FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin — Bundesliga
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FSV Mainz 05 and Union Berlin meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. FSV Mainz 05 have recorded 12 wins from 17 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 3.88 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 59% of games. Union Berlin have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.42 for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.48 for Union Berlin. The models give FSV Mainz 05 a 56% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Union Berlin win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
FSV Mainz 05—
Union Berlin7º
Position
17º
1.43
PPG
0.86
43%
Win %
14%
2.29
Goals / game
0.86
1.86
Conceded / game
2.57
41%
BTTS %
68%
59%
Clean sheet %
16%
82%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.0
Avg corners
4.3
17.9
Avg shots
12.4
6.3
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
12.9
Avg fouls
12.1
51.3%
Avg possession
41.4%
Home vs Away
FSV Mainz 05
Home (4)
—
Union Berlin
Away (3)
0.25
PPG
0.33
0%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.33
2.50
Conceded / game
4.00
56%
BTTS %
67%
44%
Clean sheet %
8%
78%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.0
Avg corners
4.3
17.9
Avg shots
12.4
6.3
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
51.3%
Avg possession
41.4%
Goals Scored
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | Union Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 89% | 100% | 79% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 76% | 67% | 88% | 37% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 65% | 44% | 88% | 21% | 29% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 11% | 0% | 21% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| FSV Mainz | Home | Away | Union Berlin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 41% | 56% | 25% | 84% | 71% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 63% | 71% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 26% | 43% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 59% | 44% | 75% | 16% | 29% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FSV Mainz | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 53% | 32% |
| BTTS | 41% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 41% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FSV Mainz | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 59% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 82% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 59% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 6% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 79% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 82% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
FSV Mainz (H)L
Werder Bremen2–3
Werder Bremen2–3L
Bayer Leverkusen3–4
Bayer Leverkusen3–4L
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3D
SC Paderborn 070–0
SC Paderborn 070–0W
Bournemouth2–1
Bournemouth2–1W
Paris FC4–0
Paris FC4–0Union Berlin (A)D
FC Augsburg1–1
FC Augsburg1–1W
HNK Rijeka1–0
HNK Rijeka1–0L
Bayern München0–7
Bayern München0–7LBayer Leverkusen0–4
Bayer Leverkusen0–4W
Eintracht Braunschweig4–2
Eintracht Braunschweig4–2L
Dynamo Dresden1–2
Dynamo Dresden1–2Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
10.7
61 games
10.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | FSV Mainz | Union Berlin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 88% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 75% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 75% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 63% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 38% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 25% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 13% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 13% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FSV Mainz | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 75% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
1
FSV Mainz
7%
5
Draws
36%
8
Union Berlin
57%
86%
Over 1.5
12/14
64%
Over 2.5
9/14
43%
Over 3.5
6/14
79%
BTTS
11/14
10/05/26Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1–3Union Berlin10/01/26FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2–2FSV Mainz 0519/01/25FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2–1FSV Mainz 0524/08/24Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1–1Union Berlin07/02/24Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1–1Union Berlin20/08/23FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
4–1FSV Mainz 0504/02/23FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2–1FSV Mainz 0514/08/22Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
0–0Union Berlin26/02/22FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
3–1FSV Mainz 0503/10/21Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1–2Union Berlin06/02/21Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1–0Union Berlin02/10/20FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
4–0FSV Mainz 0527/05/20FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1–1FSV Mainz 0509/11/19Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2–3Union Berlin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |
Team Insights
FSV Mainz- ●FSV Mainz 05 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of FSV Mainz 05's goals have been scored away.
- ●77% of FSV Mainz 05's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●90% of FSV Mainz 05's points have been earned away.
Union Berlin- ●Union Berlin have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Union Berlin have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●67% of Union Berlin's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Union Berlin's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
FSV MainzLHWerder Bremen2–3
Werder Bremen2–3WAFC Schalke 041–0
FC Schalke 041–0LHBayer Leverkusen3–4
Bayer Leverkusen3–4WABorussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3LHEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3WAHamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0–ASV Elversberg30/10
SV Elversberg30/10–HBayern München07/11
Bayern München07/11–AFC Augsburg22/11
FC Augsburg22/11Union BerlinDAFC Augsburg1–1
FC Augsburg1–1DHBorussia Dortmund0–0
Borussia Dortmund0–0WHSV Elversberg1–0
SV Elversberg1–0LABayern München0–7
Bayern München0–7LHFC Schalke 041–3
FC Schalke 041–3LABayer Leverkusen0–4
Bayer Leverkusen0–4–H1. FC Köln01/11
1. FC Köln01/11–ASC Freiburg08/11
SC Freiburg08/11–HRB Leipzig21/11
RB Leipzig21/11Top Scorers
FSV MainzP. Tietz10 ⚽
R. Konigsdorffer7 ⚽
S. Becker5 ⚽
N. Weiper5 ⚽
Phillip Tietz5 ⚽
W. Boving4 ⚽
Union BerlinM. Ljubicic6 ⚽
Z. Van Den Bosch3 ⚽
A. Kemlein3 ⚽
T. Rothe3 ⚽
I. Ansah3 ⚽
A. Ilic2 ⚽
Cards Given
FSV MainzPhillipp Mwene3 🟨
Sheraldo Becker2 🟨
Alexander Schwolow2 🟨
Kacper Potulski1 🟨
Nadiem Amiri1 🟨
Lee Jae-Sung1 🟨
Union BerlinFelix Uduokhai4 🟨
Janik Haberer3 🟨
Z. Van Den Bosch2 🟨
M. Aebischer2 🟨
Tim Skarke2 🟨
Leopold Querfeld1 🟨