Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly — Ligue 3
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Thionville Lusitanos and Quevilly meet in the Ligue 3 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Thionville Lusitanos have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Quevilly have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Thionville Lusitanos and 1.26 for Quevilly. The models give Thionville Lusitanos a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Quevilly win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Thionville Lusitanos—
Quevilly12º
Position
11º
1.20
PPG
1.30
30%
Win %
30%
1.50
Goals / game
1.10
1.60
Conceded / game
1.40
54%
BTTS %
67%
31%
Clean sheet %
13%
69%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Thionville Lusitanos
Home (5)
—
Quevilly
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
0.40
20%
Win %
0%
1.40
Goals / game
0.40
2.40
Conceded / game
1.60
83%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
13%
83%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Quevilly | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 83% | 86% | 73% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 33% | 71% | 27% | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 17% | 43% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 17% | 14% | 27% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Thionville Lusitanos | Home | Away | Quevilly | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 100% | 43% | 87% | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 83% | 14% | 33% | 14% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 0% | 57% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Thionville Lusitanos | Quevilly | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 13% |
| BTTS | 54% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Thionville Lusitanos | Quevilly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Thionville Lusitanos (H)L
Versailles1–2
Versailles1–2L
La Roche VF1–2
La Roche VF1–2L
Rouen0–4
Rouen0–4D
Gobelins1–1
Gobelins1–1W
Caen4–3
Caen4–3D
Nancy2–2
Nancy2–2Quevilly (A)L
Cannes1–3
Cannes1–3DVersailles0–0
Versailles0–0DLa Roche VF1–1
La Roche VF1–1LRouen0–3
Rouen0–3LGobelins0–1
Gobelins0–1D
Clermont Foot1–1
Clermont Foot1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Versailles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 4 | Caen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 18 |
| 5 |  Concarneau | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Amiens | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 16 |
| 8 | Cannes | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Gobelins | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Thionville Lusitanos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Bastia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Valenciennes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Orleans | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Aubagne | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Villefranche | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Thionville Lusitanos- ●Thionville Lusitanos have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Thionville Lusitanos failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Thionville Lusitanos's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Thionville Lusitanos's points have been earned away.
Quevilly- ●Quevilly have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Quevilly failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Quevilly have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Quevilly failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Quevilly failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Quevilly's goals have been scored at home.
- ●85% of Quevilly's points have been earned at home.
- ●Quevilly have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Thionville LusitanosLHVersailles1–2
Versailles1–2LALe Puy Foot0–1
Le Puy Foot0–1LHLa Roche VF1–2
La Roche VF1–2DAFleury 911–1
Fleury 911–1LHRouen0–4
Rouen0–4DAConcarneau2–2
Concarneau2–2–AAmiens29/10
Amiens29/10–HCannes07/11
Cannes07/11–AOrleans21/11
Orleans21/11QuevillyWHOrleans3–2
Orleans3–2LACannes1–3
Cannes1–3DHAmiens1–1
Amiens1–1DAVersailles0–0
Versailles0–0WHLe Puy Foot2–1
Le Puy Foot2–1DALa Roche VF1–1
La Roche VF1–1–ABastia31/10
Bastia31/10–AVillefranche07/11
Villefranche07/11–HValenciennes21/11
Valenciennes21/11Top Scorers
Thionville LusitanosK. Bouhmidi4 ⚽
S. Kalambayi Mukuta3 ⚽
K. Tubio3 ⚽
J. Moustaid2 ⚽
D. Luvualu2 ⚽
F. Gobitaka2 ⚽
QuevillyD. Seck4 ⚽
Y. Gazzaoui2 ⚽
M. Jean-Marie1 ⚽
D. Sarr1 ⚽
R. Rosa1 ⚽
R. Silva1 ⚽
Cards Given
Thionville LusitanosM. Aljic6 🟨
B. Diarra5 🟨
S. Kilic4 🟨
S. Bouzar3 🟨
J. Atangana3 🟨
D. Luvualu3 🟨
QuevillyY. Gazzaoui4 🟨
A. Diaby3 🟨
M. Ros2 🟨
D. Seck2 🟨
M. Hamdi1 🟨
M. Mukendi1 🟨