MatchPulse

Vitória SC vs Estrela — Primeira Liga

← Back
Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12
Vitória SC
Vitória SC
11º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 0h
vs
–
–
Estrela
Estrela
10º · 1.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 6h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Vitória SC and Estrela meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Vitória SC have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Estrela have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Vitória SC and 1.42 for Estrela. The models give Vitória SC a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Estrela win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Vitória SC
—
Estrela
11º
Position
10º
0.89
PPG
1.11
22%
Win %
22%
1.11
Goals / game
1.56
1.11
Conceded / game
1.89
35%
BTTS %
65%
47%
Clean sheet %
18%
35%
Over 2.5 %
53%
5.8
Avg corners
4.6
17.6
Avg shots
13.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
15.7
Avg fouls
11.0
54.0%
Avg possession
52.4%

Home vs Away

Vitória SC
Home (5)
—
Estrela
Away (4)
1.60
PPG
1.25
40%
Win %
25%
1.40
Goals / game
2.00
0.40
Conceded / game
2.00
30%
BTTS %
80%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
30%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.8
Avg corners
4.6
17.6
Avg shots
13.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
54.0%
Avg possession
52.4%

Goals Scored

Vitória SCHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%80%71%82%83%80%
Over 1.5 Scored41%50%29%59%50%80%
Over 2.5 Scored24%30%14%18%8%40%
Failed To Score24%20%29%18%17%20%

Goals Conceded

Vitória SCHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded53%40%71%82%75%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded18%0%43%53%50%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%0%14%6%0%20%
Clean Sheets47%60%29%18%25%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Vitória SCEstrela
Over 0.594%100%
Over 1.565%88%
Over 2.535%53%
Over 3.529%35%
Over 4.518%18%
BTTS35%65%
BTTS & Win12%24%
BTTS & Draw12%35%
BTTS & Over 2.524%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.512%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Vitória SCEstrela
Win 1st Half31%14%
Draw 1st Half50%57%
Loss 1st Half19%29%
Scored 1st Half31%43%
Conceded 1st Half25%57%
Win 2nd Half50%50%
Draw 2nd Half19%43%
Loss 2nd Half31%7%
Scored 2nd Half63%71%
Conceded 2nd Half38%57%
Over 0.5 HT50%71%
Over 1.5 HT19%36%

Recent Venue Form

Vitória SC (H)
WMaritimo5–0
DMoreirense1–1
DCasa Pia0–0
WNacional1–0
LArouca0–1
WChaves2–0
Estrela (A)
WFazendense2–1
LArouca0–1
DRio Ave3–3
WNacional3–2
DAlverca2–2
DSC Braga2–2

Number of Corners

9.8
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersVitória SCEstrelaLeague Avg
Over 667%89%74%
Over 744%67%61%
Over 844%67%49%
Over 944%44%41%
Over 1044%33%29%
Over 1133%22%20%
Over 1222%11%13%
Over 1322%11%12%

Team Corners

Team CornersVitória SCEstrela
Corners Earned / Match5.84.6
Corners Against / Match4.04.4
Over 2.5 Corners For78%89%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%78%
Over 4.5 Corners For56%78%
Over 2.5 Corners Against67%78%
Over 3.5 Corners Against56%78%
Over 4.5 Corners Against33%44%

Head to Head · 7 matches

5
Vitória SC
71%
1
Draws
14%
1
Estrela
14%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
14/02/26
Vitória SC
2–1
Estrela
14/09/25
Estrela
0–2
Vitória SC
26/07/25
Vitória SC
0–1
Estrela
16/03/25
Vitória SC
2–0
Estrela
27/10/24
Estrela
2–2
Vitória SC
21/01/24
Vitória SC
3–0
Estrela
13/08/23
Estrela
0–1
Vitória SC
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto9900+1727
2Benfica8611+1719
3Sporting CP8530+1118
4Santa Clara8530+818
5Arouca9522+517
6Academico Viseu8422+114
7GIL Vicente9423+114
8Alverca9324011
9SC Braga8323-111
10Estrela9243-310
11Vitória SC922508
12Moreirense8224-78
13Maritimo9225-108
14Famalicao8143-17
15Rio Ave8215-97
16Casa Pia9216-127
17Nacional8116-94
18Estoril8026-82

Team Insights

Vitória SC
  • ●Vitória SC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Vitória SC have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●70% of Vitória SC's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●80% of Vitória SC's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●100% of Vitória SC's points have been earned at home.
Estrela
  • ●Estrela have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Estrela have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Vitória SCVitória SC
WHMaritimo13º5–0
WARecreativa de Lamelas1–0
LABenfica2º0–2
WAChaves1–0
DHMoreirense12º1–1
LAAcademico Viseu6º1–2
DHCasa Pia16º0–0
LASC Braga9º0–1
WHNacional17º1–0
LASporting CP3º2–3
EstrelaEstrela
LHCasa Pia16º0–2
WAFazendense2–1
LAArouca5º0–1
LHAcademico Viseu6º0–2
DARio Ave15º3–3
WHSC Braga9º2–1
DHFamalicao14º2–2
WANacional17º3–2
DAAlverca8º2–2
DHSporting CP3º2–2

Season Schedule

Vitória SC
WHMaritimo5–0
LABenfica0–2
DHMoreirense1–1
LAAcademico Viseu1–2
DHCasa Pia0–0
LASC Braga0–1
–AGIL Vicente02/11
–HFC Porto08/11
–HEstrela28/11
Estrela
LHCasa Pia0–2
LAArouca0–1
LHAcademico Viseu0–2
DARio Ave3–3
WHSC Braga2–1
DHFamalicao2–2
–AMoreirense31/10
–HBenfica08/11
–AVitória SC28/11

Top Scorers

Vitória SC
2 ⚽
Maga2 ⚽
Arnel Jakupović2 ⚽
Samu2 ⚽
Costinha1 ⚽
Gustavo1 ⚽
Estrela
L. Antonetti5 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
T. Moustier2 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽

Cards Given

Vitória SC
Toni Borevković3 🟨
Gustavo Silva3 🟨
Balieiro Thiago2 🟨
G. Nogueira2 🟨
Gonçalo Nogueira2 🟨
Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva2 🟨
Estrela
Max Scholze3 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Luan Patrick2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
T. Moustier2 🟨