Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay — Premier League
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Barry Town and Colwyn Bay meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Barry Town have recorded 15 wins from 22 matches this season (68% win rate), averaging 2.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Colwyn Bay have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Barry Town and 1.42 for Colwyn Bay. The models give Barry Town a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Colwyn Bay win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Barry Town—
Colwyn Bay6º
Position
5º
1.87
PPG
1.93
60%
Win %
60%
2.13
Goals / game
1.73
1.73
Conceded / game
1.13
68%
BTTS %
41%
23%
Clean sheet %
41%
73%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Barry Town
Home (8)
—
Colwyn Bay
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.00
63%
Win %
29%
2.25
Goals / game
1.29
1.63
Conceded / game
1.71
67%
BTTS %
30%
25%
Clean sheet %
30%
75%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 92% | 90% | 82% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 41% | 42% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 8% | 10% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 75% | 80% | 59% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 17% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 25% | 20% | 41% | 50% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barry Town | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 18% |
| BTTS | 68% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 45% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 68% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barry Town | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Barry Town (H)W
Trefelin3–0
Trefelin3–0L
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3W
Tredegar Town2–0
Tredegar Town2–0L
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–4D
Ammanford AFC2–2
Ammanford AFC2–2W
Llandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1Colwyn Bay (A)D
Buckley Town2–2
Buckley Town2–2W
Flint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0L
Briton Ferry0–1
Briton Ferry0–1W
Holywell5–0
Holywell5–0L
Penybont0–1
Penybont0–1L
The New Saints1–5
The New Saints1–5Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Barry Town
20%
3
Draws
30%
5
Colwyn Bay
50%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
30%
Over 2.5
3/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
18/09/26Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
5–2Barry Town14/03/26Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
3–1Barry Town07/02/26Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
0–1Colwyn Bay01/11/25Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
1–4Barry Town16/08/25Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1–1Colwyn Bay21/04/24Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
1–0Barry Town09/03/24Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1–1Colwyn Bay16/12/23Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
2–0Barry Town28/10/23Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
0–1Barry Town19/08/23Colwyn Bay
Barry Town
1–1Colwyn Bay| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | +47 | 41 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | +23 | 35 |
| 3 | Penybont | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 33 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +23 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +6 | 28 |
| 7 |  Airbus UK | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | +9 | 27 |
| 8 |  Cardiff MET | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -32 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -28 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -35 | 2 |
Team Insights
Barry Town- ●Barry Town have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Barry Town have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Colwyn Bay- ●Colwyn Bay have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Colwyn Bay's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Colwyn Bay's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●76% of Colwyn Bay's points have been earned at home.
- ●Colwyn Bay have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Barry TownWHTrefelin3–0
Trefelin3–0LHHaverfordwest County AFC1–3
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3LAPenybont1–3
Penybont1–3WACaernarfon Town1–0
Caernarfon Town1–0LHGAP Connah S Quay FC1–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–4LAColwyn Bay2–5
Colwyn Bay2–5–ACambrian & Clydach06/11
Cambrian & Clydach06/11–ALlandudno20/11
Llandudno20/11–HCaernarfon Town28/11
Caernarfon Town28/11Colwyn BayWHCambrian & Clydach2–0
Cambrian & Clydach2–0DHCardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2WAFlint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0LABriton Ferry0–1
Briton Ferry0–1WHHaverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0WHBarry Town5–2
Barry Town5–2–ATrefelin06/11
Trefelin06/11–AAirbus UK20/11
Airbus UK20/11–HAmmanford AFC27/11
Ammanford AFC27/11Top Scorers
Barry TownE. Dugan7 ⚽
O. Brain6 ⚽
N. Daley6 ⚽
5 ⚽
D. Smith3 ⚽
J. Shaw3 ⚽
Colwyn BayJ. Davies7 ⚽
A. Davies7 ⚽
S. Forde3 ⚽
M. Hill3 ⚽
N. Peate3 ⚽
D. Poole2 ⚽
Cards Given
Barry TownO. Cuddihy6 🟨
4 🟨
N. Daley4 🟨
J. Shaw3 🟨
C. Sainty2 🟨
M. George2 🟨
Colwyn BayC. Bratley5 🟨
J. Kenny4 🟨
E. Roberts3 🟨
A. Davies3 🟨
D. Roberts2 🟨
L. Robles2 🟨