Estrela vs Benfica — Primeira Liga
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Estrela and Benfica meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Estrela have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Benfica have won 75% of their 20 matches, with 3.05 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Estrela and 2.28 for Benfica. The models give Estrela a 18% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Benfica win at 62%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Estrela—
Benfica10º
Position
2º
1.11
PPG
2.38
22%
Win %
75%
1.56
Goals / game
3.00
1.89
Conceded / game
0.88
65%
BTTS %
65%
18%
Clean sheet %
35%
53%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.6
Avg corners
6.8
13.4
Avg shots
19.3
4.4
Avg shots on target
7.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
11.0
Avg fouls
11.5
52.4%
Avg possession
61.5%
Home vs Away
Estrela
Home (5)
—
Benfica
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
2.25
20%
Win %
75%
1.20
Goals / game
3.75
1.80
Conceded / game
0.75
58%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
44%
42%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.6
Avg corners
6.8
13.4
Avg shots
19.3
4.4
Avg shots on target
7.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
52.4%
Avg possession
61.5%
Goals Scored
| Estrela | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 83% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 50% | 80% | 80% | 91% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 8% | 40% | 55% | 55% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Estrela | Home | Away | Benfica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 75% | 100% | 65% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 50% | 60% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 25% | 0% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estrela | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 30% |
| BTTS | 65% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estrela | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 65% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 5% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 85% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 85% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Estrela (H)L
Casa Pia0–2
Casa Pia0–2L
Academico Viseu0–2
Academico Viseu0–2W
SC Braga2–1
SC Braga2–1D
Famalicao2–2
Famalicao2–2D
Sporting CP2–2
Sporting CP2–2W
Al-Nassr4–2
Al-Nassr4–2Benfica (A)W
Omonia Nicosia4–1
Omonia Nicosia4–1L
FC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3W
AC Milan2–0
AC Milan2–0W
Moreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0W
Maritimo3–0
Maritimo3–0W
Aarhus3–1
Aarhus3–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
10.1
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Estrela | Benfica | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 87% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 80% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 67% | 49% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 53% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 47% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 20% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 20% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Estrela | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 6.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 78% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 27% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
0
Estrela
0%
0
Draws
0%
9
Benfica
100%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
67%
Over 3.5
6/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
25/01/26Estrela
Benfica
4–0Estrela16/08/25Benfica
Estrela
0–1Benfica02/02/25Benfica
Estrela
2–3Benfica23/11/24Estrela
Benfica
7–0Estrela24/08/24Estrela
Benfica
1–0Estrela29/01/24Benfica
Estrela
1–4Benfica19/08/23Estrela
Benfica
2–0Estrela20/11/22Benfica
Estrela
2–3Benfica12/01/21Benfica
Estrela
0–4Benfica| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 14 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Team Insights
Estrela- ●Estrela have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Estrela have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Benfica- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Benfica have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Benfica have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Benfica's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
EstrelaLHCasa Pia0–2
Casa Pia0–2LAArouca0–1
Arouca0–1LHAcademico Viseu0–2
Academico Viseu0–2DARio Ave3–3
Rio Ave3–3WHSC Braga2–1
SC Braga2–1DHFamalicao2–2
Famalicao2–2–AMoreirense31/10
Moreirense31/10–HBenfica08/11
Benfica08/11–AVitória SC28/11
Vitória SC28/11BenficaWHVitória SC2–0
Vitória SC2–0LAFC Porto1–3
FC Porto1–3WHGIL Vicente3–1
GIL Vicente3–1WAMoreirense4–0
Moreirense4–0WAMaritimo3–0
Maritimo3–0WHEstoril2–1
Estoril2–1–ASanta Clara26/10
Santa Clara26/10–HAlverca02/11
Alverca02/11–AEstrela08/11
Estrela08/11Top Scorers
EstrelaL. Antonetti5 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
T. Moustier2 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽
BenficaV. Pavlidis13 ⚽
G. Prestianni7 ⚽
Rafa Silva6 ⚽
Vangelis Pavlidis5 ⚽
Gianluca Prestianni4 ⚽
J. Duran3 ⚽
Cards Given
EstrelaMax Scholze3 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Luan Patrick2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
T. Moustier2 🟨
BenficaTomás Araújo4 🟨
João Palhinha4 🟨
L. Barreiro2 🟨
Gianluca Prestianni2 🟨
Alexander Bah2 🟨
Clément Lenglet2 🟨