Briton Ferry vs Penybont — Premier League
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Briton Ferry and Penybont meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Briton Ferry have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Penybont have won 65% of their 17 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Briton Ferry and 1.74 for Penybont. The models give Briton Ferry a 28% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Penybont win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Briton Ferry—
Penybont12º
Position
3º
0.86
PPG
2.31
21%
Win %
69%
0.93
Goals / game
1.92
1.79
Conceded / game
0.85
56%
BTTS %
53%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
61%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Briton Ferry
Home (6)
—
Penybont
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
2.17
33%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
2.17
1.67
Conceded / game
0.83
57%
BTTS %
44%
29%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Briton Ferry | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 86% | 64% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 29% | 18% | 59% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 14% | 9% | 35% | 25% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 14% | 36% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Briton Ferry | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 71% | 91% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 43% | 64% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 14% | 55% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 29% | 9% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Briton Ferry | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 18% |
| BTTS | 56% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Briton Ferry | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Briton Ferry (H)W
Afan United5–0
Afan United5–0L
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–2W
Colwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0D
Trefelin1–1
Trefelin1–1L
Airbus UK0–2
Airbus UK0–2L
Barry Town1–4
Barry Town1–4Penybont (A)W
Afan Lido3–2
Afan Lido3–2LGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1W
Ammanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1WTrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0D
Cambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2W
Haverfordwest County AFC3–0
Haverfordwest County AFC3–0Head to Head · 10 matches
1
Briton Ferry
10%
4
Draws
40%
5
Penybont
50%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
15/09/26Briton Ferry
Penybont
3–2Briton Ferry26/12/25Briton Ferry
Penybont
1–1Briton Ferry18/10/25Penybont
Briton Ferry
0–5Penybont03/10/25Penybont
Briton Ferry
0–0Penybont10/09/25Briton Ferry
Penybont
2–2Briton Ferry24/09/24Briton Ferry
Penybont
0–1Briton Ferry11/08/24Penybont
Briton Ferry
0–2Penybont03/08/24Penybont
Briton Ferry
0–3Penybont23/03/19Briton Ferry
Penybont
2–0Briton Ferry28/12/18Penybont
Briton Ferry
2–2Penybont| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +47 | 40 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +24 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 8 |  Cardiff MET | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 |  Llandudno | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 |  Flint Town United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -31 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | 6 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Briton Ferry- ●Briton Ferry have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Briton Ferry failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Briton Ferry have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Briton Ferry failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Briton Ferry failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Briton Ferry have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Briton Ferry have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Penybont- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Penybont have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Briton FerryLACaernarfon Town1–3
Caernarfon Town1–3LHGAP Connah S Quay FC1–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–2WHColwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0DAHolywell1–1
Holywell1–1DHTrefelin1–1
Trefelin1–1LAPenybont2–3
Penybont2–3–HLlandudno30/10
Llandudno30/10–AAmmanford AFC06/11
Ammanford AFC06/11–HHolywell20/11
Holywell20/11PenybontWHBarry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1WHAirbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1WAAmmanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1WHBriton Ferry3–2
Briton Ferry3–2WATrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0–ACardiff MET31/10
Cardiff MET31/10–HCaernarfon Town06/11
Caernarfon Town06/11–HHaverfordwest County AFC20/11
Haverfordwest County AFC20/11Top Scorers
Briton FerryT. Walters4 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Bowen3 ⚽
O. Anderson2 ⚽
R. Owen1 ⚽
A. Gammond1 ⚽
PenybontE. Cann6 ⚽
T. Mehew5 ⚽
R. Hill4 ⚽
T. Walker4 ⚽
N. Wood2 ⚽
C. Venables1 ⚽
Cards Given
Briton FerryA. Gammond5 🟨
D. Packer3 🟨
3 🟨
M. Bates3 🟨
L. Bates2 🟨
J. Lloyd2 🟨
PenybontE. Vaughan4 🟨
M. Manga4 🟨
Ethan Cann3 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
D. Jefferies2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨