Cardiff MET vs Penybont — Premier League
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Cardiff MET and Penybont meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Cardiff MET have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Penybont have won 65% of their 17 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Cardiff MET and 1.80 for Penybont. The models give Cardiff MET a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Penybont win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff MET—
Penybont8º
Position
3º
1.57
PPG
2.31
43%
Win %
69%
1.86
Goals / game
1.92
1.29
Conceded / game
0.85
45%
BTTS %
53%
40%
Clean sheet %
29%
60%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Cardiff MET
Home (7)
—
Penybont
Away (6)
1.57
PPG
2.17
43%
Win %
67%
2.14
Goals / game
2.17
1.86
Conceded / game
0.83
45%
BTTS %
44%
45%
Clean sheet %
33%
82%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff MET | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 82% | 78% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 64% | 44% | 59% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 36% | 22% | 35% | 25% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff MET | Home | Away | Penybont | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 55% | 67% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 36% | 11% | 24% | 13% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 18% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 45% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff MET | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS | 45% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff MET | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff MET (H)W
Ynyshir Albions4–0
Ynyshir Albions4–0L
Trefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3W
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0D
Caernarfon Town2–2
Caernarfon Town2–2D
Cambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2W
Briton Ferry3–0
Briton Ferry3–0Penybont (A)W
Afan Lido3–2
Afan Lido3–2L
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1W
Ammanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1WTrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0DCambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2WHaverfordwest County AFC3–0
Haverfordwest County AFC3–0Head to Head · 23 matches
8
Cardiff MET
35%
7
Draws
30%
8
Penybont
35%
74%
Over 1.5
17/23
57%
Over 2.5
13/23
35%
Over 3.5
8/23
61%
BTTS
14/23
13/01/26Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–1Cardiff MET23/09/25Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–4Penybont14/03/25Cardiff MET
Penybont
0–0Cardiff MET24/01/25Penybont
Cardiff MET
2–1Penybont31/12/24Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–2Cardiff MET18/10/24Cardiff MET
Penybont
0–1Cardiff MET15/10/24Penybont
Cardiff MET
1–1Penybont26/12/23Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–3Penybont29/08/23Cardiff MET
Penybont
0–0Cardiff MET31/03/23Penybont
Cardiff MET
2–3Penybont17/02/23Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–1Cardiff MET30/12/22Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–0Penybont26/12/22Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–3Cardiff MET09/11/21Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–1Cardiff MET31/08/21Penybont
Cardiff MET
3–2Penybont15/12/20Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–0Cardiff MET30/09/20Penybont
Cardiff MET
0–1Penybont06/03/20Cardiff MET
Penybont
2–0Cardiff MET24/01/20Cardiff MET
Penybont
1–2Cardiff MET01/11/19Penybont
Cardiff MET
1–1Penybont| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +47 | 40 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +24 | 29 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 |  Airbus UK | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 |  Llandudno | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 |  Flint Town United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -31 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | 6 |
| 16 |  Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Cardiff MET- ●Cardiff MET have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cardiff MET failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cardiff MET have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●72% of Cardiff MET's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Penybont- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Penybont have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Penybont failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Penybont have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Cardiff METDAColwyn Bay2–2
Colwyn Bay2–2LHTrefelin1–3
Trefelin1–3WALlandudno1–0
Llandudno1–0WHHaverfordwest County AFC1–0
Haverfordwest County AFC1–0DHCaernarfon Town2–2
Caernarfon Town2–2LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1–HPenybont31/10
Penybont31/10–AHaverfordwest County AFC06/11
Haverfordwest County AFC06/11–HAmmanford AFC20/11
Ammanford AFC20/11PenybontWHBarry Town3–1
Barry Town3–1LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–1
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–1WHAirbus UK2–1
Airbus UK2–1WAAmmanford AFC5–1
Ammanford AFC5–1WHBriton Ferry3–2
Briton Ferry3–2WATrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0–ACardiff MET31/10
Cardiff MET31/10–HCaernarfon Town06/11
Caernarfon Town06/11–HHaverfordwest County AFC20/11
Haverfordwest County AFC20/11Top Scorers
Cardiff MET11 ⚽
J. Payne8 ⚽
S. Snaith5 ⚽
J. Veale4 ⚽
L. Mwandwe2 ⚽
S. Jones2 ⚽
PenybontE. Cann6 ⚽
T. Mehew5 ⚽
R. Hill4 ⚽
T. Walker4 ⚽
N. Wood2 ⚽
C. Venables1 ⚽
Cards Given
Cardiff METC. Craven4 🟨
L. Mwandwe4 🟨
J. Veale3 🟨
2 🟨
S. Dymond-Hall2 🟨
S. Jones2 🟨
PenybontE. Vaughan4 🟨
M. Manga4 🟨
Ethan Cann3 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
D. Jefferies2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨