Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld — 2. Bundesliga
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Holstein-Stadion·Kiel·Germany·15,034
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Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld meet in the 2. Bundesliga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Holstein Kiel have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Arminia Bielefeld have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 2.61 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Holstein Kiel and 1.38 for Arminia Bielefeld. The models give Holstein Kiel a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Arminia Bielefeld win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Holstein Kiel—
Arminia Bielefeld18º
Position
8º
0.63
PPG
1.22
0%
Win %
33%
0.88
Goals / game
1.44
1.38
Conceded / game
1.56
61%
BTTS %
61%
17%
Clean sheet %
33%
56%
Over 2.5 %
78%
5.4
Avg corners
5.6
13.4
Avg shots
12.7
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
15.0
Avg fouls
12.6
55.3%
Avg possession
43.1%
Home vs Away
Holstein Kiel
Home (4)
—
Arminia Bielefeld
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.60
0%
Win %
20%
1.25
Goals / game
0.80
1.25
Conceded / game
1.80
89%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
40%
67%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.4
Avg corners
5.6
13.4
Avg shots
12.7
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
55.3%
Avg possession
43.1%
Goals Scored
| Holstein Kiel | Home | Away | Arminia Bielefeld | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 89% | 56% | 94% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 44% | 61% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 22% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 11% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Holstein Kiel | Home | Away | Arminia Bielefeld | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 89% | 78% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 33% | 56% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 11% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 22% |
| BTTS | 61% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 61% |
Recent Venue Form
Holstein Kiel (H)D
Hertha BSC0–0
Hertha BSC0–0W
Viborg3–1
Viborg3–1D
VfL Osnabrück1–1
VfL Osnabrück1–1D
1. FC Nürnberg2–2
1. FC Nürnberg2–2D
FC St. Pauli2–2
FC St. Pauli2–2W
Al-Ahli Jeddah4–1
Al-Ahli Jeddah4–1Arminia Bielefeld (A)LHertha BSC0–1
Hertha BSC0–1W
VfL Bochum1–0
VfL Bochum1–0L
SV Darmstadt 981–2
SV Darmstadt 981–2L1. FC Nürnberg1–4
1. FC Nürnberg1–4D
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–2L
Karlsruher SC1–2
Karlsruher SC1–2Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
11.2
78 games
10.8
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 80% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 70% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 70% | 68% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 40% | 47% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 20% | 35% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 20% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Holstein Kiel | Arminia Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 60% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
2
Holstein Kiel
15%
3
Draws
23%
8
Arminia Bielefeld
62%
85%
Over 1.5
11/13
69%
Over 2.5
9/13
31%
Over 3.5
4/13
77%
BTTS
10/13
23/01/26Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2Holstein Kiel10/08/25Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
0–2Arminia Bielefeld02/04/23Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
2–3Arminia Bielefeld14/01/23Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1Holstein Kiel17/09/22Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
4–2Holstein Kiel30/05/20Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
1–2Arminia Bielefeld03/11/19Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
2–1Holstein Kiel19/05/19Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
1–0Holstein Kiel14/12/18Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
1–2Arminia Bielefeld01/04/18Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
1–1Holstein Kiel21/10/17Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
2–1Arminia Bielefeld02/05/15Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2Holstein Kiel01/11/14Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
1–0Arminia Bielefeld| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabrück | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
Team Insights
Holstein Kiel- ●Holstein Kiel have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Holstein Kiel have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Holstein Kiel have lost their last 3 away matches.
Arminia Bielefeld- ●Arminia Bielefeld have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arminia Bielefeld have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arminia Bielefeld failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Arminia Bielefeld have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Arminia Bielefeld's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Arminia Bielefeld have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Holstein KielDHHertha BSC0–0
Hertha BSC0–0LAEintracht Braunschweig0–1
Eintracht Braunschweig0–1DHVfL Osnabrück1–1
VfL Osnabrück1–1LA1. FC Heidenheim0–1
1. FC Heidenheim0–1DH1. FC Nürnberg2–2
1. FC Nürnberg2–2LA1. FC Magdeburg0–2
1. FC Magdeburg0–2–HDynamo Dresden25/10
Dynamo Dresden25/10–ASpVgg Greuther Fürth01/11
SpVgg Greuther Fürth01/11–HArminia Bielefeld07/11
Arminia Bielefeld07/11Arminia BielefeldLAHertha BSC0–1
Hertha BSC0–1WHVfL Osnabrück2–1
VfL Osnabrück2–1WAVfL Bochum1–0
VfL Bochum1–0DH1. FC Heidenheim2–2
1. FC Heidenheim2–2LASV Darmstadt 981–2
SV Darmstadt 981–2DHFC St. Pauli2–2
FC St. Pauli2–2–HEintracht Braunschweig30/10
Eintracht Braunschweig30/10–AHolstein Kiel07/11
Holstein Kiel07/11–H1. FC Magdeburg20/11
1. FC Magdeburg20/11Top Scorers
Holstein KielP. Harres9 ⚽
J. Therkelsen3 ⚽
K. Davidsen2 ⚽
Phil Harres2 ⚽
G. Balzi2 ⚽
D. Zec2 ⚽
Arminia BielefeldJ. Grodowski8 ⚽
J. Kania3 ⚽
R. Uldrikis3 ⚽
Joel Grodowski2 ⚽
A. Sicker2 ⚽
Jannik Rochelt2 ⚽
Cards Given
Holstein KielDavid Zec4 🟨
F. Roslyng3 🟨
K. Davidsen3 🟨
Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen3 🟨
H. Sekine2 🟨
Guillermo Balzi2 🟨
Arminia BielefeldJ. Felix3 🟨
Benjamin boakye2 🟨
Joel Felix2 🟨
Maximilian Bauer2 🟨
Maximilian Grosser2 🟨
Henri Koudossou1 🟨