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Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl — First League

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Russia · First League · Regular Season - 16
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
12º · 1.07 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 6h
vs
–
–
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
8º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 2h
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Chelyabinsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl meet in the First League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Chelyabinsk have recorded 9 wins from 29 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 45%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Chelyabinsk and 1.36 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The models give Chelyabinsk a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Shinnik Yaroslavl win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Chelyabinsk
—
Shinnik Yaroslavl
12º
Position
8º
1.07
PPG
1.43
29%
Win %
29%
1.29
Goals / game
1.29
1.64
Conceded / game
1.00
59%
BTTS %
40%
21%
Clean sheet %
45%
48%
Over 2.5 %
35%
5.5
Avg corners
6.9
7.4
Avg shots
5.1
3.4
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.6%
Avg possession
46.8%

Home vs Away

Chelyabinsk
Home (6)
—
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
44%
13%
Clean sheet %
33%
60%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.5
Avg corners
6.9
7.4
Avg shots
5.1
3.4
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
50.6%
Avg possession
46.8%

Goals Scored

ChelyabinskHomeAwayShinnik YaroslavlHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%73%79%75%82%67%
Over 1.5 Scored31%40%21%50%64%33%
Over 2.5 Scored7%7%7%10%9%11%
Failed To Score24%27%21%25%18%33%

Goals Conceded

ChelyabinskHomeAwayShinnik YaroslavlHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%87%71%55%45%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded41%47%36%25%27%22%
Over 2.5 Conceded21%27%14%10%0%22%
Clean Sheets21%13%29%45%55%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl
Over 0.597%90%
Over 1.576%80%
Over 2.548%35%
Over 3.528%30%
Over 4.514%0%
BTTS59%40%
BTTS & Win14%5%
BTTS & Draw21%35%
BTTS & Over 2.541%20%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%15%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl
Win 1st Half21%50%
Draw 1st Half36%40%
Loss 1st Half43%10%
Scored 1st Half39%55%
Conceded 1st Half54%15%
Win 2nd Half21%25%
Draw 2nd Half50%40%
Loss 2nd Half29%35%
Scored 2nd Half46%50%
Conceded 2nd Half46%55%
Over 0.5 HT71%65%
Over 1.5 HT39%35%

Recent Venue Form

Chelyabinsk (H)
LUral1–3
DEnisey1–1
WFC UFA2–1
LSpartak Kostroma0–1
LTorpedo Moskva0–4
LNizhny Novgorod1–2
Shinnik Yaroslavl (A)
DVeles1–1
LNizhny Novgorod0–4
DEnisey0–0
WVolga Ulyanovsk3–1
WFK Neftekhimik2–0
LNizhny Novgorod0–3

Number of Corners

10.7
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
70 games
10.7
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersChelyabinskShinnik YaroslavlLeague Avg
Over 690%78%77%
Over 780%78%70%
Over 880%67%61%
Over 970%56%49%
Over 1060%56%37%
Over 1140%44%27%
Over 1220%33%17%
Over 1310%33%10%

Team Corners

Team CornersChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl
Corners Earned / Match5.56.9
Corners Against / Match5.23.8
Over 2.5 Corners For100%89%
Over 3.5 Corners For80%78%
Over 4.5 Corners For60%67%
Over 2.5 Corners Against90%56%
Over 3.5 Corners Against80%33%
Over 4.5 Corners Against60%22%

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
Chelyabinsk
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
16/05/26
Chelyabinsk
2–2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
01/11/25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–0
Chelyabinsk
First League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod151311+2940
2FC Sochi151023+1132
3Torpedo Moskva15843+1528
4Spartak Kostroma14833+727
5Veles15834+227
6Ural14743+1225
7FC UFA15564+321
8Shinnik Yaroslavl14482+420
9Rotor Volgograd15546+519
10Arsenal Tula15546-1019
11Volga Ulyanovsk15537-218
12Chelyabinsk14437-515
13Enisey15357-1414
14KAMAZ15348-813
15Leningradets14347-1413
16FK Neftekhimik144010-1112
17Ska-khabarovsk15249-1010
18Tekstilshchik15249-1410

Team Insights

Chelyabinsk
  • ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Chelyabinsk have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
  • ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
LHUral6º1–3
LATekstilshchik18º1–2
LASpartak Kostroma0–1
WAFK Neftekhimik16º4–2
DHEnisey13º1–1
WHFC UFA7º2–1
DAKAMAZ14º1–1
WADinamo Barnaul2–0
LHSpartak Kostroma4º0–1
LAFC Sochi2º1–2
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
DAVeles5º1–1
LANizhny Novgorod0–4
WHTekstilshchik18º2–0
DHSka-khabarovsk17º0–0
LHKAMAZ14º0–1
DHUral6º1–1
WHTorpedo Moskva2–0
DHRotor Volgograd9º2–2
DAEnisey13º0–0
WAVolga Ulyanovsk11º3–1

Season Schedule

Chelyabinsk
LHUral1–3
LATekstilshchik1–2
WAFK Neftekhimik4–2
DHEnisey1–1
WHFC UFA2–1
DAKAMAZ1–1
–HShinnik Yaroslavl31/10
–AArsenal Tula07/11
–HLeningradets21/11
Shinnik Yaroslavl
DAVeles1–1
WHTekstilshchik2–0
DHSka-khabarovsk0–0
LHKAMAZ0–1
DHUral1–1
DHRotor Volgograd2–2
–HSpartak Kostroma26/10
–AChelyabinsk31/10
–HFC UFA07/11

Top Scorers

Chelyabinsk
Ramazan Gadzhimuradov5 ⚽
R. Gadzhimuradov4 ⚽
3 ⚽
M. Urvantsev3 ⚽
Matvey Urvantsev3 ⚽
I. Safronov2 ⚽
Shinnik Yaroslavl
I. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
Eduard Valiakhmetov2 ⚽
D. Mironov1 ⚽
D. Martovoy1 ⚽

Cards Given

Chelyabinsk
7 🟨
Khetag Kochiev5 🟨
Ilya Safronov4 🟨
Konstantin Kertanov2 🟨
I. Safronov2 🟨
Denis Pokotylo2 🟨
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Eduard Valiakhmetov4 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Ilya Azyavin2 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Artem Lavrenkov2 🟨
Maksim Karaev2 🟨