Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town — Premier League
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Airbus UK and Caernarfon Town meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Airbus UK have recorded 10 wins from 17 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Caernarfon Town have won 61% of their 18 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Airbus UK and 1.73 for Caernarfon Town. The models give Airbus UK a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Caernarfon Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Airbus UK—
Caernarfon Town7º
Position
4º
1.71
PPG
2.07
57%
Win %
64%
2.00
Goals / game
2.86
1.43
Conceded / game
1.14
47%
BTTS %
61%
29%
Clean sheet %
22%
59%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Airbus UK
Home (6)
—
Caernarfon Town
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
2.43
67%
Win %
71%
2.50
Goals / game
2.71
1.17
Conceded / game
1.14
43%
BTTS %
70%
29%
Clean sheet %
20%
57%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Airbus UK | Home | Away | Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 71% | 80% | 83% | 75% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 57% | 60% | 72% | 63% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 43% | 30% | 39% | 50% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 29% | 20% | 17% | 25% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Airbus UK | Home | Away | Caernarfon Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 71% | 70% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 57% | 50% | 33% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 30% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 29% | 30% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Airbus UK | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 33% |
| BTTS | 47% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 28% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Airbus UK | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 6% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 72% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Airbus UK (H)L
The New Saints1–2
The New Saints1–2W
Trefelin3–0
Trefelin3–0W
Flint Town United4–1
Flint Town United4–1LThe New Saints0–2
The New Saints0–2W
Holywell6–2
Holywell6–2W
Ammanford AFC2–0
Ammanford AFC2–0Caernarfon Town (A)WFlint Town United3–1
Flint Town United3–1W
Haverfordwest County AFC2–1
Haverfordwest County AFC2–1D
Cardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2D
Llandudno1–1
Llandudno1–1WAmmanford AFC5–0
Ammanford AFC5–0WHolywell5–3
Holywell5–3Head to Head · 6 matches
0
Airbus UK
0%
0
Draws
0%
6
Caernarfon Town
100%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
31/03/23Airbus UK
Caernarfon Town
4–0Airbus UK17/02/23Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK
0–2Caernarfon Town10/01/23Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK
0–3Caernarfon Town02/09/22Airbus UK
Caernarfon Town
3–1Airbus UK13/12/19Airbus UK
Caernarfon Town
5–0Airbus UK30/08/19Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK
2–3Caernarfon Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | +47 | 40 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 |  Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +24 | 29 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | +8 | 24 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -31 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -30 | 2 |
Team Insights
Airbus UK- ●Airbus UK have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Airbus UK have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Airbus UK have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Airbus UK have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Airbus UK have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Airbus UK failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Airbus UK failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Airbus UK have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Airbus UK have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●65% of Airbus UK's goals conceded were conceded away.
Caernarfon Town- ●Caernarfon Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Caernarfon Town have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Airbus UKWACambrian & Clydach3–2
Cambrian & Clydach3–2WALlandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1WHTrefelin3–0
Trefelin3–0LAPenybont1–2
Penybont1–2WHFlint Town United4–1
Flint Town United4–1LAGAP Connah S Quay FC0–3
GAP Connah S Quay FC0–3–HCaernarfon Town30/10
Caernarfon Town30/10–AHolywell06/11
Holywell06/11–HColwyn Bay20/11
Colwyn Bay20/11Caernarfon TownWHBriton Ferry3–1
Briton Ferry3–1WAHaverfordwest County AFC2–1
Haverfordwest County AFC2–1LHBarry Town0–1
Barry Town0–1DACardiff MET2–2
Cardiff MET2–2WHCambrian & Clydach9–1
Cambrian & Clydach9–1DALlandudno1–1
Llandudno1–1–AAirbus UK30/10
Airbus UK30/10–APenybont06/11
Penybont06/11–HGAP Connah S Quay FC20/11
GAP Connah S Quay FC20/11Top Scorers
Airbus UKG. Peers13 ⚽
J. Evans4 ⚽
4 ⚽
K. Cooke4 ⚽
J. Stevenson2 ⚽
J. Palmer1 ⚽
Caernarfon TownZ. Clarke13 ⚽
S. Bradley7 ⚽
O. Evans4 ⚽
N. Edwards3 ⚽
A. Cieslewicz3 ⚽
H. Charsley2 ⚽
Cards Given
Airbus UKN. Williams3 🟨
O. Calland2 🟨
J. Parry2 🟨
K. Cooke2 🟨
S. Moscrop1 🟨
T. McManus1 🟨
Caernarfon TownB. Nash4 🟨
N. Edwards4 🟨
C. Marriott4 🟨
R. Sears3 🟨
D. Gosset3 🟨
P. Mendes2 🟨