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Chaves vs Tondela — Segunda Liga

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Portugal · Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 12
Chaves
Chaves
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 20h
vs
–
–
Tondela
Tondela
7º · 1.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 41d 0h
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Chaves and Tondela meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Chaves have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Tondela have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Chaves and 1.34 for Tondela. The models give Chaves a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Tondela win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Chaves
—
Tondela
13º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.71
25%
Win %
57%
1.00
Goals / game
1.14
1.88
Conceded / game
0.86
56%
BTTS %
44%
17%
Clean sheet %
31%
56%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.8
Avg corners
6.3
14.3
Avg shots
16.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.5%
Avg possession
52.0%

Home vs Away

Chaves
Home (4)
—
Tondela
Away (3)
1.75
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
0.67
1.75
Conceded / game
1.00
70%
BTTS %
33%
20%
Clean sheet %
17%
70%
Over 2.5 %
33%
3.8
Avg corners
6.3
14.3
Avg shots
16.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.2
50.5%
Avg possession
52.0%

Goals Scored

ChavesHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored72%90%50%75%90%50%
Over 1.5 Scored39%60%13%38%40%33%
Over 2.5 Scored11%10%13%13%10%17%
Failed To Score28%10%50%25%10%50%

Goals Conceded

ChavesHomeAwayTondelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded83%80%88%69%60%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded39%30%50%25%20%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded17%20%13%6%0%17%
Clean Sheets17%20%13%31%40%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ChavesTondela
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.567%75%
Over 2.556%38%
Over 3.533%13%
Over 4.522%6%
BTTS56%44%
BTTS & Win28%19%
BTTS & Draw11%13%
BTTS & Over 2.550%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ChavesTondela
Win 1st Half38%54%
Draw 1st Half31%38%
Loss 1st Half31%8%
Scored 1st Half38%54%
Conceded 1st Half38%23%
Win 2nd Half23%38%
Draw 2nd Half15%23%
Loss 2nd Half62%38%
Scored 2nd Half54%46%
Conceded 2nd Half77%46%
Over 0.5 HT69%62%
Over 1.5 HT31%15%

Recent Venue Form

Chaves (H)
WVizela2–1
WOs Marialvas2–1
LVitória SC0–1
WFeirense1–0
DAVS2–2
LAcademica1–4
Tondela (A)
WImortal Albufeira5–1
WPortimonense2–0
LUnião de Leiria0–2
LLeixoes0–1
LRio Ave1–3
LFamalicao0–1

Number of Corners

8.8
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.4
33 games
8.7
Corners / Match
3 games
Match CornersChavesTondelaLeague Avg
Over 675%100%85%
Over 775%67%70%
Over 875%67%61%
Over 950%33%52%
Over 100%0%27%
Over 110%0%12%
Over 120%0%12%
Over 130%0%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersChavesTondela
Corners Earned / Match3.86.3
Corners Against / Match5.02.3
Over 2.5 Corners For75%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For50%100%
Over 4.5 Corners For25%100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%33%
Over 3.5 Corners Against75%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against75%0%

Head to Head · 8 matches

1
Chaves
13%
3
Draws
38%
4
Tondela
50%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
50%
Over 2.5
4/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
04/05/25
Tondela
2–1
Chaves
21/12/24
Chaves
2–2
Tondela
19/05/19
Tondela
5–2
Chaves
13/01/19
Chaves
2–1
Tondela
04/03/18
Tondela
2–0
Chaves
29/09/17
Chaves
1–1
Tondela
28/01/17
Tondela
2–0
Chaves
20/08/16
Chaves
1–1
Tondela
Segunda Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Sporting CP B8602+718
2Lusitânia Lourosa7520+717
3Penafiel8512+1016
4Academica8503+415
5Farense8422+414
6Benfica B8422+314
7Tondela7403+212
8Vizela8323011
9União de Leiria7313+110
10Leixoes8314-310
11Portimonense8314-410
12AVS7232+19
13Chaves8224-78
14FC Porto B7214-87
15Felgueiras 19327133-26
16Torreense7133-36
17Amarante7124-45
18Feirense8026-82

Team Insights

Chaves
  • ●Chaves have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Chaves have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●75% of Chaves's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●87% of Chaves's points have been earned at home.
Tondela
  • ●Tondela have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Tondela have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●75% of Tondela's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Tondela's points have been earned at home.
ChavesChaves
WHVizela8º2–1
WHOs Marialvas2–1
DALusitânia Lourosa2º1–1
LAFarense5º0–4
LHVitória SC0–1
WAGuarda3–2
WHFeirense18º1–0
LAFelgueiras 193215º1–2
DHAVS12º2–2
LASporting CP B1º0–1
TondelaTondela
WHAlverca2–0
WHTorreense16º1–0
WAImortal Albufeira5–1
WAPortimonense11º2–0
WHFC Porto B14º3–0
LAUnião de Leiria9º0–2
LHAcademica4º0–2
LALeixoes10º0–1
WHAmarante17º2–1
LARio Ave1–3

Season Schedule

Chaves
WHVizela2–1
DALusitânia Lourosa1–1
LAFarense0–4
WHFeirense1–0
LAFelgueiras 19321–2
DHAVS2–2
–ABenfica B31/10
–HPenafiel07/11
–ALeixoes15/11
Tondela
WHTorreense1–0
WAPortimonense2–0
WHFC Porto B3–0
LAUnião de Leiria0–2
LHAcademica0–2
LALeixoes0–1
–AAVS25/10
–HFelgueiras 193230/10
–ASporting CP B08/11

Top Scorers

Chaves
3 ⚽
Andre Rodrigues2 ⚽
W. Tavares2 ⚽
A. Rodrigues1 ⚽
Marcos Andre1 ⚽
Roberto1 ⚽
Tondela
Arjen Van Der Heide2 ⚽
Joao Lima2 ⚽
Cascavel1 ⚽
Carraça1 ⚽
Bebeto1 ⚽
Antonio Tomane1 ⚽

Cards Given

Chaves
6 🟨
Marcos Andre3 🟨
A. Rodrigues2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
Leandro Santos do Nascimento2 🟨
Kiko Pereira1 🟨
Tondela
Cicero4 🟨
L. Canizares3 🟨
Arjen Van Der Heide2 🟨
Cascavel2 🟨
Bebeto2 🟨
H. Tavares2 🟨