Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga
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Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07 meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 14 wins from 17 matches this season (82% win rate), averaging 2.94 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. SC Paderborn 07 have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.41 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.18 for SC Paderborn 07. The models give Bayer Leverkusen a 63% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an SC Paderborn 07 win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen—
SC Paderborn 074º
Position
12º
2.17
PPG
1.14
67%
Win %
29%
2.67
Goals / game
0.86
1.50
Conceded / game
1.29
47%
BTTS %
46%
53%
Clean sheet %
31%
82%
Over 2.5 %
54%
6.8
Avg corners
5.1
20.9
Avg shots
15.3
7.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.4
13.9
Avg fouls
10.6
59.8%
Avg possession
50.3%
Home vs Away
Bayer Leverkusen
Home (3)
—
SC Paderborn 07
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
0.67
100%
Win %
0%
2.67
Goals / game
0.67
0.33
Conceded / game
1.67
29%
BTTS %
43%
71%
Clean sheet %
43%
71%
Over 2.5 %
57%
6.8
Avg corners
5.1
20.9
Avg shots
15.3
7.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.4
59.8%
Avg possession
50.3%
Goals Scored
| Bayer Leverkusen | Home | Away | SC Paderborn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 90% | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 47% | 43% | 50% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Bayer Leverkusen | Home | Away | SC Paderborn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 29% | 60% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 0% | 40% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 71% | 40% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bayer Leverkusen | SC Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS | 47% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 35% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bayer Leverkusen | SC Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 59% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 88% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 82% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 6% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 24% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 71% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Bayer Leverkusen (H)W
SC Freiburg2–1
SC Freiburg2–1W
RB Leipzig2–0
RB Leipzig2–0W
Celje2–0
Celje2–0W
Union Berlin4–0
Union Berlin4–0W
Sevilla2–1
Sevilla2–1W
Rot-Weiß Essen3–0
Rot-Weiß Essen3–0SC Paderborn (A)D
Werder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2W
DC United1–0
DC United1–0L
Borussia Dortmund0–3
Borussia Dortmund0–3D
FSV Mainz 050–0
FSV Mainz 050–0W
Phönix Lübeck4–2
Phönix Lübeck4–2DWerder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
10.7
61 games
11.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Bayer Leverkusen | SC Paderborn | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 100% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 88% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 63% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 25% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 30% | 13% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bayer Leverkusen | SC Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.8 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 20% | 75% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
6
Bayer Leverkusen
75%
1
Draws
13%
1
SC Paderborn
13%
88%
Over 1.5
7/8
88%
Over 2.5
7/8
63%
Over 3.5
5/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
29/10/25Bayer Leverkusen
SC Paderborn 07
2–4Bayer Leverkusen06/12/23SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
3–1SC Paderborn 0721/07/23SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1–2SC Paderborn 0719/01/20Bayer Leverkusen
SC Paderborn 07
1–4Bayer Leverkusen29/10/19SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1–0SC Paderborn 0717/08/19SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
3–2SC Paderborn 0708/03/15Bayer Leverkusen
SC Paderborn 07
0–3Bayer Leverkusen04/10/14SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
2–2SC Paderborn 07| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |
Team Insights
Bayer Leverkusen- ●Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●89% of Bayer Leverkusen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
SC Paderborn- ●75% of SC Paderborn 07's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Bayer LeverkusenWHSC Freiburg2–1
SC Freiburg2–1WAFSV Mainz 054–3
FSV Mainz 054–3WHRB Leipzig2–0
RB Leipzig2–0DAFC Augsburg2–2
FC Augsburg2–2WHUnion Berlin4–0
Union Berlin4–0LASV Elversberg2–3
SV Elversberg2–3–A1899 Hoffenheim25/10
1899 Hoffenheim25/10–HVfB Stuttgart31/10
VfB Stuttgart31/10–A1. FC Köln08/11
1. FC Köln08/11SC PaderbornWHHamburger SV1–0
Hamburger SV1–0DAWerder Bremen2–2
Werder Bremen2–2LHVfB Stuttgart0–2
VfB Stuttgart0–2WH1899 Hoffenheim3–1
1899 Hoffenheim3–1LABorussia Dortmund0–3
Borussia Dortmund0–3LHSC Freiburg0–1
SC Freiburg0–1–ABorussia Mönchengladbach31/10
Borussia Mönchengladbach31/10–HEintracht Frankfurt07/11
Eintracht Frankfurt07/11–ABayer Leverkusen21/11
Bayer Leverkusen21/11Top Scorers
Bayer LeverkusenPatrik Schick7 ⚽
P. Schick6 ⚽
A. Moreira4 ⚽
C. Kofane4 ⚽
Ibrahim Maza3 ⚽
N. Tella3 ⚽
SC PaderbornS. Michel2 ⚽
Steffen Tigges2 ⚽
G. Vidovic2 ⚽
S. Marino2 ⚽
Stefano Marino2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bayer Leverkusen3 🟨
Jarell Quansah2 🟨
Carles Martínez Novell1 🟨
Edmond Tapsoba1 🟨
Equi Fernández1 🟨
E. Fernandez1 🟨
SC Paderborn2 🟨
Jano ter Horst1 🟨
Laurin Curda1 🟨
Laurin Ulrich1 🟨
M. Hansen1 🟨
Jano Ter-Horst1 🟨