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Moreirense vs Estrela — Primeira Liga

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Portugal · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10
Moreirense
Moreirense
12º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
vs
–
–
Estrela
Estrela
10º · 1.11 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
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Moreirense and Estrela meet in the Primeira Liga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Moreirense have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Estrela have won 41% of their 17 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Moreirense and 1.79 for Estrela. The models give Moreirense a 37% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Estrela win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Moreirense
—
Estrela
12º
Position
10º
1.00
PPG
1.11
25%
Win %
22%
1.00
Goals / game
1.56
1.88
Conceded / game
1.89
57%
BTTS %
65%
14%
Clean sheet %
18%
64%
Over 2.5 %
53%
2.4
Avg corners
4.6
7.9
Avg shots
13.4
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
13.8
Avg fouls
11.0
36.1%
Avg possession
52.4%

Home vs Away

Moreirense
Home (4)
—
Estrela
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.25
25%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
2.00
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
80%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
80%
2.4
Avg corners
4.6
7.9
Avg shots
13.4
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.2
36.1%
Avg possession
52.4%

Goals Scored

MoreirenseHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%67%75%82%83%80%
Over 1.5 Scored36%67%13%59%50%80%
Over 2.5 Scored7%17%0%18%8%40%
Failed To Score29%33%25%18%17%20%

Goals Conceded

MoreirenseHomeAwayEstrelaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded86%83%88%82%75%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded57%50%63%53%50%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%17%13%6%0%20%
Clean Sheets14%17%13%18%25%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MoreirenseEstrela
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.579%88%
Over 2.564%53%
Over 3.543%35%
Over 4.50%18%
BTTS57%65%
BTTS & Win7%24%
BTTS & Draw29%35%
BTTS & Over 2.550%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MoreirenseEstrela
Win 1st Half27%14%
Draw 1st Half45%57%
Loss 1st Half27%29%
Scored 1st Half45%43%
Conceded 1st Half45%57%
Win 2nd Half9%50%
Draw 2nd Half45%43%
Loss 2nd Half45%7%
Scored 2nd Half45%71%
Conceded 2nd Half73%57%
Over 0.5 HT73%71%
Over 1.5 HT36%36%

Recent Venue Form

Moreirense (H)
LGIL Vicente0–1
WMaritimo3–1
LBenfica0–4
DSC Braga2–2
WAmarante2–0
DAVS2–2
Estrela (A)
WFazendense2–1
LArouca0–1
DRio Ave3–3
WNacional3–2
DAlverca2–2
DSC Braga2–2

Number of Corners

7.3
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
76 games
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersMoreirenseEstrelaLeague Avg
Over 663%89%74%
Over 750%67%61%
Over 825%67%49%
Over 925%44%41%
Over 100%33%29%
Over 110%22%20%
Over 120%11%13%
Over 130%11%12%

Team Corners

Team CornersMoreirenseEstrela
Corners Earned / Match2.44.6
Corners Against / Match4.94.4
Over 2.5 Corners For63%89%
Over 3.5 Corners For25%78%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%78%
Over 2.5 Corners Against88%78%
Over 3.5 Corners Against63%78%
Over 4.5 Corners Against63%44%

Head to Head · 9 matches

4
Moreirense
44%
4
Draws
44%
1
Estrela
11%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
02/05/26
Moreirense
3–2
Estrela
20/12/25
Estrela
0–0
Moreirense
02/03/25
Moreirense
1–1
Estrela
28/09/24
Estrela
2–1
Moreirense
07/04/24
Moreirense
2–2
Estrela
11/11/23
Estrela
0–1
Moreirense
06/05/23
Estrela
2–4
Moreirense
31/12/22
Moreirense
0–0
Estrela
27/11/22
Moreirense
4–2
Estrela
Primeira Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto9900+1727
2Benfica8611+1719
3Sporting CP8530+1118
4Santa Clara8530+818
5Arouca9522+517
6Academico Viseu8422+114
7GIL Vicente9423+114
8Alverca9324011
9SC Braga8323-111
10Estrela9243-310
11Vitória SC922508
12Moreirense8224-78
13Maritimo9225-108
14Famalicao8143-17
15Rio Ave8215-97
16Casa Pia9216-127
17Nacional8116-94
18Estoril8026-82

Team Insights

Moreirense
  • ●Moreirense failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●63% of Moreirense's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Moreirense have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Estrela
  • ●Estrela have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Estrela have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Estrela failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
MoreirenseMoreirense
LAAVS0–1
LHGIL Vicente7º0–1
DAVitória SC11º1–1
WHMaritimo13º3–1
LHBenfica2º0–4
LAFC Porto1º1–2
WACasa Pia16º1–0
LAArouca5º0–4
DHSC Braga9º2–2
LAFelgueiras 19321–2
EstrelaEstrela
LHCasa Pia16º0–2
WAFazendense2–1
LAArouca5º0–1
LHAcademico Viseu6º0–2
DARio Ave15º3–3
WHSC Braga9º2–1
DHFamalicao14º2–2
WANacional17º3–2
DAAlverca8º2–2
DHSporting CP3º2–2

Season Schedule

Moreirense
LHGIL Vicente0–1
DAVitória SC1–1
WHMaritimo3–1
LHBenfica0–4
LAFC Porto1–2
WACasa Pia1–0
–AEstoril25/10
–HEstrela31/10
–ASporting CP07/11
Estrela
LHCasa Pia0–2
LAArouca0–1
LHAcademico Viseu0–2
DARio Ave3–3
WHSC Braga2–1
DHFamalicao2–2
–AMoreirense31/10
–HBenfica08/11
–AVitória SC28/11

Top Scorers

Moreirense
2 ⚽
Dinis Pinto1 ⚽
J. Veloso1 ⚽
Kiko1 ⚽
Alexandre Parsemain1 ⚽
Manuel Mendonça1 ⚽
Estrela
L. Antonetti5 ⚽
A. Marcus3 ⚽
Ianis Stoica3 ⚽
T. Moustier2 ⚽
Abraham Marcus2 ⚽
B. Souza2 ⚽

Cards Given

Moreirense
Guilherme Liberato3 🟨
N. John2 🟨
Kiko2 🟨
Gilberto Batista2 🟨
Maracas2 🟨
Dinis Pinto1 🟨
Estrela
Max Scholze3 🟨
Stefan Lekovic2 🟨
Luan Patrick2 🟨
Eddy Doué2 🟨
G. Doue2 🟨
T. Moustier2 🟨