Hamburger SV vs Bayern München — Bundesliga
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Hamburger SV and Bayern München meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Hamburger SV have recorded 7 wins from 16 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Bayern München have won 70% of their 20 matches, with 3.30 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 95%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Hamburger SV and 2.08 for Bayern München. The models give Hamburger SV a 24% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Bayern München win at 55%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Hamburger SV—
Bayern München15º
Position
1º
1.13
PPG
2.25
38%
Win %
63%
0.88
Goals / game
3.38
2.38
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
80%
19%
Clean sheet %
20%
75%
Over 2.5 %
95%
3.8
Avg corners
8.1
11.1
Avg shots
21.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
8.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
13.1
Avg fouls
9.7
42.6%
Avg possession
63.9%
Home vs Away
Hamburger SV
Home (3)
—
Bayern München
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.75
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
82%
29%
Clean sheet %
18%
71%
Over 2.5 %
91%
3.8
Avg corners
8.1
11.1
Avg shots
21.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
8.9
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
42.6%
Avg possession
63.9%
Goals Scored
| Hamburger SV | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 86% | 67% | 95% | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 43% | 56% | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 0% | 33% | 52% | 67% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 14% | 33% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Hamburger SV | Home | Away | Bayern München | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 71% | 89% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 57% | 56% | 29% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 29% | 33% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 29% | 11% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hamburger SV | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS | 56% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 52% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hamburger SV | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 19% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Hamburger SV (H)L
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3W
VfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0W
FC Copenhagen2–0
FC Copenhagen2–0W
1. FC Köln2–1
1. FC Köln2–1L
FSV Mainz 050–5
FSV Mainz 050–5D
Lille2–2
Lille2–2Bayern München (A)W
Atletico Madrid2–0
Atletico Madrid2–0W
SC Freiburg3–1
SC Freiburg3–1D
Viking3–3
Viking3–3D
FC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2W
SV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1D
FC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
10.7
72 games
11.1
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Hamburger SV | Bayern München | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 93% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 64% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 64% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 43% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 21% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 21% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Hamburger SV | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 8.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 93% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 36% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
0
Hamburger SV
0%
4
Draws
20%
16
Bayern München
80%
80%
Over 1.5
16/20
75%
Over 2.5
15/20
65%
Over 3.5
13/20
35%
BTTS
7/20
31/01/26Bayern München
Hamburger SV
2–2Bayern München13/09/25Hamburger SV
Bayern München
5–0Hamburger SV10/03/18Hamburger SV
Bayern München
6–0Hamburger SV21/10/17Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–1Bayern München25/02/17Hamburger SV
Bayern München
8–0Hamburger SV24/09/16Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–1Bayern München22/01/16Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–2Bayern München14/08/15Hamburger SV
Bayern München
5–0Hamburger SV14/02/15Hamburger SV
Bayern München
8–0Hamburger SV29/10/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–3Bayern München20/09/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–0Bayern München03/05/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–4Bayern München12/02/14Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–5Bayern München14/12/13Hamburger SV
Bayern München
3–1Hamburger SV30/03/13Hamburger SV
Bayern München
9–2Hamburger SV03/11/12Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–3Bayern München04/02/12Bayern München
Hamburger SV
1–1Bayern München20/08/11Hamburger SV
Bayern München
5–0Hamburger SV12/03/11Hamburger SV
Bayern München
6–0Hamburger SV22/10/10Bayern München
Hamburger SV
0–0Bayern München| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Hamburger SV- ●Hamburger SV have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Hamburger SV have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Hamburger SV have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Hamburger SV's goals conceded were conceded away.
Bayern München- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bayern München have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bayern München have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●74% of Bayern München's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Hamburger SVLAEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3LASC Paderborn 070–1
SC Paderborn 070–1WHVfB Stuttgart1–0
VfB Stuttgart1–0WA1899 Hoffenheim3–2
1899 Hoffenheim3–2WH1. FC Köln2–1
1. FC Köln2–1LARB Leipzig0–5
RB Leipzig0–5–HBorussia Mönchengladbach06/11
Borussia Mönchengladbach06/11–AWerder Bremen22/11
Werder Bremen22/11–HBayern München28/11
Bayern München28/11Bayern MünchenDHBorussia Dortmund2–2
Borussia Dortmund2–2WASC Freiburg3–1
SC Freiburg3–1WHRB Leipzig6–1
RB Leipzig6–1DAFC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2WHUnion Berlin7–0
Union Berlin7–0WASV Elversberg2–1
SV Elversberg2–1–AFSV Mainz 0507/11
FSV Mainz 0507/11–H1. FC Köln20/11
1. FC Köln20/11–AHamburger SV28/11
Hamburger SV28/11Top Scorers
Hamburger SVA. Gronbaek5 ⚽
Terem Moffi3 ⚽
Yussuf Poulsen2 ⚽
Miro Muheim2 ⚽
P. Daka2 ⚽
Nicolás Capaldo1 ⚽
Bayern MünchenMichael Olise10 ⚽
Harry Kane10 ⚽
L. Diaz4 ⚽
Luis Díaz4 ⚽
Ismael Saibari3 ⚽
F. Chavez3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hamburger SVShafiq Nandja3 🟨
Warmed Omari2 🟨
Nicolás Capaldo2 🟨
Otto Emerson Stange2 🟨
J. Torunarigha1 🟨
Albert Grönbaek1 🟨
Bayern MünchenKonrad Laimer3 🟨
Michael Olise2 🟨
Dayot Upamecano2 🟨
Josip Stanišić2 🟨
Aleksandar Pavlović2 🟨
Joshua Kimmich1 🟨