MatchPulse

Alverca vs Casa Pia — Primeira Liga

← Back
Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11
Alverca
Alverca
10º · 1.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 4d 21h
vs
–
–
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
17º · 0.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 21h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

From€8.99/Mo

Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime

Start 14-Day Free TrialUpgrade To Pro →

Alverca and Casa Pia meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Alverca have recorded 7 wins from 16 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Casa Pia have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Alverca and 1.18 for Casa Pia. The models give Alverca a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Casa Pia win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Alverca
—
Casa Pia
10º
Position
17º
1.10
PPG
0.70
30%
Win %
20%
1.30
Goals / game
0.50
1.40
Conceded / game
1.90
44%
BTTS %
29%
25%
Clean sheet %
21%
38%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.2
Avg corners
4.0
10.8
Avg shots
9.9
3.6
Avg shots on target
2.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
13.3
Avg fouls
12.1
39.5%
Avg possession
43.4%

Home vs Away

Alverca
Home (5)
—
Casa Pia
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
0.80
1.20
Conceded / game
0.80
50%
BTTS %
33%
38%
Clean sheet %
33%
38%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.2
Avg corners
4.0
10.8
Avg shots
9.9
3.6
Avg shots on target
2.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
39.5%
Avg possession
43.4%

Goals Scored

AlvercaHomeAwayCasa PiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored69%88%50%43%20%56%
Over 1.5 Scored31%38%25%29%0%44%
Over 2.5 Scored13%0%25%0%0%0%
Failed To Score31%13%50%57%80%44%

Goals Conceded

AlvercaHomeAwayCasa PiaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%63%88%79%100%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%25%38%36%60%22%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%0%13%21%40%11%
Clean Sheets25%38%13%21%0%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AlvercaCasa Pia
Over 0.5100%93%
Over 1.563%57%
Over 2.538%36%
Over 3.525%21%
Over 4.56%21%
BTTS44%29%
BTTS & Win19%14%
BTTS & Draw13%0%
BTTS & Over 2.538%29%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AlvercaCasa Pia
Win 1st Half25%8%
Draw 1st Half42%50%
Loss 1st Half33%42%
Scored 1st Half33%25%
Conceded 1st Half42%50%
Win 2nd Half8%25%
Draw 2nd Half50%25%
Loss 2nd Half42%50%
Scored 2nd Half33%25%
Conceded 2nd Half58%58%
Over 0.5 HT67%58%
Over 1.5 HT25%33%

Recent Venue Form

Alverca (H)
LArouca0–1
WRio Ave1–0
LSC Braga1–2
DSanta Clara1–1
DEstrela2–2
WSporting CP B1–0
Casa Pia (A)
WEstrela2–0
WAlpendorada1–0
WEstoril2–1
DVitória SC0–0
LGIL Vicente0–2
LMaritimo0–1

Number of Corners

8.0
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.7
90 games
10.1
Corners / Match
10 games
Match CornersAlvercaCasa PiaLeague Avg
Over 650%80%73%
Over 750%60%60%
Over 850%50%48%
Over 950%50%40%
Over 1050%40%28%
Over 1130%30%18%
Over 1230%20%12%
Over 1320%20%10%

Team Corners

Team CornersAlvercaCasa Pia
Corners Earned / Match4.24.0
Corners Against / Match3.86.1
Over 2.5 Corners For60%90%
Over 3.5 Corners For40%70%
Over 4.5 Corners For40%40%
Over 2.5 Corners Against60%80%
Over 3.5 Corners Against40%60%
Over 4.5 Corners Against30%50%

Head to Head · 3 matches

2
Alverca
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Casa Pia
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
12/04/26
Alverca
3–1
Casa Pia
29/11/25
Casa Pia
0–2
Alverca
02/08/25
Alverca
2–3
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto101000+2130
2Benfica10811+1925
3Sporting CP10631+1221
4Santa Clara10631+921
5Arouca10622+620
6Academico Viseu10622+320
7GIL Vicente10433+115
8SC Braga10424+114
9Moreirense10424-414
10Alverca10325-111
11Famalicao10244010
12Estrela10244-410
13Vitória SC1023509
14Maritimo10226-128
15Nacional10217-97
16Rio Ave10217-147
17Casa Pia10217-147
18Estoril10028-142

Team Insights

Alverca
  • ●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Alverca failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●62% of Alverca's goals have been scored away.
Casa Pia
  • ●Casa Pia have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Casa Pia have lost their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Casa Pia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Casa Pia have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Casa Pia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Casa Pia have lost 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●79% of Casa Pia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●100% of Casa Pia's points have been earned away.
AlvercaAlverca
LABenfica2º0–1
LHArouca5º0–1
LATondela0–2
WAFamalicao11º4–1
WHRio Ave16º1–0
WANacional15º3–1
LHSC Braga8º1–2
DHSanta Clara4º1–1
LASporting CP3º1–3
DHEstrela12º2–2
Casa PiaCasa Pia
LHSporting CP3º0–2
WAEstrela12º2–0
WAAlpendorada1–0
LHSanta Clara4º0–1
WAEstoril18º2–1
LHFC Porto1º1–4
DAVitória SC13º0–0
LHMoreirense9º0–1
LAGIL Vicente7º0–2
LHBenfica2º0–7

Season Schedule

Alverca
LABenfica0–1
LHArouca0–1
WAFamalicao4–1
WHRio Ave1–0
WANacional3–1
LHSC Braga1–2
–HCasa Pia07/11
–AAcademico Viseu28/11
–HMoreirense06/12
Casa Pia
LHSporting CP0–2
WAEstrela2–0
LHSanta Clara0–1
WAEstoril2–1
LHFC Porto1–4
DAVitória SC0–0
–AAlverca07/11
–HSC Braga30/11
–ARio Ave06/12

Top Scorers

Alverca
Dawda Camara Sankharé3 ⚽
V. Semedo2 ⚽
Francisco Chiquinho2 ⚽
Ian Luccas1 ⚽
Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos1 ⚽
André Vidigal1 ⚽
Casa Pia
2 ⚽
Henrique Araújo1 ⚽
João Rego1 ⚽
Benjamin Pauwels1 ⚽
S. Perez1 ⚽
Selvi Clua1 ⚽

Cards Given

Alverca
Francisco Chiquinho2 🟨
D. Gui2 🟨
Chiquinho2 🟨
André Vidigal2 🟨
Diogo Spencer2 🟨
Ian Luccas2 🟨
Casa Pia
David Sousa4 🟨
Kaly3 🟨
Andre Geraldes2 🟨
Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira2 🟨
Ivan Mandic2 🟨
S. Perez2 🟨