Tondela vs Farense — Segunda Liga
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Tondela and Farense meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Tondela have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Farense have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Tondela and 1.45 for Farense. The models give Tondela a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Farense win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tondela | Home | Away | Farense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 90% | 50% | 85% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 10% | 17% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 10% | 50% | 15% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Tondela | Home | Away | Farense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 60% | 83% | 69% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 33% | 31% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 40% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tondela | Farense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 15% |
| BTTS | 44% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tondela | Farense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 23% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Tondela | Farense | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 75% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 25% | 12% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 25% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 25% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Tondela | Farense |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.3 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Tondela have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tondela have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tondela have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Tondela's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Tondela's points have been earned at home.
- ●Farense have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Farense failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●71% of Farense's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Farense's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Farense have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.

