SC Braga vs Arouca — Primeira Liga
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SC Braga and Arouca meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 6 December 2026. SC Braga have recorded 12 wins from 21 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.48 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 62% of games. Arouca have won 47% of their 15 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 53%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for SC Braga and 1.23 for Arouca. The models give SC Braga a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Arouca win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
SC Braga—
Arouca9º
Position
5º
1.38
PPG
1.89
38%
Win %
56%
1.13
Goals / game
1.33
1.25
Conceded / game
0.78
33%
BTTS %
33%
62%
Clean sheet %
53%
48%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.6
Avg corners
3.1
13.2
Avg shots
11.1
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.9
13.1
Avg fouls
10.8
57.0%
Avg possession
51.3%
Home vs Away
SC Braga
Home (4)
—
Arouca
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
1.60
50%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
0.80
1.25
Conceded / game
0.80
30%
BTTS %
27%
70%
Clean sheet %
55%
40%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.6
Avg corners
3.1
13.2
Avg shots
11.1
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.9
57.0%
Avg possession
51.3%
Goals Scored
| SC Braga | Home | Away | Arouca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 100% | 64% | 67% | 100% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 36% | 33% | 50% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 25% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 0% | 36% | 33% | 0% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| SC Braga | Home | Away | Arouca | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 30% | 45% | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 30% | 27% | 40% | 25% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 62% | 70% | 55% | 53% | 50% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SC Braga | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 7% |
| BTTS | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SC Braga | Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 61% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 6% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
SC Braga (H)W
Gent2–0
Gent2–0L
GIL Vicente1–2
GIL Vicente1–2L
Sporting CP1–3
Sporting CP1–3W
Estoril1–0
Estoril1–0W
Vitória SC1–0
Vitória SC1–0W
Austria Vienna2–0
Austria Vienna2–0Arouca (A)W
Alverca1–0
Alverca1–0W
CF Os Belenenses4–3
CF Os Belenenses4–3DSporting CP2–2
Sporting CP2–2DEstoril0–0
Estoril0–0L
FC Porto0–2
FC Porto0–2WVitória SC1–0
Vitória SC1–0Number of Corners
7.4
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
8.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | SC Braga | Arouca | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 57% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 36% | 44% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 33% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 21% | 33% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 7% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 7% | 11% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 11% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 11% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SC Braga | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.8 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 79% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 29% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 14% | 44% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
13
SC Braga
68%
4
Draws
21%
2
Arouca
11%
63%
Over 1.5
12/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
32%
Over 3.5
6/19
32%
BTTS
6/19
12/04/26Arouca
SC Braga
1–0Arouca01/12/25SC Braga
Arouca
0–4SC Braga29/03/25Arouca
SC Braga
2–1Arouca03/11/24SC Braga
Arouca
1–2SC Braga06/04/24Arouca
SC Braga
0–3Arouca12/11/23SC Braga
Arouca
0–1SC Braga19/02/23Arouca
SC Braga
2–0Arouca28/08/22SC Braga
Arouca
0–6SC Braga12/07/22Arouca
SC Braga
3–2Arouca08/05/22Arouca
SC Braga
1–0Arouca30/12/21SC Braga
Arouca
0–6SC Braga04/03/17Arouca
SC Braga
3–1Arouca02/10/16SC Braga
Arouca
1–1SC Braga27/02/16SC Braga
Arouca
0–0SC Braga04/10/15Arouca
SC Braga
0–0Arouca15/02/15Arouca
SC Braga
2–0Arouca13/09/14SC Braga
Arouca
1–0SC Braga22/02/14Arouca
SC Braga
2–2Arouca20/09/13SC Braga
Arouca
0–1SC Braga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
SC Braga- ●SC Braga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●SC Braga have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Arouca- ●Arouca have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Arouca have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Arouca have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arouca have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arouca have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Arouca's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
SC BragaLHGIL Vicente1–2
GIL Vicente1–2LHSporting CP1–3
Sporting CP1–3DASanta Clara0–0
Santa Clara0–0WHEstoril1–0
Estoril1–0LAEstrela1–2
Estrela1–2WAAlverca2–1
Alverca2–1–ANacional25/10
Nacional25/10–HFamalicao01/11
Famalicao01/11–ARio Ave08/11
Rio Ave08/11AroucaWAAlverca1–0
Alverca1–0WHEstrela1–0
Estrela1–0DASporting CP2–2
Sporting CP2–2LHSanta Clara1–2
Santa Clara1–2DAEstoril0–0
Estoril0–0WHMaritimo2–1
Maritimo2–1–HNacional01/11
Nacional01/11–AFamalicao06/11
Famalicao06/11–HRio Ave28/11
Rio Ave28/11Top Scorers
SC BragaR. Horta3 ⚽
P. Victor3 ⚽
Pau Victor3 ⚽
D. Rodrigues2 ⚽
F. Navarro2 ⚽
J. Noro1 ⚽
AroucaI. Barbero3 ⚽
Brian Mansilla2 ⚽
Iván Barbero2 ⚽
E. van Ee1 ⚽
Fally Mayulu1 ⚽
D. Nandin1 ⚽
Cards Given
SC BragaJean-Baptiste Gorby2 🟨
P. Victor2 🟨
F. Navarro2 🟨
Adrian Bajrami2 🟨
João Moutinho2 🟨
G. Martinez1 🟨
AroucaPedro Santos4 🟨
Jose Fontán3 🟨
D. Monteiro3 🟨
J. Sanchez2 🟨
D. Nandin2 🟨
Espen van Ee2 🟨