Penybont vs Barry Town — Premier League
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Penybont and Barry Town meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 9 October 2026. Penybont have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Barry Town have won 86% of their 14 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Penybont and 1.44 for Barry Town. The models give Penybont a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Barry Town win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Penybont—
Barry Town4º
Position
2º
2.25
PPG
2.63
63%
Win %
88%
1.50
Goals / game
2.63
0.63
Conceded / game
1.13
36%
BTTS %
71%
45%
Clean sheet %
14%
55%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Penybont
Home (4)
—
Barry Town
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.25
50%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
2.50
0.50
Conceded / game
1.25
40%
BTTS %
71%
40%
Clean sheet %
14%
20%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Penybont | Home | Away | Barry Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 60% | 83% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 20% | 67% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 0% | 33% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 40% | 17% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Penybont | Home | Away | Barry Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 60% | 50% | 86% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 40% | 50% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Penybont | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 43% |
| BTTS | 36% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 71% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Penybont | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 71% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Penybont (H)W
Colwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0D
Flint Town United1–1
Flint Town United1–1W
Llandudno2–1
Llandudno2–1D
The New Saints0–0
The New Saints0–0L
FC Santa Coloma0–1
FC Santa Coloma0–1W
Haverfordwest County AFC2–0
Haverfordwest County AFC2–0Barry Town (A)LThe New Saints0–1
The New Saints0–1W
Briton Ferry4–1
Briton Ferry4–1W
Holywell3–1
Holywell3–1WFlint Town United3–2
Flint Town United3–2W
Weymouth3–2
Weymouth3–2W
Yate Town1–0
Yate Town1–0Head to Head · 21 matches
9
Penybont
43%
6
Draws
29%
6
Barry Town
29%
71%
Over 1.5
15/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
33%
Over 3.5
7/21
48%
BTTS
10/21
03/04/26Barry Town
Penybont
0–2Barry Town03/03/26Penybont
Barry Town
1–0Penybont09/12/25Barry Town
Penybont
1–1Barry Town22/08/25Penybont
Barry Town
2–3Penybont26/12/24Penybont
Barry Town
1–2Penybont22/10/24Penybont
Barry Town
3–2Penybont04/10/24Barry Town
Penybont
4–1Barry Town29/03/24Penybont
Barry Town
0–0Penybont10/02/24Barry Town
Penybont
2–2Barry Town28/11/23Penybont
Barry Town
1–1Penybont26/09/23Barry Town
Penybont
1–0Barry Town11/02/22Penybont
Barry Town
0–0Penybont04/02/22Barry Town
Penybont
4–0Barry Town27/04/21Barry Town
Penybont
2–0Barry Town20/04/21Penybont
Barry Town
3–3Penybont16/03/21Barry Town
Penybont
1–0Barry Town09/03/21Penybont
Barry Town
0–1Penybont22/11/19Penybont
Barry Town
3–0Penybont16/08/19Barry Town
Penybont
1–2Barry Town07/12/18Penybont
Barry Town
4–1Penybont| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 22 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Caernarfon Town | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 | Penybont | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 16 |
| 6 | Llandudno | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Cardiff MET | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 14 |
| 8 | Colwyn Bay | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Airbus UK | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Cambrian & Clydach | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
| 14 |  Trefelin | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
| 15 |  Ammanford AFC | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -17 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 1 |
Team Insights
Penybont- ●Penybont have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Penybont have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Penybont have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Penybont have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Penybont have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Penybont's goals have been scored away.
- ●Penybont have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Barry Town- ●Barry Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Barry Town have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Barry Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
PenybontWATrefelin1–0
Trefelin1–0WHColwyn Bay1–0
Colwyn Bay1–0DACambrian & Clydach2–2
Cambrian & Clydach2–2DHFlint Town United1–1
Flint Town United1–1WHLlandudno2–1
Llandudno2–1WAHaverfordwest County AFC3–0
Haverfordwest County AFC3–0–HBriton Ferry15/09
Briton Ferry15/09–AAmmanford AFC18/09
Ammanford AFC18/09–HAirbus UK26/09
Airbus UK26/09Barry TownWHLlandudno4–1
Llandudno4–1LAThe New Saints0–1
The New Saints0–1WABriton Ferry4–1
Briton Ferry4–1WHAirbus UK4–2
Airbus UK4–2WAHolywell3–1
Holywell3–1WHCardiff MET1–0
Cardiff MET1–0–HAmmanford AFC15/09
Ammanford AFC15/09–AColwyn Bay18/09
Colwyn Bay18/09–HGAP Connah S Quay FC26/09
GAP Connah S Quay FC26/09Top Scorers
PenybontT. Mehew4 ⚽
R. Hill3 ⚽
E. Cann2 ⚽
N. Daley1 ⚽
N. Wood1 ⚽
O. Pritchard1 ⚽
Barry TownE. Dugan6 ⚽
O. Brain6 ⚽
5 ⚽
J. Shaw3 ⚽
D. Smith2 ⚽
C. Sainty1 ⚽
Cards Given
PenybontEthan Cann3 🟨
M. Davies2 🟨
E. Vaughan2 🟨
C. Venables2 🟨
A. Baker2 🟨
M. Manga2 🟨
Barry Town4 🟨
J. Shaw2 🟨
M. George1 🟨
C. Sainty1 🟨
O. Brain1 🟨
T. Wharton1 🟨