Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma — First League
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Shinnik Yaroslavl and Spartak Kostroma meet in the First League 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Shinnik Yaroslavl have recorded 8 wins from 20 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Spartak Kostroma have won 50% of their 28 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.33 for Spartak Kostroma. The models give Shinnik Yaroslavl a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Spartak Kostroma win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | Spartak Kostroma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 82% | 67% | 79% | 87% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 64% | 33% | 39% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 18% | 33% | 21% | 13% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | Spartak Kostroma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 45% | 67% | 54% | 47% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 27% | 22% | 25% | 13% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 55% | 33% | 46% | 53% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 40% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 15% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 100% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 89% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 89% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 44% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 33% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 11% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Spartak Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.9 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 78% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | +29 | 40 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 32 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 | |
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 21 | |
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 19 | |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 19 | |
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 | |
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 14 | |
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 13 | |
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 | |
| 17 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 10 | |
| 18 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Spartak Kostroma have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.