SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga
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SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05 meet in the Bundesliga 2026 season on 30 October 2026. SV Elversberg have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.37 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. FSV Mainz 05 have won 71% of their 17 matches, with 3.88 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 59%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for SV Elversberg and 2.40 for FSV Mainz 05. The models give SV Elversberg a 38% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an FSV Mainz 05 win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 80% and BTTS at 78%.
Season Statistics
SV Elversberg—
FSV Mainz 058º
Position
7º
1.43
PPG
1.43
43%
Win %
43%
1.71
Goals / game
2.29
2.14
Conceded / game
1.86
68%
BTTS %
41%
16%
Clean sheet %
59%
68%
Over 2.5 %
82%
3.9
Avg corners
5.0
10.9
Avg shots
17.9
4.4
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.3
Avg fouls
12.9
46.5%
Avg possession
51.3%
Home vs Away
SV Elversberg
Home (3)
—
FSV Mainz 05
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
3.00
67%
Win %
100%
2.67
Goals / game
3.33
2.33
Conceded / game
1.00
100%
BTTS %
25%
0%
Clean sheet %
75%
100%
Over 2.5 %
88%
3.9
Avg corners
5.0
10.9
Avg shots
17.9
4.4
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.3
46.5%
Avg possession
51.3%
Goals Scored
| SV Elversberg | Home | Away | FSV Mainz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 100% | 73% | 94% | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 75% | 40% | 76% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 47% | 75% | 40% | 65% | 44% | 88% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 0% | 27% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| SV Elversberg | Home | Away | FSV Mainz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 100% | 80% | 41% | 56% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 75% | 53% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 0% | 20% | 59% | 44% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 53% |
| BTTS | 68% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 41% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 59% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 82% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 88% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 82% |
Recent Venue Form
SV Elversberg (H)W
FC Augsburg4–3
FC Augsburg4–3L
Bayern München1–2
Bayern München1–2W
Bayer Leverkusen3–2
Bayer Leverkusen3–2W
Lorient4–1
Lorient4–1W
Preußen Münster3–0
Preußen Münster3–0W
SC Paderborn 075–1
SC Paderborn 075–1FSV Mainz (A)W
FC Schalke 041–0
FC Schalke 041–0W
Waldhof Mannheim3–0
Waldhof Mannheim3–0W
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3W
Hamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0W
Krieschow9–0
Krieschow9–0D
Udinese3–3
Udinese3–3Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.7
61 games
9.4
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 86% | 93% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 71% | 87% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 71% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 43% | 62% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 29% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 29% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 29% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | SV Elversberg | FSV Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.9 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 13% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 43% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
SV Elversberg
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
FSV Mainz
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
12/08/23FSV Mainz 05
SV Elversberg
0–1FSV Mainz 0508/08/21FSV Mainz 05
SV Elversberg
2–2FSV Mainz 05| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +17 | 14 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 |
Team Insights
SV Elversberg- ●SV Elversberg have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of SV Elversberg's goals have been scored at home.
FSV Mainz- ●FSV Mainz 05 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●FSV Mainz 05 have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of FSV Mainz 05's goals have been scored away.
- ●77% of FSV Mainz 05's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●90% of FSV Mainz 05's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
SV ElversbergLARB Leipzig0–4
RB Leipzig0–4WHFC Augsburg4–3
FC Augsburg4–3LAUnion Berlin0–1
Union Berlin0–1DAFC Schalke 040–0
FC Schalke 040–0LHBayern München1–2
Bayern München1–2WABorussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3–HFSV Mainz 0530/10
FSV Mainz 0530/10–ABorussia Dortmund07/11
Borussia Dortmund07/11–HSC Freiburg21/11
SC Freiburg21/11FSV MainzLHWerder Bremen2–3
Werder Bremen2–3WAFC Schalke 041–0
FC Schalke 041–0LHBayer Leverkusen3–4
Bayer Leverkusen3–4WABorussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3LHEintracht Frankfurt1–3
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3WAHamburger SV5–0
Hamburger SV5–0–ASV Elversberg30/10
SV Elversberg30/10–HBayern München07/11
Bayern München07/11–AFC Augsburg22/11
FC Augsburg22/11Top Scorers
SV ElversbergL. Schnellbacher4 ⚽
D. Mokwa Ntusu4 ⚽
Maurice Krattenmacher3 ⚽
F. Keidel2 ⚽
F. Onyeka2 ⚽
C. Campbell2 ⚽
FSV MainzP. Tietz10 ⚽
R. Konigsdorffer7 ⚽
S. Becker5 ⚽
N. Weiper5 ⚽
Phillip Tietz5 ⚽
W. Boving4 ⚽
Cards Given
SV ElversbergFelix Keidel3 🟨
F. Keidel1 🟨
C. Campbell1 🟨
Francis Onyeka1 🟨
Frederik Schmahl1 🟨
Amara Condé1 🟨
FSV MainzPhillipp Mwene3 🟨
Sheraldo Becker2 🟨
Alexander Schwolow2 🟨
Kacper Potulski1 🟨
Nadiem Amiri1 🟨
Lee Jae-Sung1 🟨