Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga
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Union Berlin and Hamburger SV meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Union Berlin have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Hamburger SV have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Union Berlin and 1.36 for Hamburger SV. The models give Union Berlin a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Hamburger SV win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Union Berlin—
Hamburger SV16º
Position
15º
0.88
PPG
1.13
13%
Win %
38%
0.88
Goals / game
0.88
2.38
Conceded / game
2.38
67%
BTTS %
56%
14%
Clean sheet %
19%
62%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.0
Avg corners
3.8
12.1
Avg shots
11.1
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.4
Avg fouls
13.1
41.3%
Avg possession
42.6%
Home vs Away
Union Berlin
Home (5)
—
Hamburger SV
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
0.60
20%
Win %
20%
1.20
Goals / game
0.80
1.40
Conceded / game
2.60
75%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
11%
63%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.0
Avg corners
3.8
12.1
Avg shots
11.1
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
41.3%
Avg possession
42.6%
Goals Scored
| Union Berlin | Home | Away | Hamburger SV | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 88% | 69% | 75% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 23% | 50% | 43% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 15% | 19% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 13% | 31% | 25% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Union Berlin | Home | Away | Hamburger SV | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 75% | 92% | 81% | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 63% | 62% | 56% | 57% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 38% | 23% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 25% | 8% | 19% | 29% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union Berlin | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS | 67% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union Berlin | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 81% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Union Berlin (H)D
1. FC Köln1–1
1. FC Köln1–1D
Borussia Dortmund0–0
Borussia Dortmund0–0W
SV Elversberg1–0
SV Elversberg1–0L
FC Schalke 041–3
FC Schalke 041–3D
Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
Eintracht Frankfurt3–3L
Ipswich2–4
Ipswich2–4Hamburger SV (A)LEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3L
SC Paderborn 070–1
SC Paderborn 070–1W
1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2L
RB Leipzig0–5
RB Leipzig0–5LBorussia Dortmund0–2
Borussia Dortmund0–2W
Verl3–0
Verl3–0Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
10.7
72 games
9.2
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Union Berlin | Hamburger SV | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 80% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 40% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 30% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 20% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 20% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Union Berlin | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 60% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 70% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Union Berlin
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Hamburger SV
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
14/02/26Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
3–2Union Berlin28/09/25Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
0–0Hamburger SV28/04/19Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
2–0Hamburger SV26/11/18Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
2–2Union Berlin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Union Berlin- ●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●86% of Union Berlin's points have been earned at home.
Hamburger SV- ●Hamburger SV have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Hamburger SV have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Hamburger SV's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Union BerlinDH1. FC Köln1–1
1. FC Köln1–1DAFC Augsburg1–1
FC Augsburg1–1DHBorussia Dortmund0–0
Borussia Dortmund0–0WHSV Elversberg1–0
SV Elversberg1–0LABayern München0–7
Bayern München0–7LHFC Schalke 041–3
FC Schalke 041–3–ASC Freiburg08/11
SC Freiburg08/11–HRB Leipzig21/11
RB Leipzig21/11–AFSV Mainz 0528/11
FSV Mainz 0528/11Hamburger SVLAEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3LASC Paderborn 070–1
SC Paderborn 070–1WHVfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0WA1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2WH1. FC Köln2–1
1. FC Köln2–1LARB Leipzig0–5
RB Leipzig0–5–HBorussia Mönchengladbach06/11
Borussia Mönchengladbach06/11–AWerder Bremen22/11
Werder Bremen22/11–HBayern München28/11
Bayern München28/11Top Scorers
Union BerlinM. Ljubicic6 ⚽
Z. Van Den Bosch3 ⚽
A. Kemlein3 ⚽
T. Rothe3 ⚽
I. Ansah3 ⚽
A. Ilic2 ⚽
Hamburger SVA. Gronbaek5 ⚽
Terem Moffi3 ⚽
Yussuf Poulsen2 ⚽
Miro Muheim2 ⚽
P. Daka2 ⚽
Nicolás Capaldo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Union BerlinFelix Uduokhai4 🟨
Janik Haberer3 🟨
Livan Burcu2 🟨
Aljoscha Kemlein2 🟨
Leopold Querfeld2 🟨
M. Aebischer2 🟨
Hamburger SVShafiq Nandja3 🟨
Warmed Omari2 🟨
Nicolás Capaldo2 🟨
Otto Emerson Stange2 🟨
J. Torunarigha1 🟨
Albert Grönbaek1 🟨