1st Half	62%	15%
Draw 1st Half	23%	33%
Loss 1st Half	15%	52%
Scored 1st Half	77%	37%
Conceded 1st Half	46%	67%
Win 2nd Half	50%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	31%	22%
Loss 2nd Half	19%	44%
Scored 2nd Half	77%	44%
Conceded 2nd Half	46%	67%
Over 0.5 HT	88%	78%
Over 1.5 HT	58%	41%

Recent Venue Form

Nizhny Novgorod (H)

Shinnik Yaroslavl4–0

Enisey5–0

Leningradets6–0

Volga Ulyanovsk2–2

Ska-khabarovsk4–2

FK Neftekhimik5–1

Arsenal Tula (A)

FC UFA0–2

CSKA Moscow1–3

Lokomotiv2–0

Enisey1–3

Tekstilshchik0–1

Volga Ulyanovsk0–3

Number of Corners

11.4

Corners / Match

9 games

League Avg

9.4

70 games

8.7

Corners / Match

9 games

Match Corners	Nizhny Novgorod	Arsenal Tula	League Avg
Over 6	100%	67%	77%
Over 7	100%	56%	70%
Over 8	100%	44%	61%
Over 9	89%	33%	49%
Over 10	78%	33%	37%
Over 11	56%	22%	27%
Over 12	22%	11%	17%
Over 13	0%	11%	10%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Nizhny Novgorod	Arsenal Tula
Corners Earned / Match	6.3	4.0
Corners Against / Match	5.1	4.7
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	67%
Over 3.5 Corners For	100%	44%
Over 4.5 Corners For	67%	44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	78%	89%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	78%	67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	67%	44%

Head to Head · 4 matches

Nizhny Novgorod

25%

Draws

25%

Arsenal Tula

50%

100%

Over 1.5

4/4

75%

Over 2.5

3/4

50%

Over 3.5

2/4

75%

BTTS

3/4

01/06/24

Arsenal Tula

0–2

Nizhny Novgorod

29/05/24

Nizhny Novgorod

1–2

Arsenal Tula

02/05/22

Arsenal Tula

2–2

Nizhny Novgorod

19/09/21

Nizhny Novgorod

2–3

Arsenal Tula

First League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	15	13	1	1	+29	40
2	FC Sochi	15	10	2	3	+11	32
3	Torpedo Moskva	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Spartak Kostroma	14	8	3	3	+7	27
5	Veles	15	8	3	4	+2	27
6	Ural	14	7	4	3	+12	25
7	FC UFA	15	5	6	4	+3	21
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	14	4	8	2	+4	20
9	Rotor Volgograd	15	5	4	6	+5	19
10	Arsenal Tula	15	5	4	6	-10	19
11	Volga Ulyanovsk	15	5	3	7	-2	18
12	Chelyabinsk	14	4	3	7	-5	15
13	Enisey	15	3	5	7	-14	14
14	KAMAZ	15	3	4	8	-8	13
15	Leningradets	14	3	4	7	-14	13
16	FK Neftekhimik	14	4	0	10	-11	12
17	Ska-khabarovsk	15	2	4	9	-10	10
18	Tekstilshchik	15	2	4	9	-14	10

Team Insights

Nizhny Novgorod

●Nizhny Novgorod have won their last 6 matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in each of their last 15 matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have won their last 2 home matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have won their last 4 away matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have won 7 of their 8 away matches.
●Nizhny Novgorod have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
●66% of Nizhny Novgorod's goals have been scored at home.

Arsenal Tula

●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
●Arsenal Tula have won their last 2 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have lost their last 4 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
●Arsenal Tula failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
●Arsenal Tula have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
●84% of Arsenal Tula's goals have been scored at home.
●89% of Arsenal Tula's points have been earned at home.

Nizhny Novgorod

WAFC UFA7º1–0

WAUral6º2–1

WHShinnik Yaroslavl4–0

WHEnisey13º5–0

WACSKA Moscow3–1

WHLeningradets15º6–0

WATorpedo Moskva3º2–1

WADinamo Stavropol2–1

WAFC Sochi2º1–0

DHVolga Ulyanovsk11º2–2

Arsenal Tula

WHKAMAZ14º4–3

LAFC UFA7º0–2

WHSpartak Kostroma4º3–2

LACSKA Moscow1–3

WALokomotiv2–0

LAEnisey13º1–3

DHSka-khabarovsk17º2–2

LATekstilshchik0–1

LAVolga Ulyanovsk11º0–3

DHUral6º2–2

Season Schedule

Nizhny Novgorod

FC UFA1–0

Ural2–1

Enisey5–0

Leningradets6–0

Torpedo Moskva2–1

FC Sochi1–0

–H

Arsenal Tula31/10

–A

Spartak Kostroma07/11

–H

Torpedo Moskva21/11

Arsenal Tula

KAMAZ4–3

FC UFA0–2

Spartak Kostroma3–2

Enisey1–3

Ska-khabarovsk2–2

Volga Ulyanovsk0–3

–A

Nizhny Novgorod31/10

–H

Chelyabinsk07/11

–A

Tekstilshchik21/11

Top Scorers

Nizhny Novgorod

V. Grulev11 ⚽

Vyacheslav Grulev8 ⚽

G. Popolitov4 ⚽

V. Sarveli3 ⚽

Gleb Popolitov3 ⚽

A. Sokolov3 ⚽

Arsenal Tula

Timur Melekestsev3 ⚽

T. Melekestsev3 ⚽

Rashid Magomedov3 ⚽

R. Magomedov2 ⚽

E. Reyes2 ⚽

K. Bogdanets2 ⚽

Cards Given

Nizhny Novgorod

V. Sarveli3 🟨

Yuriy Koledin3 🟨

Viktor Aleksandrov2 🟨

Gleb Popolitov2 🟨

M. Maiga2 🟨

Nikolay Kalinskiy2 🟨

Arsenal Tula

Nikita Karmaev4 🟨

Y. Krashevskiy3 🟨

Milos Brnovic3 🟨

D. Plotnikov3 🟨

Oleg Isaenko3 🟨

D. Shamkin2 🟨

Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula — First League

Unlock all Match Predictions

Season Statistics

Home vs Away

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

1st Half / 2nd Half

Recent Venue Form

Number of Corners

Team Corners

Head to Head · 4 matches

Team Insights

Season Schedule

Top Scorers

Cards Given