SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 — Bundesliga
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SC Paderborn 07 and FC Schalke 04 meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. SC Paderborn 07 have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. FC Schalke 04 have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.68 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.58 for FC Schalke 04. The models give SC Paderborn 07 a 43% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an FC Schalke 04 win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
SC Paderborn 07—
FC Schalke 0412º
Position
16º
1.14
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
14%
0.86
Goals / game
0.57
1.29
Conceded / game
1.00
46%
BTTS %
37%
31%
Clean sheet %
37%
54%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.1
Avg corners
4.0
15.3
Avg shots
12.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.6
Avg fouls
9.9
50.3%
Avg possession
43.9%
Home vs Away
SC Paderborn 07
Home (4)
—
FC Schalke 04
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
46%
17%
Clean sheet %
38%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
5.1
Avg corners
4.0
15.3
Avg shots
12.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.3
50.3%
Avg possession
43.9%
Goals Scored
| SC Paderborn | Home | Away | FC Schalke | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 67% | 71% | 58% | 17% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 50% | 57% | 42% | 17% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 32% | 17% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 33% | 29% | 42% | 83% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| SC Paderborn | Home | Away | FC Schalke | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 83% | 57% | 63% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 33% | 57% | 47% | 33% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 16% | 33% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 17% | 43% | 37% | 33% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SC Paderborn | FC Schalke | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 21% |
| BTTS | 46% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SC Paderborn | FC Schalke | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
SC Paderborn (H)W
Hamburger SV1–0
Hamburger SV1–0L
VfB Stuttgart0–2
VfB Stuttgart0–2W
1899 Hoffenheim3–1
1899 Hoffenheim3–1L
SC Freiburg0–1
SC Freiburg0–1W
Fagiano Okayama3–1
Fagiano Okayama3–1W
VfL Wolfsburg2–1
VfL Wolfsburg2–1FC Schalke (A)D
1. FC Köln0–0
1. FC Köln0–0LSC Freiburg1–2
SC Freiburg1–2W
Austria Lustenau1–0
Austria Lustenau1–0W
Rot-weiss Oberhausen5–2
Rot-weiss Oberhausen5–2W
Union Berlin3–1
Union Berlin3–1L
FC Augsburg0–3
FC Augsburg0–3Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.7
61 games
9.9
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | SC Paderborn | FC Schalke | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 88% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 88% | 75% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 50% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 25% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 13% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 13% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SC Paderborn | FC Schalke |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 50% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
2
SC Paderborn
17%
2
Draws
17%
8
FC Schalke
67%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
58%
Over 2.5
7/12
42%
Over 3.5
5/12
67%
BTTS
8/12
26/04/26FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
2–3FC Schalke 0428/11/25SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2–1SC Paderborn 0702/05/25SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
0–2SC Paderborn 0706/12/24FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
2–4FC Schalke 0409/03/24SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
3–3SC Paderborn 0729/09/23FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
3–1FC Schalke 0418/02/22SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
2–0SC Paderborn 0712/09/21FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
0–1FC Schalke 0408/02/20SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1–1SC Paderborn 0715/09/19FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
1–5FC Schalke 0416/05/15SC Paderborn 07
FC Schalke 04
1–0SC Paderborn 0717/12/14FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
1–2FC Schalke 04| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |
Team Insights
SC Paderborn- ●75% of SC Paderborn 07's points have been earned at home.
FC Schalke- ●FC Schalke 04 have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●67% of FC Schalke 04's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
SC PaderbornWHHamburger SV1–0
Hamburger SV1–0DAWerder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2LHVfB Stuttgart0–2
VfB Stuttgart0–2WH1899 Hoffenheim3–1
1899 Hoffenheim3–1LABorussia Dortmund0–3
Borussia Dortmund0–3LHSC Freiburg0–1
SC Freiburg0–1–ABorussia Mönchengladbach31/10
Borussia Mönchengladbach31/10–HEintracht Frankfurt07/11
Eintracht Frankfurt07/11–ABayer Leverkusen21/11
Bayer Leverkusen21/11FC SchalkeDA1. FC Köln0–0
1. FC Köln0–0LHFSV Mainz 050–1
FSV Mainz 050–1LASC Freiburg1–2
SC Freiburg1–2DHSV Elversberg0–0
SV Elversberg0–0WAUnion Berlin3–1
Union Berlin3–1DHBayern München0–0
Bayern München0–0–HRB Leipzig31/10
RB Leipzig31/10–A1899 Hoffenheim08/11
1899 Hoffenheim08/11–HVfB Stuttgart21/11
VfB Stuttgart21/11Top Scorers
SC PaderbornS. Michel2 ⚽
Steffen Tigges2 ⚽
G. Vidovic2 ⚽
S. Marino2 ⚽
Stefano Marino2 ⚽
2 ⚽
FC SchalkeM. Sylla10 ⚽
J. Adamu3 ⚽
K. Karaman2 ⚽
E. Dzeko2 ⚽
A. Aouchiche2 ⚽
D. Ljubicic1 ⚽
Cards Given
SC Paderborn2 🟨
Jano ter Horst1 🟨
Laurin Curda1 🟨
Laurin Ulrich1 🟨
M. Hansen1 🟨
Jano Ter-Horst1 🟨
FC SchalkeJunior Dina Ebimbe2 🟨
Hassan Kurucay1 🟨
Hwang Hee-Chan1 🟨
Loris Karius1 🟨
M. Ayhan1 🟨
Nikola Katić1 🟨