Caernarfon Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC — Premier League
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Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County AFC meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Caernarfon Town have recorded 11 wins from 19 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.47 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 84%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Haverfordwest County AFC have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Caernarfon Town and 1.14 for Haverfordwest County AFC. The models give Caernarfon Town a 56% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Haverfordwest County AFC win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Caernarfon Town—
Haverfordwest County AFC4º
Position
11º
1.93
PPG
1.07
60%
Win %
33%
2.80
Goals / game
0.80
1.27
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
30%
21%
Clean sheet %
25%
84%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Caernarfon Town
Home (7)
—
Haverfordwest County AFC
Away (7)
1.71
PPG
1.00
57%
Win %
29%
3.00
Goals / game
0.71
1.14
Conceded / game
1.14
50%
BTTS %
25%
25%
Clean sheet %
25%
88%
Over 2.5 %
13%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | Haverfordwest County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 75% | 91% | 55% | 58% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 74% | 63% | 82% | 30% | 42% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 27% | 20% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 25% | 9% | 45% | 42% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | Haverfordwest County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 82% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 38% | 36% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 25% | 27% | 15% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 25% | 18% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Caernarfon Town | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 84% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 5% |
| BTTS | 63% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Caernarfon Town | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 53% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Caernarfon Town (H)W
Briton Ferry3–1
Briton Ferry3–1L
Barry Town0–1
Barry Town0–1W
Cambrian & Clydach9–1
Cambrian & Clydach9–1W
Flint Town United3–0
Flint Town United3–0L
The New Saints2–3
The New Saints2–3W
Colwyn Bay3–0
Colwyn Bay3–0Haverfordwest County (A)W
Ammanford AFC1–0
Ammanford AFC1–0WBarry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1L
Cardiff MET0–1
Cardiff MET0–1LColwyn Bay0–1
Colwyn Bay0–1D
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–1L
Llandudno0–2
Llandudno0–2Head to Head · 18 matches
5
Caernarfon Town
28%
8
Draws
44%
5
Haverfordwest County
28%
83%
Over 1.5
15/18
44%
Over 2.5
8/18
22%
Over 3.5
4/18
72%
BTTS
13/18
09/10/26Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2Caernarfon Town08/11/25Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
2–2Haverfordwest County AFC30/08/25Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1Caernarfon Town18/05/25Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
3–1Caernarfon Town29/03/25Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1Caernarfon Town08/02/25Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
1–1Haverfordwest County AFC26/10/24Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0–0Caernarfon Town17/08/24Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
1–2Haverfordwest County AFC16/12/23Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
0–1Haverfordwest County AFC26/08/23Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1Caernarfon Town25/03/23Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2–2Caernarfon Town11/02/23Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
2–0Haverfordwest County AFC17/09/22Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
2–1Haverfordwest County AFC13/08/22Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0Caernarfon Town20/11/21Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2Caernarfon Town14/08/21Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
2–0Haverfordwest County AFC28/11/20Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
1–4Haverfordwest County AFC17/10/20Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1Caernarfon Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | +47 | 41 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | +23 | 35 |
| 3 |  Penybont | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 33 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +23 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +6 | 28 |
| 7 |  Airbus UK | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | +9 | 27 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -32 | 9 |
| 15 |  Trefelin | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -28 | 6 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -35 | 2 |
Team Insights
Caernarfon Town- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
Haverfordwest County- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Haverfordwest County AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Caernarfon TownLAAirbus UK2–3
Airbus UK2–3WHBriton Ferry3–1
Briton Ferry3–1WAHaverfordwest County AFC2–1
Haverfordwest County AFC2–1LHBarry Town0–1
Barry Town0–1DACardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2WHCambrian & Clydach9–1
Cambrian & Clydach9–1–APenybont06/11
Penybont06/11–HGAP Connah S Quay FC20/11
GAP Connah S Quay FC20/11–ABarry Town28/11
Barry Town28/11Haverfordwest CountyWAAmmanford AFC1–0
Ammanford AFC1–0WABarry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1LHCaernarfon Town1–2
Caernarfon Town1–2LHFlint Town United0–1
Flint Town United0–1LACardiff MET0–1
Cardiff MET0–1LAColwyn Bay0–1
Colwyn Bay0–1–HCardiff MET06/11
Cardiff MET06/11–APenybont20/11
Penybont20/11–HGAP Connah S Quay FC27/11
GAP Connah S Quay FC27/11Top Scorers
Caernarfon TownZ. Clarke14 ⚽
S. Bradley8 ⚽
O. Evans4 ⚽
N. Edwards3 ⚽
A. Cieslewicz3 ⚽
H. Charsley2 ⚽
Haverfordwest CountyD. Hawkins4 ⚽
B. Ahmun4 ⚽
C. Shephard3 ⚽
2 ⚽
G. Walters2 ⚽
R. Abbruzzese2 ⚽
Cards Given
Caernarfon TownB. Nash5 🟨
N. Edwards4 🟨
C. Marriott4 🟨
R. Sears3 🟨
D. Gosset3 🟨
J. Canavan2 🟨
Haverfordwest County6 🟨
D. Rees4 🟨
C. Shephard4 🟨
K. McCarthy3 🟨
G. Walters3 🟨
R. Watts3 🟨