Leixoes vs Chaves — Segunda Liga
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Leixoes and Chaves meet in the Segunda Liga 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Leixoes have recorded 7 wins from 14 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Chaves have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Leixoes and 1.17 for Chaves. The models give Leixoes a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Chaves win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Leixoes—
Chaves10º
Position
13º
1.25
PPG
1.00
38%
Win %
25%
1.13
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.88
50%
BTTS %
56%
29%
Clean sheet %
17%
64%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.8
Avg corners
3.8
11.4
Avg shots
14.3
4.8
Avg shots on target
7.0
3.4
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
52.8%
Avg possession
50.5%
Home vs Away
Leixoes
Home (4)
—
Chaves
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.50
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
83%
BTTS %
38%
17%
Clean sheet %
13%
83%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.8
Avg corners
3.8
11.4
Avg shots
14.3
4.8
Avg shots on target
7.0
3.4
Avg yellow cards
2.5
52.8%
Avg possession
50.5%
Goals Scored
| Leixoes | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 100% | 50% | 72% | 90% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 39% | 60% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 38% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 0% | 50% | 28% | 10% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Leixoes | Home | Away | Chaves | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 83% | 63% | 83% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 67% | 25% | 39% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 17% | 38% | 17% | 20% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leixoes | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 22% |
| BTTS | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leixoes | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 62% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 77% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Leixoes (H)L
FC Porto B1–2
FC Porto B1–2W
Amarante3–1
Amarante3–1L
União de Leiria2–4
União de Leiria2–4W
Tondela1–0
Tondela1–0W
Casa Pia6–2
Casa Pia6–2W
Vizela3–2
Vizela3–2Chaves (A)D
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1L
Farense0–4
Farense0–4W
Guarda3–2
Guarda3–2L
Felgueiras 19321–2
Felgueiras 19321–2L
Sporting CP B0–1
Sporting CP B0–1L
Vitória SC0–2
Vitória SC0–2Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
9.4
33 games
8.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Leixoes | Chaves | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 75% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 75% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 75% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 0% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Leixoes | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 60% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 40% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 75% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Leixoes
22%
5
Draws
56%
2
Chaves
22%
44%
Over 1.5
4/9
22%
Over 2.5
2/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
09/05/26Leixoes
Chaves
1–2Leixoes16/11/25Chaves
Leixoes
0–1Chaves25/01/25Chaves
Leixoes
0–0Chaves18/08/24Leixoes
Chaves
0–0Leixoes24/01/22Chaves
Leixoes
1–1Chaves16/08/21Leixoes
Chaves
1–1Leixoes15/05/21Leixoes
Chaves
3–1Leixoes16/01/21Chaves
Leixoes
1–0Chaves11/01/20Leixoes
Chaves
0–0Leixoes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 |  AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Leixoes- ●Leixoes have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leixoes have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Leixoes's goals have been scored at home.
Chaves- ●Chaves have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Chaves have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●75% of Chaves's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Chaves's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
LeixoesLAAcademica0–4
Academica0–4LHFC Porto B1–2
FC Porto B1–2DATorreense0–0
Torreense0–0WHAmarante3–1
Amarante3–1WAPortimonense2–0
Portimonense2–0LHUnião de Leiria2–4
União de Leiria2–4–HSporting CP B31/10
Sporting CP B31/10–AFelgueiras 193207/11
Felgueiras 193207/11–HChaves15/11
Chaves15/11ChavesWHVizela2–1
Vizela2–1DALusitânia Lourosa1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa1–1LAFarense0–4
Farense0–4WHFeirense1–0
Feirense1–0LAFelgueiras 19321–2
Felgueiras 19321–2DHAVS2–2
AVS2–2–ABenfica B31/10
Benfica B31/10–HPenafiel07/11
Penafiel07/11–ALeixoes15/11
Leixoes15/11Top Scorers
Leixoes6 ⚽
B. Rochez4 ⚽
Luccas Paraizo2 ⚽
Bryan Rochez2 ⚽
Claudio Vtor Rodrigues Araujo1 ⚽
Bica1 ⚽
Chaves3 ⚽
Andre Rodrigues2 ⚽
W. Tavares2 ⚽
A. Rodrigues1 ⚽
Marcos Andre1 ⚽
Roberto1 ⚽
Cards Given
Leixoes6 🟨
A. Balde4 🟨
Serif Nhaga3 🟨
Matheus Costa3 🟨
Paulinho2 🟨
Miguel Ferreira de Sousa2 🟨
Chaves6 🟨
Marcos Andre3 🟨
A. Rodrigues2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
Leandro Santos do Nascimento2 🟨
Kiko Pereira1 🟨