Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay — Premier League
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Trefelin and Colwyn Bay meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Trefelin have recorded 2 wins from 17 matches this season (12% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 2.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Colwyn Bay have won 52% of their 21 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Trefelin and 1.69 for Colwyn Bay. The models give Trefelin a 27% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Colwyn Bay win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Trefelin—
Colwyn Bay15º
Position
5º
0.43
PPG
1.86
7%
Win %
57%
0.57
Goals / game
1.71
2.36
Conceded / game
1.21
47%
BTTS %
43%
0%
Clean sheet %
38%
59%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trefelin
Home (7)
—
Colwyn Bay
Away (7)
0.14
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
29%
0.29
Goals / game
1.29
2.43
Conceded / game
1.71
38%
BTTS %
30%
0%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trefelin | Home | Away | Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 47% | 38% | 56% | 81% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 13% | 22% | 52% | 64% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 13% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 53% | 63% | 44% | 19% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Trefelin | Home | Away | Colwyn Bay | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 62% | 55% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 65% | 63% | 67% | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 41% | 38% | 44% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 45% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trefelin | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 19% |
| BTTS | 47% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trefelin | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 19% |
| Loss 1st Half | 59% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 24% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Trefelin (H)L
Flint Town United0–2
Flint Town United0–2W
Llantwit Major4–1
Llantwit Major4–1L
The New Saints1–3
The New Saints1–3L
Cambrian & Clydach0–4
Cambrian & Clydach0–4L
Penybont0–1
Penybont0–1D
Ammanford AFC1–1
Ammanford AFC1–1Colwyn Bay (A)D
Buckley Town2–2
Buckley Town2–2WFlint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0L
Briton Ferry0–1
Briton Ferry0–1W
Holywell5–0
Holywell5–0LPenybont0–1
Penybont0–1LThe New Saints1–5
The New Saints1–5Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Trefelin
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Colwyn Bay
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
31/07/26Trefelin
Colwyn Bay
2–0Trefelin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +47 | 40 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +24 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 |  Airbus UK | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 8 |  Cardiff MET | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 |  Llandudno | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -31 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Trefelin- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Trefelin have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin have lost 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Trefelin's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Trefelin's points have been earned away.
Colwyn Bay- ●Colwyn Bay have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Colwyn Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Colwyn Bay's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Colwyn Bay's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Colwyn Bay have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TrefelinLHFlint Town United0–2
Flint Town United0–2WACardiff MET3–1
Cardiff MET3–1LAAirbus UK0–3
Airbus UK0–3LHThe New Saints1–3
The New Saints1–3DABriton Ferry1–1
Briton Ferry1–1LHCambrian & Clydach0–4
Cambrian & Clydach0–4–ABarry Town30/10
Barry Town30/10–HColwyn Bay06/11
Colwyn Bay06/11–AThe New Saints20/11
The New Saints20/11Colwyn BayDHCardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2WAFlint Town United1–0
Flint Town United1–0LABriton Ferry0–1
Briton Ferry0–1WHHaverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0WHBarry Town5–2
Barry Town5–2WAHolywell5–0
Holywell5–0–HCambrian & Clydach30/10
Cambrian & Clydach30/10–ATrefelin06/11
Trefelin06/11–AAirbus UK20/11
Airbus UK20/11Top Scorers
TrefelinJ. Jones2 ⚽
2 ⚽
L. Phillips1 ⚽
C. Saunders1 ⚽
R. Piper1 ⚽
T. Brock1 ⚽
Colwyn BayA. Davies7 ⚽
J. Davies7 ⚽
S. Forde3 ⚽
M. Hill3 ⚽
N. Peate3 ⚽
D. Poole2 ⚽
Cards Given
Trefelin10 🟨
J. Jones3 🟨
K. Georgievsky3 🟨
K. Owen2 🟨
J. Davies2 🟨
B. Aman1 🟨
Colwyn BayC. Bratley5 🟨
J. Kenny4 🟨
E. Roberts3 🟨
A. Davies3 🟨
D. Roberts2 🟨
L. Robles2 🟨