Casa Pia vs SC Braga — Primeira Liga
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Casa Pia and SC Braga meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 30 November 2026. Casa Pia have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. SC Braga have won 57% of their 21 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 62%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.88 for Casa Pia and 1.74 for SC Braga. The models give Casa Pia a 20% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SC Braga win at 55%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Casa Pia—
SC Braga16º
Position
9º
0.78
PPG
1.38
22%
Win %
38%
0.56
Goals / game
1.13
1.89
Conceded / game
1.25
31%
BTTS %
33%
23%
Clean sheet %
62%
38%
Over 2.5 %
48%
4.1
Avg corners
4.6
9.7
Avg shots
13.2
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.2
Avg fouls
13.1
43.2%
Avg possession
57.0%
Home vs Away
Casa Pia
Home (4)
—
SC Braga
Away (4)
0.00
PPG
1.25
0%
Win %
25%
0.25
Goals / game
1.25
3.25
Conceded / game
1.25
25%
BTTS %
36%
0%
Clean sheet %
55%
50%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.1
Avg corners
4.6
9.7
Avg shots
13.2
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
43.2%
Avg possession
57.0%
Goals Scored
| Casa Pia | Home | Away | SC Braga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 46% | 25% | 56% | 81% | 100% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 0% | 44% | 38% | 40% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 54% | 75% | 44% | 19% | 0% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Casa Pia | Home | Away | SC Braga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 100% | 67% | 38% | 30% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 50% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 50% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 0% | 33% | 62% | 70% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Casa Pia | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 54% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 5% |
| BTTS | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Casa Pia | SC Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 61% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 6% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Casa Pia (H)L
Santa Clara0–1
Santa Clara0–1L
FC Porto1–4
FC Porto1–4L
Moreirense0–1
Moreirense0–1L
Benfica0–7
Benfica0–7W
Torreense2–0
Torreense2–0D
Rio Ave1–1
Rio Ave1–1SC Braga (A)L
FC Copenhagen0–3
FC Copenhagen0–3DSanta Clara0–0
Santa Clara0–0L
Estrela1–2
Estrela1–2W
Alverca2–1
Alverca2–1D
Austria Vienna0–0
Austria Vienna0–0D
Dinamo Minsk0–0
Dinamo Minsk0–0Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
7.4
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Casa Pia | SC Braga | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 57% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 36% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 36% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 21% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 7% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 7% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 7% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 7% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Casa Pia | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 2.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 14% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Casa Pia
30%
1
Draws
10%
6
SC Braga
60%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
23/04/26SC Braga
Casa Pia
0–1SC Braga26/10/25Casa Pia
SC Braga
4–0Casa Pia10/05/25SC Braga
Casa Pia
2–1SC Braga29/12/24Casa Pia
SC Braga
1–2Casa Pia05/05/24Casa Pia
SC Braga
4–3Casa Pia30/12/23SC Braga
Casa Pia
1–3SC Braga01/11/23Casa Pia
SC Braga
1–1Casa Pia21/04/23SC Braga
Casa Pia
0–1SC Braga03/12/22SC Braga
Casa Pia
0–1SC Braga06/11/22Casa Pia
SC Braga
0–1Casa Pia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Casa Pia- ●Casa Pia have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Casa Pia have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Casa Pia have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●76% of Casa Pia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Casa Pia's points have been earned away.
SC Braga- ●SC Braga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●SC Braga have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
Casa PiaWAEstrela2–0
Estrela2–0LHSanta Clara0–1
Santa Clara0–1WAEstoril2–1
Estoril2–1LHFC Porto1–4
FC Porto1–4DAVitória SC0–0
Vitória SC0–0LHMoreirense0–1
Moreirense0–1–HSporting CP30/10
Sporting CP30/10–AAlverca07/11
Alverca07/11–HSC Braga30/11
SC Braga30/11SC BragaLHGIL Vicente1–2
GIL Vicente1–2LHSporting CP1–3
Sporting CP1–3DASanta Clara0–0
Santa Clara0–0WHEstoril1–0
Estoril1–0LAEstrela1–2
Estrela1–2WAAlverca2–1
Alverca2–1–ANacional25/10
Nacional25/10–HFamalicao01/11
Famalicao01/11–ARio Ave08/11
Rio Ave08/11Top Scorers
Casa Pia2 ⚽
Henrique Araújo1 ⚽
João Rego1 ⚽
Benjamin Pauwels1 ⚽
S. Perez1 ⚽
Selvi Clua1 ⚽
SC BragaR. Horta3 ⚽
P. Victor3 ⚽
Pau Victor3 ⚽
D. Rodrigues2 ⚽
F. Navarro2 ⚽
J. Noro1 ⚽
Cards Given
Casa PiaDavid Sousa3 🟨
Kaly3 🟨
S. Perez2 🟨
Ivan Mandic2 🟨
Andre Geraldes2 🟨
Alassana Jatta1 🟨
SC BragaJean-Baptiste Gorby2 🟨
P. Victor2 🟨
F. Navarro2 🟨
Adrian Bajrami2 🟨
João Moutinho2 🟨
G. Martinez1 🟨