Middelfart vs Naestved — 2. Division
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Middelfart and Naestved meet in the 2. Division 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Middelfart have recorded 12 wins from 27 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Naestved have won 31% of their 29 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Middelfart and 1.46 for Naestved. The models give Middelfart a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Naestved win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Middelfart—
Naestved5º
Position
4º
1.46
PPG
1.54
31%
Win %
31%
1.92
Goals / game
1.46
1.46
Conceded / game
1.23
59%
BTTS %
72%
33%
Clean sheet %
21%
67%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Middelfart
Home (8)
—
Naestved
Away (7)
1.63
PPG
1.57
38%
Win %
29%
2.38
Goals / game
1.43
1.50
Conceded / game
1.14
60%
BTTS %
75%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
73%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Middelfart | Home | Away | Naestved | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 93% | 83% | 90% | 88% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 67% | 42% | 41% | 41% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 53% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 12% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Middelfart | Home | Away | Naestved | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 79% | 76% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 27% | 50% | 34% | 29% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 27% | 42% | 3% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 21% | 24% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Middelfart | Naestved | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 7% |
| BTTS | 59% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 55% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Middelfart | Naestved | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Middelfart (H)D
Skive3–3
Skive3–3D
Roskilde3–3
Roskilde3–3W
FA 20001–0
FA 20001–0D
VSK Århus1–1
VSK Århus1–1D
Fremad Amager1–1
Fremad Amager1–1L
Nykobing FC2–3
Nykobing FC2–3Naestved (A)DVSK Århus2–2
VSK Århus2–2DFA 20001–1
FA 20001–1DFremad Amager1–1
Fremad Amager1–1D
B 931–1
B 931–1WSkive2–1
Skive2–1DNykobing FC1–1
Nykobing FC1–1Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Middelfart
43%
1
Draws
14%
3
Naestved
43%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
27/09/26Middelfart
Naestved
2–2Middelfart24/05/25Naestved
Middelfart
3–0Naestved11/05/25Middelfart
Naestved
0–1Middelfart16/11/24Naestved
Middelfart
0–1Naestved22/09/24Middelfart
Naestved
0–2Middelfart23/10/21Naestved
Middelfart
1–2Naestved19/09/21Middelfart
Naestved
4–0Middelfart| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | Naestved | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 | Middelfart | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 6 | B 93 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 | Skive | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 17 |
| 9 |  Brabrand | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 |  HIK | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 |  Thisted FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 12 | FA 2000 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 6 |
Team Insights
Middelfart- ●Middelfart have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Middelfart have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Middelfart have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Middelfart have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Middelfart have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Middelfart failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Middelfart have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Middelfart failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●76% of Middelfart's goals have been scored at home.
Naestved- ●Naestved have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Naestved have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Naestved have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Naestved have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Naestved have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Naestved have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Naestved failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Naestved have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
MiddelfartDHSkive3–3
Skive3–3DHRoskilde3–3
Roskilde3–3LAB 931–3
B 931–3WHFA 20001–0
FA 20001–0DANaestved2–2
Naestved2–2DHVSK Århus1–1
VSK Århus1–1–AFremad Amager31/10
Fremad Amager31/10–HNaestved07/11
Naestved07/11–AVSK Århus14/11
VSK Århus14/11NaestvedDAVSK Århus2–2
VSK Århus2–2WHB 932–1
B 932–1DAFA 20001–1
FA 20001–1DHNykobing FC1–1
Nykobing FC1–1DHMiddelfart2–2
Middelfart2–2DAFremad Amager1–1
Fremad Amager1–1–HRoskilde31/10
Roskilde31/10–AMiddelfart07/11
Middelfart07/11–HFA 200015/11
FA 200015/11Top Scorers
Middelfart23 ⚽
M. Praest7 ⚽
A. Akale5 ⚽
J. Villemoes4 ⚽
J. Wielzen2 ⚽
M. Nielsen2 ⚽
Naestved16 ⚽
M. Rugaard4 ⚽
S. Hollensted2 ⚽
F. Christensen2 ⚽
C. Cordua2 ⚽
S. Baskaya2 ⚽
Cards Given
MiddelfartH. Hemmingsen1 🟨
R. Koch1 🟨
Naestved