VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin — Bundesliga
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VfB Stuttgart and Union Berlin meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 12 December 2026. VfB Stuttgart have recorded 14 wins from 23 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.70 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Union Berlin have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.52 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.33 for Union Berlin. The models give VfB Stuttgart a 62% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Union Berlin win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| VfB Stuttgart | Home | Away | Union Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 90% | 77% | 76% | 88% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 80% | 54% | 33% | 50% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 52% | 60% | 46% | 19% | 25% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 10% | 23% | 24% | 13% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| VfB Stuttgart | Home | Away | Union Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 80% | 54% | 86% | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 30% | 31% | 62% | 63% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 10% | 8% | 29% | 38% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 20% | 46% | 14% | 25% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 33% |
| BTTS | 48% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 65% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 81% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 90% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 70% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 92% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 77% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 69% | 30% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 62% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 10% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 23% | 10% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | VfB Stuttgart | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 85% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 77% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 85% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 62% | 70% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●VfB Stuttgart failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of VfB Stuttgart's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●67% of VfB Stuttgart's points have been earned away.
- ●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●86% of Union Berlin's points have been earned at home.