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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia — Primeira Liga

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Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
15º · 0.88 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 0h
vs
–
–
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
16º · 0.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 1h
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Rio Ave and Casa Pia meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Rio Ave have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Casa Pia have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Rio Ave and 1.51 for Casa Pia. The models give Rio Ave a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Casa Pia win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Rio Ave
—
Casa Pia
15º
Position
16º
0.88
PPG
0.78
25%
Win %
22%
1.00
Goals / game
0.56
2.13
Conceded / game
1.89
38%
BTTS %
31%
23%
Clean sheet %
23%
62%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.8
Avg corners
4.1
7.6
Avg shots
9.7
3.1
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
8.8
Avg fouls
12.2
44.5%
Avg possession
43.2%

Home vs Away

Rio Ave
Home (4)
—
Casa Pia
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.40
25%
Win %
40%
1.50
Goals / game
0.80
2.75
Conceded / game
0.80
71%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
86%
Over 2.5 %
33%
3.8
Avg corners
4.1
7.6
Avg shots
9.7
3.1
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
44.5%
Avg possession
43.2%

Goals Scored

Rio AveHomeAwayCasa PiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored62%71%50%46%25%56%
Over 1.5 Scored54%71%33%31%0%44%
Over 2.5 Scored31%43%17%0%0%0%
Failed To Score38%29%50%54%75%44%

Goals Conceded

Rio AveHomeAwayCasa PiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded77%100%50%77%100%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded46%71%17%31%50%22%
Over 2.5 Conceded23%29%17%23%50%11%
Clean Sheets23%0%50%23%0%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Rio AveCasa Pia
Over 0.5100%92%
Over 1.577%54%
Over 2.562%38%
Over 3.546%23%
Over 4.515%23%
BTTS38%31%
BTTS & Win23%15%
BTTS & Draw15%0%
BTTS & Over 2.538%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.523%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Rio AveCasa Pia
Win 1st Half9%9%
Draw 1st Half36%55%
Loss 1st Half55%36%
Scored 1st Half27%27%
Conceded 1st Half73%45%
Win 2nd Half45%27%
Draw 2nd Half27%27%
Loss 2nd Half27%45%
Scored 2nd Half55%27%
Conceded 2nd Half45%55%
Over 0.5 HT82%55%
Over 1.5 HT36%36%

Recent Venue Form

Rio Ave (H)
WNacional3–2
DEstrela3–3
LSporting CP0–4
LFC Porto0–2
WTondela3–1
DAl-Ahli Jeddah2–2
Casa Pia (A)
WEstrela2–0
WAlpendorada1–0
WEstoril2–1
DVitória SC0–0
LGIL Vicente0–2
LMaritimo0–1

Number of Corners

9.9
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
10.4
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersRio AveCasa PiaLeague Avg
Over 688%78%74%
Over 775%67%61%
Over 875%56%49%
Over 950%56%41%
Over 1038%44%29%
Over 1125%33%20%
Over 1213%22%13%
Over 1313%22%12%

Team Corners

Team CornersRio AveCasa Pia
Corners Earned / Match3.84.1
Corners Against / Match6.16.3
Over 2.5 Corners For63%89%
Over 3.5 Corners For38%78%
Over 4.5 Corners For25%44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%78%
Over 3.5 Corners Against88%56%
Over 4.5 Corners Against88%56%

Head to Head · 11 matches

5
Rio Ave
45%
4
Draws
36%
2
Casa Pia
18%
64%
Over 1.5
7/11
36%
Over 2.5
4/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
64%
BTTS
7/11
16/05/26
Casa Pia
1–1
Rio Ave
04/01/26
Rio Ave
3–1
Casa Pia
29/03/25
Casa Pia
2–1
Rio Ave
12/01/25
Casa Pia
1–3
Rio Ave
02/11/24
Rio Ave
2–2
Casa Pia
11/02/24
Rio Ave
1–0
Casa Pia
02/09/23
Casa Pia
1–1
Rio Ave
16/04/23
Rio Ave
1–1
Casa Pia
30/10/22
Casa Pia
1–0
Rio Ave
01/05/22
Rio Ave
1–0
Casa Pia
19/12/21
Casa Pia
0–1
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto9900+1727
2Benfica8611+1719
3Sporting CP8530+1118
4Santa Clara8530+818
5Arouca9522+517
6Academico Viseu8422+114
7GIL Vicente9423+114
8Alverca9324011
9SC Braga8323-111
10Estrela9243-310
11Vitória SC922508
12Moreirense8224-78
13Maritimo9225-108
14Famalicao8143-17
15Rio Ave8215-97
16Casa Pia9216-127
17Nacional8116-94
18Estoril8026-82

Team Insights

Rio Ave
  • ●Rio Ave failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Rio Ave have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●75% of Rio Ave's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●65% of Rio Ave's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Casa Pia
  • ●Casa Pia have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Casa Pia have lost their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Casa Pia have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●76% of Casa Pia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●100% of Casa Pia's points have been earned away.
Rio AveRio Ave
WALouletano1–0
WHNacional17º3–2
LAAlverca8º0–1
DHEstrela10º3–3
LASanta Clara4º0–4
LHSporting CP3º0–4
WAEstoril18º2–0
LHFC Porto1º0–2
LAGIL Vicente7º0–1
WHTondela3–1
Casa PiaCasa Pia
WAEstrela10º2–0
WAAlpendorada1–0
LHSanta Clara4º0–1
WAEstoril18º2–1
LHFC Porto1º1–4
DAVitória SC11º0–0
LHMoreirense12º0–1
LAGIL Vicente7º0–2
LHBenfica2º0–7
LAMaritimo13º0–1

Season Schedule

Rio Ave
WHNacional3–2
LAAlverca0–1
DHEstrela3–3
LASanta Clara0–4
LHSporting CP0–4
WAEstoril2–0
–HFamalicao25/10
–AAcademico Viseu01/11
–HSC Braga08/11
Casa Pia
WAEstrela2–0
LHSanta Clara0–1
WAEstoril2–1
LHFC Porto1–4
DAVitória SC0–0
LHMoreirense0–1
–HSporting CP30/10
–AAlverca07/11
–HSC Braga30/11

Top Scorers

Rio Ave
J. Blesa3 ⚽
Jalen Blesa2 ⚽
Diogo Bezerra2 ⚽
Roland Galcik1 ⚽
Samuel1 ⚽
Sebastian Clemensen1 ⚽
Casa Pia
2 ⚽
Henrique Araújo1 ⚽
João Rego1 ⚽
Benjamin Pauwels1 ⚽
S. Perez1 ⚽
Selvi Clua1 ⚽

Cards Given

Rio Ave
João Tomé Baptista2 🟨
A. Ntoi2 🟨
Francisco Petrasso2 🟨
Jalen Blesa1 🟨
J. Brabec1 🟨
G. Liavas1 🟨
Casa Pia
David Sousa3 🟨
Kaly3 🟨
S. Perez2 🟨
Ivan Mandic2 🟨
Andre Geraldes2 🟨
Alassana Jatta1 🟨