Barry Town vs Trefelin — Premier League
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Barry Town and Trefelin meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Barry Town have recorded 14 wins from 21 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Trefelin have won 12% of their 17 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 2.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Barry Town and 1.43 for Trefelin. The models give Barry Town a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Trefelin win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Barry Town—
Trefelin6º
Position
15º
1.79
PPG
0.43
57%
Win %
7%
2.07
Goals / game
0.57
1.86
Conceded / game
2.36
71%
BTTS %
47%
19%
Clean sheet %
0%
71%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Barry Town
Home (7)
—
Trefelin
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
0.71
57%
Win %
14%
2.14
Goals / game
0.86
1.86
Conceded / game
2.29
73%
BTTS %
56%
18%
Clean sheet %
0%
73%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Trefelin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 91% | 90% | 47% | 38% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 64% | 60% | 18% | 13% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 36% | 40% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 9% | 10% | 53% | 63% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Barry Town | Home | Away | Trefelin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 82% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 36% | 40% | 65% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 18% | 20% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 18% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Barry Town | Trefelin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 24% |
| BTTS | 71% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 48% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Barry Town | Trefelin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 59% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 24% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 59% |
Recent Venue Form
Barry Town (H)L
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3W
Tredegar Town2–0
Tredegar Town2–0L
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–4D
Ammanford AFC2–2
Ammanford AFC2–2W
Llandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1W
Airbus UK4–2
Airbus UK4–2Trefelin (A)W
Cardiff MET3–1
Cardiff MET3–1LAirbus UK0–3
Airbus UK0–3D
Briton Ferry1–1
Briton Ferry1–1D
Holywell1–1
Holywell1–1LHaverfordwest County AFC1–2
Haverfordwest County AFC1–2LGAP Connah S Quay FC0–6
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–6Head to Head · 3 matches
3
Barry Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Trefelin
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
10/02/23Barry Town
Trefelin
1–2Barry Town05/11/22Trefelin
Barry Town
2–1Trefelin21/09/21Trefelin
Barry Town
3–0Trefelin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +47 | 40 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 |  Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +24 | 29 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 |  Flint Town United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -31 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Barry Town- ●Barry Town have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Barry Town have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Trefelin- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Trefelin have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin have lost 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Trefelin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Trefelin's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Trefelin's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Barry TownLHHaverfordwest County AFC1–3
Haverfordwest County AFC1–3LAPenybont1–3
Penybont1–3WACaernarfon Town1–0
Caernarfon Town1–0LHGAP Connah S Quay FC1–4
GAP Connah S Quay FC1–4LAColwyn Bay2–5
Colwyn Bay2–5DHAmmanford AFC2–2
Ammanford AFC2–2–HTrefelin30/10
Trefelin30/10–ACambrian & Clydach06/11
Cambrian & Clydach06/11–ALlandudno20/11
Llandudno20/11TrefelinLHFlint Town United0–2
Flint Town United0–2WACardiff MET3–1
Cardiff MET3–1LAAirbus UK0–3
Airbus UK0–3LHThe New Saints1–3
The New Saints1–3DABriton Ferry1–1
Briton Ferry1–1LHCambrian & Clydach0–4
Cambrian & Clydach0–4–ABarry Town30/10
Barry Town30/10–HColwyn Bay06/11
Colwyn Bay06/11–AThe New Saints20/11
The New Saints20/11Top Scorers
Barry TownE. Dugan6 ⚽
O. Brain6 ⚽
5 ⚽
N. Daley5 ⚽
D. Smith3 ⚽
J. Shaw3 ⚽
TrefelinJ. Jones2 ⚽
2 ⚽
L. Phillips1 ⚽
C. Saunders1 ⚽
R. Piper1 ⚽
T. Brock1 ⚽
Cards Given
Barry TownO. Cuddihy6 🟨
4 🟨
N. Daley4 🟨
C. Sainty2 🟨
J. Shaw2 🟨
M. George2 🟨
Trefelin10 🟨
J. Jones3 🟨
K. Georgievsky3 🟨
K. Owen2 🟨
J. Davies2 🟨
B. Aman1 🟨