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Bastia vs Valenciennes — Ligue 3

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France · Ligue 3 · Regular Season - 15
Bastia
Bastia
13º · 1.20 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 56d 1h
vs
–
–
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
14º · 0.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 56d 1h
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Bastia and Valenciennes meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Bastia have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Valenciennes have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Bastia and 1.26 for Valenciennes. The models give Bastia a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Valenciennes win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Bastia
—
Valenciennes
13º
Position
14º
1.20
PPG
0.90
30%
Win %
20%
0.80
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
31%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Bastia
Home (5)
—
Valenciennes
Away (5)
0.40
PPG
0.20
0%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
0.80
2.00
Conceded / game
2.20
60%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

BastiaHomeAwayValenciennesHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%60%86%81%88%75%
Over 1.5 Scored17%20%14%44%50%38%
Over 2.5 Scored8%0%14%19%25%13%
Failed To Score25%40%14%19%13%25%

Goals Conceded

BastiaHomeAwayValenciennesHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%100%57%69%63%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded33%60%14%31%25%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded25%40%14%19%13%25%
Clean Sheets25%0%43%31%38%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BastiaValenciennes
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.567%88%
Over 2.525%50%
Over 3.517%19%
Over 4.517%13%
BTTS50%56%
BTTS & Win0%6%
BTTS & Draw33%31%
BTTS & Over 2.517%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%19%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BastiaValenciennes
Win 1st Half25%31%
Draw 1st Half33%31%
Loss 1st Half42%38%
Scored 1st Half50%50%
Conceded 1st Half50%56%
Win 2nd Half0%44%
Draw 2nd Half83%38%
Loss 2nd Half17%19%
Scored 2nd Half42%69%
Conceded 2nd Half58%38%
Over 0.5 HT75%88%
Over 1.5 HT33%31%

Recent Venue Form

Bastia (H)
DOrleans1–1
DCannes1–1
LAmiens0–3
LVersailles2–3
LLe Puy Foot0–2
LLe Mans0–2
Valenciennes (A)
LVersailles0–1
LLa Roche VF2–3
DRouen1–1
LGobelins1–2
LCaen0–4
WEastleigh3–0

Head to Head · 11 matches

4
Bastia
36%
2
Draws
18%
5
Valenciennes
45%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
73%
Over 2.5
8/11
55%
Over 3.5
6/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
27/01/24
Valenciennes
3–1
Bastia
12/08/23
Bastia
3–0
Valenciennes
11/03/23
Valenciennes
2–2
Bastia
30/12/22
Bastia
1–0
Valenciennes
05/03/22
Bastia
1–1
Valenciennes
21/09/21
Valenciennes
2–1
Bastia
11/01/14
Valenciennes
3–2
Bastia
17/08/13
Bastia
2–0
Valenciennes
30/03/13
Valenciennes
3–4
Bastia
10/11/12
Bastia
2–3
Valenciennes
22/01/12
Valenciennes
3–1
Bastia
Ligue 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF10631+621
2Rouen10622+1020
3Versailles10613+219
4Caen10604+618
5Concarneau10451+417
6Le Puy Foot10514+316
7Amiens10442+916
8Cannes10361+615
9Fleury 9110433+415
10Gobelins10433015
11Quevilly10343-313
12Thionville Lusitanos10334-112
13Bastia10334-412
14Valenciennes10235-59
15Orleans10235-59
16Aubagne10217-77
17Villefranche10217-147
18Bourg-en-bresse 0110127-115

Team Insights

Bastia
  • ●Bastia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Bastia have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Bastia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Bastia have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●83% of Bastia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●83% of Bastia's points have been earned away.
  • ●Bastia have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Bastia have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Valenciennes
  • ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Valenciennes have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Valenciennes have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●73% of Valenciennes's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●89% of Valenciennes's points have been earned at home.
BastiaBastia
DAConcarneau5º1–1
DHOrleans15º1–1
LAGobelins10º0–1
DHCannes8º1–1
WABourg-en-bresse 0118º1–0
LHAmiens7º0–3
WACaen4º1–0
LHVersailles3º2–3
WAAubagne16º1–0
LHLe Puy Foot6º0–2
ValenciennesValenciennes
DHAmiens7º1–1
LAVersailles3º0–1
WHLe Puy Foot6º2–1
LALa Roche VF1º2–3
LHFleury 919º1–2
DARouen2º1–1
DHConcarneau5º0–0
LAGobelins10º1–2
WHBourg-en-bresse 0118º2–0
LACaen4º0–4

Season Schedule

Bastia
DAConcarneau1–1
DHOrleans1–1
LAGobelins0–1
DHCannes1–1
WABourg-en-bresse 011–0
LHAmiens0–3
–HQuevilly31/10
–ARouen07/11
–HVillefranche21/11
Valenciennes
DHAmiens1–1
LAVersailles0–1
WHLe Puy Foot2–1
LALa Roche VF2–3
LHFleury 911–2
DARouen1–1
–ACannes31/10
–HOrleans05/11
–AQuevilly21/11

Top Scorers

Bastia
C. Rodrigues4 ⚽
J. Sebas2 ⚽
A. Zaouai2 ⚽
R. Beliandjou1 ⚽
E. Garnier1 ⚽
C. Melieres1 ⚽
Valenciennes
M. Rouai4 ⚽
V. Marcel4 ⚽
R. Ekra3 ⚽
J. Ndiaye2 ⚽
G. Courtet2 ⚽
C. Abi2 ⚽

Cards Given

Bastia
I. Monnier6 🟨
C. Melieres5 🟨
G. Akueson4 🟨
L. Belal3 🟨
N. Douce3 🟨
N. Zilliox3 🟨
Valenciennes
M. Zogba4 🟨
T. Marechal3 🟨
M. Rouai3 🟨
C. Rocchia2 🟨
D. Diomande2 🟨
D. Abu2 🟨