Estoril vs Vitória SC — Primeira Liga
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Estádio António Coimbra da Mota·Estoril·Portugal·8,015
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Estoril and Vitória SC meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Estoril have recorded 1 wins from 13 matches this season (8% win rate), averaging 0.69 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Vitória SC have won 53% of their 17 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Estoril and 1.18 for Vitória SC. The models give Estoril a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Vitória SC win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Estoril—
Vitória SC18º
Position
11º
0.25
PPG
0.89
0%
Win %
22%
0.50
Goals / game
1.11
1.50
Conceded / game
1.11
46%
BTTS %
35%
23%
Clean sheet %
47%
31%
Over 2.5 %
35%
4.9
Avg corners
5.8
13.0
Avg shots
17.6
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.8
11.0
Avg fouls
15.7
46.5%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Estoril
Home (4)
—
Vitória SC
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.50
Goals / game
0.75
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
43%
50%
Clean sheet %
29%
33%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.9
Avg corners
5.8
13.0
Avg shots
17.6
5.0
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.8
46.5%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Estoril | Home | Away | Vitória SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 54% | 50% | 57% | 76% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 41% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 24% | 30% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 46% | 50% | 43% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Estoril | Home | Away | Vitória SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 50% | 100% | 53% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 33% | 57% | 18% | 0% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 50% | 0% | 47% | 60% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estoril | Vitória SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS | 46% | 35% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estoril | Vitória SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 0% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 45% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Estoril (H)L
Casa Pia1–2
Casa Pia1–2D
Arouca0–0
Arouca0–0L
Rio Ave0–2
Rio Ave0–2D
Famalicao1–1
Famalicao1–1D
Torreense0–0
Torreense0–0W
Atlético CP3–0
Atlético CP3–0Vitória SC (A)W
Recreativa de Lamelas1–0
Recreativa de Lamelas1–0L
Benfica0–2
Benfica0–2W
Chaves1–0
Chaves1–0L
Academico Viseu1–2
Academico Viseu1–2L
SC Braga0–1
SC Braga0–1L
Sporting CP2–3
Sporting CP2–3Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
9.8
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Estoril | Vitória SC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 44% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 44% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 44% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 44% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 22% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 22% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Estoril | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 33% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
6
Estoril
27%
4
Draws
18%
12
Vitória SC
55%
68%
Over 1.5
15/22
45%
Over 2.5
10/22
41%
Over 3.5
9/22
45%
BTTS
10/22
24/01/26Vitória SC
Estoril
4–2Vitória SC16/08/25Estoril
Vitória SC
3–2Estoril26/01/25Vitória SC
Estoril
1–0Vitória SC18/08/24Estoril
Vitória SC
1–0Estoril02/03/24Vitória SC
Estoril
1–3Vitória SC01/10/23Estoril
Vitória SC
3–2Estoril04/02/23Vitória SC
Estoril
0–1Vitória SC14/08/22Estoril
Vitória SC
1–0Estoril23/01/22Estoril
Vitória SC
3–1Estoril13/08/21Vitória SC
Estoril
0–0Vitória SC21/01/18Estoril
Vitória SC
3–1Estoril14/08/17Vitória SC
Estoril
3–0Vitória SC12/03/17Estoril
Vitória SC
3–3Estoril23/10/16Vitória SC
Estoril
0–2Vitória SC24/04/16Estoril
Vitória SC
1–1Estoril19/12/15Vitória SC
Estoril
0–1Vitória SC01/05/15Estoril
Vitória SC
2–0Estoril20/12/14Vitória SC
Estoril
1–0Vitória SC04/04/14Estoril
Vitória SC
1–3Estoril02/12/13Vitória SC
Estoril
0–2Vitória SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Estoril- ●Estoril have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Estoril have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Estoril have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Estoril have lost their last 4 away matches.
Vitória SC- ●Vitória SC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vitória SC have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Vitória SC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Vitória SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Vitória SC's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
EstorilLAAcademico Viseu1–2
Academico Viseu1–2LHCasa Pia1–2
Casa Pia1–2LASC Braga0–1
SC Braga0–1DHArouca0–0
Arouca0–0LABenfica1–2
Benfica1–2LHRio Ave0–2
Rio Ave0–2–HMoreirense25/10
Moreirense25/10–AFC Porto31/10
FC Porto31/10–HMaritimo08/11
Maritimo08/11Vitória SCWHMaritimo5–0
Maritimo5–0LABenfica0–2
Benfica0–2DHMoreirense1–1
Moreirense1–1LAAcademico Viseu1–2
Academico Viseu1–2DHCasa Pia0–0
Casa Pia0–0LASC Braga0–1
SC Braga0–1–AGIL Vicente02/11
GIL Vicente02/11–HFC Porto08/11
FC Porto08/11–HEstrela28/11
Estrela28/11Top Scorers
EstorilY. Begraoui2 ⚽
R. Guitane2 ⚽
J. Holsgrove1 ⚽
Rafik Guitane1 ⚽
Ricard Sanchez Sendra1 ⚽
F. Medrano1 ⚽
Vitória SC2 ⚽
Maga2 ⚽
Arnel Jakupović2 ⚽
Samu2 ⚽
Costinha1 ⚽
Gustavo1 ⚽
Cards Given
EstorilFrancisco Reis Ferreira3 🟨
Xeka3 🟨
Jordan Arnolin2 🟨
João Carvalho2 🟨
I. Sierra1 🟨
F. Medrano1 🟨
Vitória SCToni Borevković3 🟨
Gustavo Silva3 🟨
Balieiro Thiago2 🟨
G. Nogueira2 🟨
Gonçalo Nogueira2 🟨
Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva2 🟨