SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg — Bundesliga
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SC Paderborn 07 and SV Elversberg meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 12 December 2026. SC Paderborn 07 have recorded 7 wins from 15 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. SV Elversberg have won 52% of their 21 matches, with 2.33 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.40 for SV Elversberg. The models give SC Paderborn 07 a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an SV Elversberg win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
SC Paderborn 07—
SV Elversberg14º
Position
7º
1.13
PPG
1.63
25%
Win %
50%
0.75
Goals / game
2.00
1.13
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
14%
47%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.2
Avg corners
5.4
15.2
Avg shots
12.6
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.3
Avg fouls
11.7
49.5%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
SC Paderborn 07
Home (4)
—
SV Elversberg
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
43%
BTTS %
60%
14%
Clean sheet %
20%
43%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.2
Avg corners
5.4
15.2
Avg shots
12.6
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
49.5%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| SC Paderborn | Home | Away | SV Elversberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 57% | 63% | 76% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 43% | 50% | 48% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 43% | 13% | 48% | 67% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 43% | 38% | 24% | 17% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| SC Paderborn | Home | Away | SV Elversberg | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 86% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 29% | 50% | 57% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 24% | 17% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 14% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SC Paderborn | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 43% |
| BTTS | 40% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SC Paderborn | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
SC Paderborn (H)L
VfB Stuttgart0–1
VfB Stuttgart0–1W
Hamburger SV1–0
Hamburger SV1–0LVfB Stuttgart0–2
VfB Stuttgart0–2W
1899 Hoffenheim3–1
1899 Hoffenheim3–1L
SC Freiburg0–1
SC Freiburg0–1W
Fagiano Okayama3–1
Fagiano Okayama3–1SV Elversberg (A)L
RB Leipzig0–4
RB Leipzig0–4L
Union Berlin0–1
Union Berlin0–1L
Waldhof Mannheim1–2
Waldhof Mannheim1–2D
FC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0W
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3W
MSV Duisburg3–1
MSV Duisburg3–1Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
10.7
72 games
12.2
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | SC Paderborn | SV Elversberg | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 90% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 90% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 70% | 70% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 40% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 40% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SC Paderborn | SV Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 6.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 90% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 90% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 50% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
SC Paderborn
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
SV Elversberg
50%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
100%
BTTS
6/6
03/05/26SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
5–1SC Paderborn 0706/12/25SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
1–2SV Elversberg26/04/25SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
1–1SV Elversberg30/11/24SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
1–3SC Paderborn 0727/04/24SV Elversberg
SC Paderborn 07
3–1SV Elversberg25/11/23SC Paderborn 07
SV Elversberg
4–1SC Paderborn 07| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
SC Paderborn- ●SC Paderborn 07 have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●SC Paderborn 07 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
SV Elversberg- ●SV Elversberg have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●SV Elversberg have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●SV Elversberg have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of SV Elversberg's goals have been scored at home.
- ●SV Elversberg have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SC PaderbornDABorussia Mönchengladbach0–0
Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0WHHamburger SV1–0
Hamburger SV1–0DAWerder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2LHVfB Stuttgart0–2
VfB Stuttgart0–2WH1899 Hoffenheim3–1
1899 Hoffenheim3–1LABorussia Dortmund0–3
Borussia Dortmund0–3–HEintracht Frankfurt07/11
Eintracht Frankfurt07/11–ABayer Leverkusen21/11
Bayer Leverkusen21/11–HFC Schalke 0428/11
FC Schalke 0428/11SV ElversbergWHFSV Mainz 054–1
FSV Mainz 054–1LARB Leipzig0–4
RB Leipzig0–4WHFC Augsburg4–3
FC Augsburg4–3LAUnion Berlin0–1
Union Berlin0–1DAFC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0LHBayern München1–2
Bayern München1–2–ABorussia Dortmund07/11
Borussia Dortmund07/11–HSC Freiburg21/11
SC Freiburg21/11–A1. FC Köln28/11
1. FC Köln28/11Top Scorers
SC PaderbornS. Michel2 ⚽
Steffen Tigges2 ⚽
G. Vidovic2 ⚽
S. Marino2 ⚽
Stefano Marino2 ⚽
2 ⚽
SV ElversbergMaurice Krattenmacher4 ⚽
L. Schnellbacher4 ⚽
D. Mokwa Ntusu4 ⚽
Felix Keidel2 ⚽
F. Onyeka2 ⚽
C. Campbell2 ⚽
Cards Given
SC PaderbornTjark Scheller2 🟨
2 🟨
Laurin Curda2 🟨
Laurin Ulrich2 🟨
M. Hansen1 🟨
Jano ter Horst1 🟨
SV ElversbergFelix Keidel3 🟨
Lasse Günther2 🟨
F. Keidel1 🟨
Francis Onyeka1 🟨
Frederik Schmahl1 🟨
C. Campbell1 🟨