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Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC — Premier League

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Wales · Premier League · Regular Season - 17
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town
4º · 2.07 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
vs
–
–
GAP Connah S Quay FC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2º · 2.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 8h
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Caernarfon Town and GAP Connah S Quay FC meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Caernarfon Town have recorded 11 wins from 18 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 68% of their 19 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 0.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 53%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for Caernarfon Town and 1.65 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. The models give Caernarfon Town a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an GAP Connah S Quay FC win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.

Season Statistics

Caernarfon Town
—
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4º
Position
2º
2.07
PPG
2.43
64%
Win %
79%
2.86
Goals / game
2.29
1.14
Conceded / game
0.64
61%
BTTS %
42%
22%
Clean sheet %
53%
83%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Caernarfon Town
Home (7)
—
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Away (6)
1.71
PPG
2.50
57%
Win %
83%
3.00
Goals / game
2.33
1.14
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
22%
88%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Caernarfon TownHomeAwayGAP ConnahHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%75%90%89%90%89%
Over 1.5 Scored72%63%80%58%50%67%
Over 2.5 Scored39%50%30%32%40%22%
Failed To Score17%25%10%11%10%11%

Goals Conceded

Caernarfon TownHomeAwayGAP ConnahHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded78%75%80%47%20%78%
Over 1.5 Conceded33%38%30%16%10%22%
Over 2.5 Conceded22%25%20%5%0%11%
Clean Sheets22%25%20%53%80%22%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Caernarfon TownGAP Connah
Over 0.5100%95%
Over 1.594%74%
Over 2.583%58%
Over 3.550%26%
Over 4.533%16%
BTTS61%42%
BTTS & Win39%21%
BTTS & Draw11%5%
BTTS & Over 2.556%37%
BTTS No & Over 2.528%21%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Caernarfon TownGAP Connah
Win 1st Half56%58%
Draw 1st Half6%32%
Loss 1st Half39%11%
Scored 1st Half72%58%
Conceded 1st Half56%16%
Win 2nd Half39%47%
Draw 2nd Half44%37%
Loss 2nd Half17%16%
Scored 2nd Half67%68%
Conceded 2nd Half50%37%
Over 0.5 HT100%68%
Over 1.5 HT56%21%

Recent Venue Form

Caernarfon Town (H)
WBriton Ferry3–1
LBarry Town0–1
WCambrian & Clydach9–1
WFlint Town United3–0
LThe New Saints2–3
WColwyn Bay3–0
GAP Connah (A)
WBriton Ferry2–1
WBarry Town4–1
LColwyn Bay1–2
WFlint Town United2–1
WAmmanford AFC2–0
WHolywell3–1

Head to Head · 29 matches

6
Caernarfon Town
21%
8
Draws
28%
15
GAP Connah
52%
83%
Over 1.5
24/29
66%
Over 2.5
19/29
48%
Over 3.5
14/29
69%
BTTS
20/29
02/08/26
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2
Caernarfon Town
13/03/26
Caernarfon Town
2–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC
06/02/26
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
13/01/26
Caernarfon Town
2–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
23/09/25
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2
Caernarfon Town
03/12/24
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
28/09/24
Caernarfon Town
3–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC
17/09/24
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3–2
Caernarfon Town
15/03/24
Caernarfon Town
2–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC
02/02/24
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
27/10/23
GAP Connah S Quay FC
6–1
Caernarfon Town
14/10/23
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4–1
Caernarfon Town
01/09/23
Caernarfon Town
0–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC
18/11/22
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3–3
Caernarfon Town
27/09/22
Caernarfon Town
0–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
09/11/21
Caernarfon Town
0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC
31/08/21
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–1
Caernarfon Town
08/05/21
GAP Connah S Quay FC
4–0
Caernarfon Town
13/04/21
Caernarfon Town
1–6
GAP Connah S Quay FC
13/11/20
Caernarfon Town
1–2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Premier League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints141310+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FC141112+2334
3Penybont13931+1430
4Caernarfon Town14923+2429
5Colwyn Bay14824+726
6Barry Town14815+325
7Airbus UK14806+824
8Cardiff MET14644+822
9Cambrian & Clydach14536-1318
10Llandudno14518-316
11Haverfordwest County AFC14419-913
12Briton Ferry14338-1212
13Flint Town United14329-1111
14Ammanford AFC14239-319
15Trefelin141310-256
16Holywell130211-302

Team Insights

Caernarfon Town
  • ●Caernarfon Town have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Caernarfon Town have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
GAP Connah
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 6 matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●GAP Connah S Quay FC have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of GAP Connah S Quay FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town
WHBriton Ferry12º3–1
WAFlint Town United3–1
WAHaverfordwest County AFC11º2–1
LHBarry Town6º0–1
DACardiff MET8º2–2
WHCambrian & Clydach9º9–1
DALlandudno10º1–1
WAAmmanford AFC14º5–0
WHFlint Town United13º3–0
LHThe New Saints1º2–3
GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC
WHLlandudno10º2–0
WHPorthmadog4–0
WABriton Ferry12º2–1
WHPenybont3º1–0
WABarry Town6º4–1
WHCardiff MET8º1–0
WHAirbus UK7º3–0
LAColwyn Bay5º1–2
DHHaverfordwest County AFC11º1–1
WAFlint Town United13º2–1

Season Schedule

Caernarfon Town
WHBriton Ferry3–1
WAHaverfordwest County AFC2–1
LHBarry Town0–1
DACardiff MET2–2
WHCambrian & Clydach9–1
DALlandudno1–1
–AAirbus UK30/10
–APenybont06/11
–HGAP Connah S Quay FC20/11
GAP Connah
WHLlandudno2–0
WABriton Ferry2–1
WHPenybont1–0
WABarry Town4–1
WHCardiff MET1–0
WHAirbus UK3–0
–AThe New Saints31/10
–HFlint Town United06/11
–ACaernarfon Town20/11

Top Scorers

Caernarfon Town
Z. Clarke13 ⚽
S. Bradley7 ⚽
O. Evans4 ⚽
N. Edwards3 ⚽
A. Cieslewicz3 ⚽
H. Charsley2 ⚽
GAP Connah
C. West7 ⚽
H. Franklin6 ⚽
H. Mehasseb6 ⚽
J. Hodkin4 ⚽
M. Woodcock3 ⚽
I. Murray3 ⚽

Cards Given

Caernarfon Town
B. Nash4 🟨
N. Edwards4 🟨
C. Marriott4 🟨
R. Sears3 🟨
D. Gosset3 🟨
P. Mendes2 🟨
GAP Connah
I. Murray3 🟨
J. Jones2 🟨
C. West2 🟨
A. Hughes2 🟨
Dan Cowan1 🟨
C. Partridge1 🟨