Valenciennes vs Villefranche — Ligue 3
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Valenciennes and Villefranche meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Valenciennes have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Villefranche have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Valenciennes and 0.92 for Villefranche. The models give Valenciennes a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Villefranche win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Valenciennes | Home | Away | Villefranche | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 88% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 38% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 13% | 25% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Valenciennes | Home | Away | Villefranche | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 63% | 75% | 82% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 25% | 38% | 73% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 45% | 0% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 38% | 25% | 18% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Valenciennes | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 36% |
| BTTS | 56% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Valenciennes | Villefranche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 73% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +6 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Valenciennes have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Valenciennes have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Valenciennes's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Valenciennes's points have been earned at home.
- ●Villefranche have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Villefranche failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Villefranche have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Villefranche failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Villefranche have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Villefranche's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Villefranche's points have been earned at home.
- ●Villefranche have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.